Mainz vs Fiorentina Prediction for 7 November 2025 - Football

🔊 Mainz host Fiorentina in the third round of the Conference League group stage. Both teams step onto the pitch with a singular goal – to solidify their spot at the top. For Mainz and Fiorentina alike, this is an opportunity to extend their European journey and regain the trust of their fans after a disappointing start to the season. In Florence, it has even led to the departure of Stefano Pioli. This marks the debut encounter between these clubs, promising to be intense, significant, and unpredictable.

Head-to-Head

⚠ These teams have never faced each other before.

Mainz Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on during the Bundesliga, with Mainz hosting Werder. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.

Here are the match statistics (Mainz vs Werder):

• possession: 47% vs 53%;
• corners: 2 vs 0;
• fouls: 19 vs 11;
• yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
• shots on target: 5 vs 3.

🏆 Mainz are making confident strides in the Europa Conference League, yet they are struggling in the Bundesliga. In the first two rounds of the European competition, the team secured narrow victories: first in Cyprus against Omonia (1-0), and then at home at the "Mewa Arena" over Zrinjski Mostar (1-0). In their opening match, Nadim Amiri scored from the penalty spot, while Nelson Weiper netted the decisive goal in the second. With six points and a goal difference of 2-0, Mainz lead their group and could overtake Fiorentina at the top with another win.

🔴 However, things are much tougher for the "Nullfünfer" in the Bundesliga. In their last outing, they shared the points with Werder Bremen (1-1) and currently sit in 17th place, second from bottom, after nine matches. Just one win, two draws, and six losses with a goal difference of 10:17 are statistics that have fans demanding change.

Fiorentina Team Overview

The visitors' last official match was on in Serie A, with Fiorentina hosting Lecce. The game concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.

Here are the match statistics (Fiorentina vs Lecce):

• possession: 63% vs 37%;
• corners: 4 vs 4;
• fouls: 14 vs 21;
• yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
• shots on target: 4 vs 4.

🏆 Fiorentina have made a strong start in the Conference League, topping their group after two rounds. The "Violas" first defeated Czech side Sigma Olomouc (2-0), followed by a commanding away victory over Vienna's Rapid (3-0). In the opening match, Roberto Piccoli and Cher Ndour found the net, while in the second, Ndour was joined on the scoresheet by Edin Džeko and Albert Guðmundsson.

🟣 However, in Serie A, the situation for the Florentines is dire. After 10 matches, the team sits at the bottom of the table without a single win—just four draws and six losses. In their latest outing, Fiorentina fell at home to Lecce (0-1), which proved to be the final straw: Stefano Pioli was relieved of his duties. Currently, Daniele Galloppa, who previously worked in the club's academy and system, is serving as interim head coach.

Latest news

Mainz

❌ Maksim Dal (ACL tear), Anthony Kassi (hamstring), and Maksim Lyaych (illness) will not participate in the match.

Fiorentina

❌ Robin Gosens (thigh muscle strain), Tariq Lamptey (torn ACL), and Christian Kouame (knee) will be unavailable to assist the team in Germany.

Prediction for the 1st half

First Half Statistics: Mainz (home) vs Fiorentina (away)

• matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 1;
• wins: 2 (100%) vs 1 (100%);
• losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
• draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
• average goals scored: 2.5 vs 1;
• average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.

Last 10 Matches (overall):

• wins: 3 vs 3;
• losses: 5 vs 4;
• draws: 2 vs 3;
• average first-half total: 1.6 (scored – 0.6, conceded – 1) vs 1 (scored – 0.4, conceded – 0.6).

• Fiorentina have drawn the first half in 6 of their last 7 away matches.

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Statistics: Mainz vs Fiorentina

• Matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
• Wins: 3 vs 4;
• Win percentage: 75% vs 100%;
• Losses: 1 vs 0;
• Draws: 0 vs 0.

Last 10 matches:

• Wins: 3 vs 2;
• Losses: 6 vs 6;
• Draws: 1 vs 2.

• Fiorentina have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 9 matches (Conference League).

Total Goals Prediction

Statistics: Mainz vs Fiorentina

• Average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 3.25;
• Average goals scored: 1.75 vs 2.75;
• Average first-half total: 1.25 vs 1;
• Average second-half total: 0.5 vs 1.75;
• Mainz: average home total in the tournament - 2.5;
• Fiorentina: average away total in the tournament - 3;
• Last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.83) vs 1.1 (away - 1).

• Mainz have conceded in 12 of their last 13 home matches.
• Fiorentina have scored in 13 consecutive matches (Conference League).

Corners Prediction

Mainz: Statistics

• Season average total in the tournament - 7.25; at home - 8;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; at home - 3.83.

Fiorentina: Statistics

• Season average total in the tournament - 5.5, away - 5;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; away - 4.75.

Cards Prediction

Mainz: Statistics

• Season average total in the tournament - 1.25; at home - 1;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; at home - 2.67.

Fiorentina: Statistics

• Season average total in the tournament - 1.25, away - 1;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; away - 1.5.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Statistics: Mainz vs Fiorentina

• Number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
• Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 1;
• Mainz BTTS at home – 1 (50%);
• Fiorentina BTTS away – 0 (0%).

Last 10 matches:

• BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
• Mainz BTTS at home – 2 (33%);
• Fiorentina BTTS away – 1 (25%).

The clash in Mainz promises to be one of the most intriguing of the round. The Germans have been consistent in Europe, despite their struggles in the Bundesliga, and will likely focus on defensive solidity and quick wing play. Fiorentina, on the other hand, take the field after a reshuffle and will play with the intent to prove they can overcome their crisis. Both teams have been cautious in the Conference League so far, emphasizing discipline and compactness. Prediction and bet: Fiorentina to score, as Mainz have conceded at home in 12 of their last 13 matches. The scoreline might be tight, with a single precise strike potentially deciding the outcome.