West Ham vs Burnley Prediction 8 November 2025

🔊 Which team between West Ham and Burnley will find themselves in the relegation zone after Matchday 11 of the Premier League? The Hammers have finally secured their first win under Nuno Espirito Santo's management. Meanwhile, the Clarets have seen their two-game winning streak come to an end, though they faced the best team in England at the moment. On Saturday, Scott Parker's side will once again head to London. Will this trip to the capital bring them success, or will the hosts solidify their position? We'll evaluate the odds for both teams in our editorial's prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 It's been over five years since Burnley last defeated West Ham in the Premier League, with their last victory coming in 2020. Since then, the teams have clashed six times, with the Clarets managing to snatch points from the Londoners on three occasions through draws. The remaining three encounters ended with wins for the Hammers. Notably, both teams found the back of the net in four of these six matches.

West Ham United Team Overview

Nuno Espírito Santo has claimed his first victory at the helm of West Ham! The Portuguese manager kicked off with a draw against Everton (1-1), followed by three consecutive defeats. Finally, in the 10th round of the Premier League, the Hammers secured a win, and not just against any team, but against Champions League participant Newcastle (3-1). That home triumph was no fluke. West Ham could have scored more, but the Magpies were saved by the post and VAR, which disallowed a goal from the hosts. Overall, the Londoners looked more threatening, registering 15 shots with an xG of 2.88, while the Black and Whites managed 12 shots for just 0.77 xG. This result didn’t lift Nuno Espírito Santo’s side out of the relegation zone, but it brought them closer to the brink. They are now three points behind Burnley in 17th place.

Lucas Paquetá started the season in England with a bang, scoring three times in his first four matches, including the English League Cup. However, as the team's crisis began, he fell silent for a while. His goalless streak lasted six games and ended in the 10th round with an impressive long-range strike against Newcastle. The Brazilian could have found the net earlier, but his goal in the previous match against Leeds was ruled out for offside.

Burnley Team Overview

Lancashire's team couldn't extend their successful run that had helped them move away from the relegation zone. Their opponent in the 10th round of the Premier League didn't suggest a favorable outcome even at Turf Moor, as Arsenal came to visit. Scott Parker's side didn't sit back, maintaining 46% possession, but they created very little offensively (three shots with 0.47 xG). To be fair, even in matches against Leeds (2-0) and Wolverhampton (3-2), the Clarets didn't look better than their opponents, trailing each in expected goals.

Impressive performances against Arsenal came from Axel Tuanzebe and Martin Dubravka. It was thanks to the center-back and goalkeeper that Burnley avoided a heavy defeat. The Congolese defender recorded 17 clearances and won 100% of his aerial duels—the best figures among both teams. Dubravka made five saves, preventing 0.58 expected goals.

Latest news

West Ham United

🎙 Following the rumors of West Ham's interest in Ivan Toney, reports have also emerged about Niklas Füllkrug's departure. The German's time in London has been more memorable for his numerous injuries than his on-field successes. Here's what Aston Villa legend and former England international Gabriel Agbonlahor has to say about the forward: "They signed Niklas Füllkrug for almost £30 million. He runs as if he has no hips. He can't move around the pitch. Honestly, it was a poor signing. Yes, he performed well at the Euros, but for me, he's not a good enough player. It was a strange signing."

❌ West Ham are dealing with three absences. Their regular in the treatment room, Niklas Füllkrug, is sidelined again, this time with a hip injury. Konstantinos Mavropanos is out for about a month after sustaining a hamstring injury in the 8th round against Brentford. Promising young player Oscar Scarles is struggling with shoulder issues, but the 19-year-old defender has only appeared twice this season.

Burnley

🎙 Burnley's head coach shared his thoughts on his team's performance and that of their opponents in the 10th round of the Premier League. "Arsenal are just a very, very good team. I believe they have all the necessary qualities to win the championship this year. In every aspect of the game – defense, attack, set pieces – they are a top-class team. We fell a bit short. Many teams have faced challenges playing against them. You always have to find a way," said Scott Parker.

❌ Burnley's injury list sees Jordan Beyer, Zeki Amdouni, and Connor Roberts sidelined for an extended period. No new additions have been made.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The main referee for the match is Michael Salisbury. On average, he hands out three yellow cards in his last 20 Premier League games. However, he is likely to have more work in the upcoming match, as he will be officiating a relegation battle. These encounters are as intense as title fights. In their last four head-to-head meetings, the number of cautions only dipped below 3.5 once. We reasonably predict that at the London Stadium, the total yellow cards will exceed 3.5.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Burnley have fought valiantly in almost every away game this season, failing to score in just one of their six matches. West Ham, on the other hand, have managed to keep a clean sheet in only one of their last 18 home Premier League games. Even after Nuno Espírito Santo's first win at the helm, it's too soon to forget the club's previous defensive issues. Nevertheless, given their status as favorites and the quality of their squad, it’s unlikely that they’ll leave their home pitch without scoring. Our prediction: both teams will score (yes).

🚩 Corner Prediction

Burnley struggle with positional play, as Scott Parker relies more on a counter-attacking strategy. The same goes for Nuno Espírito Santo, who secured a win over Newcastle through counter-attacks. In that match, West Ham had only 38% possession. But at the London Stadium, someone will have to take the initiative. Given the quality of players in both squads, it should be the hosts. Therefore, they will have more opportunities to create set pieces near the opposition's goal. We are betting on West Ham to win on corners.

It would be premature to declare West Ham out of their slump after just one victory, even if it was against a formidable opponent. Nonetheless, the Hammers are likely to approach the upcoming match in high spirits. On the other hand, Burnley have little reason to despair following their defeat to Arsenal, a team vying for the title this season. Before that setback, Scott Parker's side had been on a decent run and have generally shown solid form on the road this season. Although they've secured just one away win, they've been competitive in almost every away fixture, scoring in four out of five matches. West Ham aren't yet in a position to expect a clean-sheet victory, so we believe that both teams to score (yes) is the optimal bet here. We give a slight edge to the hosts with a narrow win (2-1).