Atletico Madrid vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction for 5 November 2025 - Football

🔈 Can the "Colchoneros" solidify their position in the Champions League standings? In the fourth round, the Spanish club faces off against the clear underdog, Union Saint-Gilloise. Both teams have accumulated the same number of points, which only heightens the intrigue for this upcoming clash set to take place at the Wanda Metropolitano. The main question is: will the hosts justify their status as favorites, with bookmakers giving them an eightfold advantage?

Head-to-Head

📊 These clubs have not faced each other before.

Atletico Madrid Team Overview

⚪ Atlético Madrid's current European campaign isn't going as planned. After three matchdays, Los Colchoneros have only managed to secure 3 points, courtesy of a victory over Eintracht Frankfurt (5-1). However, their away clashes with English sides Liverpool (2-3) and Arsenal (0-4) ended in disaster for Diego Simeone's men. The upcoming fourth matchday presents a great opportunity for the capital club to strengthen their standing in the table and regain confidence. Interestingly, in their domestic league, Los Indios remain flawless with no defeats in their last ten matches.

🔴 In the previous Champions League round, Los Colchoneros faced Arsenal in London (0-4) at the Emirates. Diego Simeone's tactical approach was to maintain compactness during defensive phases, denying space to the English club's wingers. While this strategy worked in the first half, Atlético crumbled in the second half, conceding four unanswered goals. Last weekend, Los Indios hosted Sevilla (3-0) at home in the 11th round of the national league. In this encounter, they outperformed their opponents not only tactically but also physically—a crucial aspect that will define the team's position throughout the season.

Union Saint-Gilloise Team Overview

🟡 After their opening Champions League victory over PSV (3-1), the "Apaches" have suffered two defeats in the tournament, falling to Newcastle (0-4) and Inter Milan (0-4). This season marks the first time the Belgian side is participating in Europe's most prestigious club competition. These setbacks against European giants are attributed to a significant class gap and the reigning Belgian champions' lack of experience. Notably, last season, the "Unionists" ended a 90-year wait by triumphantly clinching the national championship.

🔵 In the previous Champions League round, the "Apaches" hosted Italian visitors Inter Milan at Lotto Park in Anderlecht, suffering a 0-4 defeat. During the first half, David Hubert's squad held their own against the "Nerazzurri," effectively employing a 3-5-2 tactical setup. However, a lapse in concentration towards the end of the first half led to their ultimate downfall. In domestic league play, Union Saint-Gilloise are thriving, sitting atop the standings with a three-point lead over their closest rivals. Over the weekend, the "Unionists" secured an impressive away victory against Zulte Waregem (4-1).

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Atletico Madrid

📰 It's worth noting that Atletico have trailed for just 1.8% of the time in the current La Liga season, the second-best record among the top five European leagues after Bayern Munich. Atletico's recent 3-0 victory over Sevilla was significant for the capital club. Under Simeone, Atletico have never lost at home to the Andalusian side, boasting 44 wins and 8 draws in 52 matches against teams from this autonomous community in Spain. Their last home defeat to a southern team was in December 2011, a 2-0 loss to Betis, which led to Gregorio Manzano's dismissal and Simeone's appointment. For Antoine, the recent success in La Liga held personal significance as he became the 11th player in history to score 200 goals in the league.

🎤 Following the recent La Liga clash, Diego Simeone publicly praised Alejandro Baena's performance: "I really liked him. He worked incredibly hard defensively. It's clear that near the opponent's goal, he has something more than the others. He provides us with alternatives." Currently, the 24-year-old Spanish playmaker leads the list of players with the most chances created since the start of last La Liga season, with 105. His closest rival is Raphinha, who has 104.

❌ Among the injured players for the capital club, only Pablo Barrios stands out with a muscle injury. Nicolas Gonzalez's participation in the upcoming match remains uncertain.

Union Saint-Gilloise

📰 David Hubert was appointed as the head coach of Union Saint-Gilloise only in mid-October. Since then, he has secured 4 wins in 5 matches, solidifying the team's leading position in the national championship, advancing to the last 16 of the domestic cup, and only falling to Inter Milan (0-4) in the Champions League. Here's what Alex Muzio, the club president, had to say about the Belgian specialist: "David was one of the first on our shortlist. A week before his appointment, we had a very productive discussion that immediately lifted our spirits. We were looking for someone who aligned with our values, our style of play, and our quality standards. In David, we found someone who meets all those criteria. Of course, this doesn't automatically guarantee success. We know what we're aiming for, and together with the coach, we'll write a new chapter on the strong foundation we already have."

❌ Among the unavailable players for Union Saint-Gilloise's upcoming European fixture are Guillaume François, Mohammed Fuseini, Ivan Pavlic, Jens Teunckens, with Ousmane Niang's participation also in doubt.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

Officiating this European clash will be a team of referees led by Norwegian Espen Andreas Eskas. Eskas is known for his lenient approach, averaging around 3.35 yellow cards per game. In 3 of his last 4 matches, he showed fewer than 4 yellow cards. Let's consider the average number of bookings each team has received in this season's Champions League: Atletico – 2.7, Union Saint-Gilloise – 3.5. Our pick is total yellow cards under 3.5.

⚽ Goal Prediction

In 4 of Union Saint-Gilloise's last 5 matches, there have been at least 3 goals scored. Interestingly, both teams have been involved in high-scoring games in this Champions League campaign, each featuring at least 3 goals. Let's note the average goal tally for these teams throughout the season: Atletico – 3.2, Union Saint-Gilloise – 2.9. Our editorial choice is over 2.5 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Both clubs have been earning a significant number of corners this season: Atletico – 5.7, Union Saint-Gilloise – 5.6. The Belgian side is particularly vulnerable in transition phases, which is a strength of the Spanish team. We anticipate a high-intensity game with plenty of wing play. Our suggested bet is total corners over 9.5.

Bookmakers have pegged Atletico Madrid as the clear favorites, so betting on the outcome might not be the most sensible move. Instead, it makes more sense to consider the potential for a high-scoring game. As previously noted, every match involving these teams in the current Champions League campaign has ended with a significant number of goals scored. Based on these observations, we anticipate an action-packed game with plenty of goals. A final score of 3-1 seems quite plausible, with the key pick being over 2.5 goals.