Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction 9 November 2025

🔊 Will Arsenal extend their lead over their rivals? In the 11th round of the Premier League, the league-leading Gunners will visit Sunderland—a team that can already be considered one of the season's surprises. The Black Cats have been impressive at their home ground, the Stadium of Light, yet bookmakers are giving them slim chances against Mikel Arteta's defensive powerhouse. Are the odds justified?

Head-to-Head

📊 We won't delve too deeply into the head-to-head history between Sunderland and Arsenal, as the teams have only faced each other once in the current decade. It's worth noting, however, that the London side have won 5 of their last 6 encounters.

Sunderland Team Overview

Sunderland continue to hold their ground, maintaining their position in the Champions League spots. The team deserves special praise for their unwavering performance in front of their home fans. It's worth noting that no team has managed to defeat the "Black Cats" at their stadium this season.

Last round, Everton visited the Stadium of Light, and the "Toffees" narrowly escaped with a single point. Granit Xhaka scored his first goal for his new club, leveling the score early in the second half. Regis Le Bris' protégés were closer to victory, outshining their Merseyside guests in terms of dangerous chances and had several claims for penalties, which the referee ruled against, much to the disagreement of many pundits. The match ended 1-1.

Arsenal Team Overview

Eight consecutive wins without conceding a single goal—that's all you need to know about Arsenal's current form. The Gunners are truly dominating. They've already broken several records for consecutive clean-sheet victories and are on the verge of rewriting what seemed like Chelsea's eternal record from the 2004/05 season. José Mourinho's side conceded 15 goals in the Premier League that year, while a computer model predicts the red-and-whites will concede just 13.

It's worth noting that Arsenal had no trouble dispatching Prague's Slavia with a 3-0 victory this week, maintaining their position among the Champions League leaders and remaining the only team yet to concede a goal after four rounds. Mikel Merino, who hadn't scored for the club since September, broke his silence by netting a brace.

Latest news

Sunderland

🎙 Granit Xhaka shared his thoughts on the upcoming match against his former team: “We know the quality Arsenal possess. It will be an emotional game for me – I spent seven amazing years there and still keep in touch with many players and the coaching staff. Playing against them here in Sunderland is something special. I hope I enjoy it, and let's see who comes out on top.”

❌ Habib Diarra, Alese Ajiobola, Romain Mundle, Leo Hjelde, and Dennis Cirkin are part of Sunderland's usual injury list. Reports indicated that Omar Alderete, their key center-back, was expected to recover from a concussion by the last round, but he remains unavailable and will only return after the international break.

Arsenal

🎙 Mikel Arteta was understandably pleased with his team's performance in the Champions League match: "Emotionally, I think we handled it very well. We showed our consistency by controlling the defensive aspect of the game against a tough opponent. Compared to the weekend, we made four changes, and they all performed really well. A productive evening," the Spaniard noted.

❌ Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz, Noni Madueke, Gabriel Martinelli, and Martin Ødegaard were unavailable even before the last round. The latest setback is Viktor Gyökeres. The Swede picked up an injury in the match against Burnley and will return to the field only after the international break.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Craig Pawson, who has shown fewer than 3.5 yellow cards in 7 of his last 8 Premier League games. Arsenal follow a similar trend, with seven consecutive matches under this threshold, and Sunderland are not known for their rough play, averaging only 1.7 cautions per game. Therefore, we don't expect more than three yellow cards in this match.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

The Gunners consistently secure victories but rarely thrash their opponents, especially on the road. Arsenal have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 away fixtures. Considering Sunderland's strong home form, this bet appears to be a logical choice.

🚩 Corner Prediction

The Londoners are the corner kings, while Sunderland rank among the league's worst in average corners (3.4 per game). Mikel Arteta's side more than doubles this figure (7.3), with an even more impressive average of 8 on the road. Therefore, we suggest betting on the visitors to win the corner count with a -2.5 handicap.

Peter Crouch is backing Sunderland for a win and says he would die for it. While we're not ready to go that far, we also believe the "Black Cats" will put up a fight against Arsenal. Essentially, we're betting on Arsenal's clean sheet streak coming to an end, which makes the following wager appealing – both teams to score (yes). Régis Le Bris' side has scored in every home game this season, and Mikel Arteta's squad, no matter how strong defensively, will eventually concede. With the absence of Viktor Gyökeres, who drew defenders' attention and played a crucial role in attack despite not always scoring prolifically, the visitors might struggle to score more than once. Therefore, we are daring to predict a 1-1 draw.