TIPS - Tokyo Verdy VS Avispa Fukuoka

[(Tokyo Verdy) Strength]:
1. Tokyo Verdy achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 6 competitive matches, with a win rate of 50%, showing stable overall performance.
2. Tokyo Verdy have been performing steadily at home recently, remaining unbeaten in their last 3 matches with 2 wins and 1 draw.
3. In their last 10 encounters, Tokyo Verdy achieved 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses against Avispa Fukuoka, remaining unbeaten in their last 5 meetings.
4. Tokyo Verdy's recent performance in AH has been decent, winning 3 of their last 4 matches and all of their last 3 home games.

[(Tokyo Verdy) Neutral]:
1. Tokyo Verdy's offensive efficiency is average, scoring 6 goals in their last 6 matches across all competitions, averaging 1 goal per game, with a moderate offensive performance.

[(Tokyo Verdy) Weakness]:
1. Tokyo Verdy currently have 42 points and are ranked 14th. They are already 10 points clear of the relegation zone and have secured their survival with three rounds remaining, having no further ambitions in the remaining matches.
2. Tokyo Verdy forward Hiroto Yamami is absent due to a cruciate ligament injury.
3. Tokyo Verdy have some defensive issues, conceding 7 goals in their last 6 matches across all competitions, averaging over 1 goal conceded per game, showing an imbalance between offense and defense.

[(Avispa Fukuoka) Strength]:
1. Avispa Fukuoka's form has improved recently, with 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 3 matches after a home victory over Shonan Bellmare in the previous round.
2. Avispa Fukuoka have shown high defensive stability recently, conceding only 5 goals in their last 6 matches, averaging less than 1 goal conceded per game.
3. Avispa Fukuoka have not won in their last 6 away matches against Tokyo Verdy, drawing 5 of them, and has only suffered 2 defeats in their last 10 visits to their opponents.
4. Avispa Fukuoka's recent performance in AH has improved, winning all of their last 3 matches, with a win rate of 60% in their last 10 away games.

[(Avispa Fukuoka) Weakness]:
1. Avispa Fukuoka also avoided relegation early, and the team have little to play for in the remaining matches, raising questions about their motivation for this game.
2. Avispa Fukuoka's away performance has been mediocre recently, with only 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 away matches, and an away win rate of less than 30% this season.
3. Avispa Fukuoka's offensive performance has been poor recently, scoring only 3 goals in their last 6 matches, averaging less than 1 goal per game.

[Tips]:
Although Tokyo Verdy have been in relatively poor form recently, their home performance is significantly better than their away performance.

They have achieved 8 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses in 17 league home matches, with a win rate of 47%, and their offensive output at home is relatively stable.

In contrast, Avispa Fukuoka continue to struggle away from home, with only 5 wins in 17 league away matches, a win rate of less than 30%, and their away offense is extremely weak.

Historically, the two teams have a high probability of draws, but in the last three encounters, Tokyo Verdy have not allowed Avispa Fukuoka to score a single goal, giving them a psychological advantage overall.

Based on this analysis, the recommendation for this match is for Tokyo Verdy to secure at least a draw and aim for a win at home.

[Recommended]:
Tokyo Verdy (0)