Oviedo vs Osasuna Prediction for 4 November 2025 - Football

🔈 Have the "Carbayones" recovered from their early exit in the Copa del Rey? The final match of the 11th round of La Liga sees Real Oviedo facing Osasuna at the "Nuevo Carlos Tartiere." Luis Carrión is still searching for his first win at the helm of the Oviedo club, and a home clash against the "Reds" promises to be anything but a walk in the park. Alessio Lisci is also encountering various challenges while leading the team from Pamplona, adding to the intrigue. Bookmakers anticipate a closely contested match, with no clear favorite emerging.

Head-to-Head

📊 The last time these teams faced off was during the 2018/19 Segunda Division season. They exchanged home victories: Osasuna triumphed at El Sadar (1-0), while Real Oviedo came out on top at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (2-1). The previous head-to-head in La Liga took place all the way back in February 2001, when the Carbayones were defeated 2-1 on their home turf. Let's note the average scoring rate for each side over their last 10 encounters: Real Oviedo – 1.3, Osasuna – 1.6.

Real Oviedo Team Overview

🟡 At this point in the season, Real Oviedo appear to be the most apparent underdogs in La Liga and the leading candidates for relegation from Spain's top flight. The resignation of Veljko Paunović was expected to provide a boost, and the arrival of Luis Carrión was supposed to help the team adapt more quickly to the challenges of La Liga. However, under the Spanish manager's guidance, the "Carbayones" fell to Espanyol (0-2), barely salvaged a draw against Girona (3-3), and were shockingly knocked out of the Copa del Rey in the 1/64 finals by Ourense (2-4 AET). Currently, the club from Oviedo sits 19th in the league standings, still hoping for brighter days ahead.

🔵 In the last round of La Liga, Real Oviedo fans experienced a rollercoaster of emotions. After extending their lead to two goals in the 57th minute, it seemed Girona had little chance. However, by the 90th minute, Michel's side had turned the game around to lead 3-2. Only a crucial strike from Davila Carmo secured a draw for the La Liga newcomers. It's worth noting that Luis Carrión's side continues to struggle with scoring, averaging just 0.7 goals per game—the worst in the league. Their early exit from the Copa del Rey has only increased the pressure on the newly appointed head coach, who has yet to deliver a victory in three matches. In his debut games, the Spanish tactician employed a 4-4-2 formation, aiming to avoid burdening his players with complex instructions and minimize stylistically heavy football.

Osasuna Team Overview

🔴 Alessio Lisci's team has hit a rough patch, losing to Atletico (0-1) and Celta (2-3) in their last two matches. Now, the "Reds" find themselves in 15th place in the La Liga standings, with just 10 points from 10 games. Their dismal away performance cannot be overlooked—zero points from five attempts, the worst record in the league. Furthermore, during this stretch, Osasuna managed to score only once, against Villarreal (1-2) at "La Ceramica." The team's average scoring this season stands at around 0.9 goals per match, while conceding 1.2 goals per game. Alessio Lisci faces a tough challenge: to bring stability to the team and steer them clear of a relegation battle.

📌 Last Wednesday, Osasuna also kicked off their campaign in the Copa del Rey. Their opponent in the first round was SD Sant Jordi, a team from Spain's regional leagues, whom they defeated 5-0. Alessio Lisci took the opportunity to rotate his squad, giving young players and reserves a chance to shine. The standout performer was Raul De Aro, who netted three goals. The Italian coach's style emphasizes defensive solidity and precise execution of instructions by every player. Thus, players who can maintain intensity throughout the match and possess high football intelligence and passing culture are highly valued.

Latest news

Real Oviedo

🎤 Following the final training session ahead of the clash with Osasuna, Luis Carrion addressed the media in the press center: "After the Cup match, we were furious, as expected. We've focused on the details that were lacking in recent days, preparing for the crucial match on Monday. We're making progress in the league and want to maintain that momentum after our Cup exit. We can't erase the defeat from our minds, but we must concentrate on getting everything right against Osasuna. After a game like the other day, it's essential to discuss and understand what you're doing well and what you're not. You have to give your all every single day. We've been doing that in training, but during tough moments in games, it can feel like the world is falling apart, and that needs to change. When things go wrong and it's your fault, not external factors, you need to talk less, work harder, and grit your teeth. Winning is the solution to everything."

❌ Among Real Oviedo's injured players are Josip Brekalo (groin injury) and Alvaro Lemos (knee injury). Santi Cazorla (ankle injury) and Ovimuno Ejaria (leg injury) remain doubtful for the upcoming match.

Osasuna

🎤 Following their 5-0 victory over Sant Jordi in the Copa del Rey's Round of 64, Alessio Lisci spoke to the media: “I think the players performed well, gave their all, and should be pleased with their performance. Overall, it was a match where we knew that due to the initial euphoria and excitement, some balls might end up in our penalty area, but we managed the situation well. When we executed our aerial plays effectively, we caused them damage. It always seems very simple, but the pitch, the style of play... the team needs to adapt to new conditions initially. Yes, we could have taken the lead earlier. But I think it's normal, considering the lineup often changes, and these things happen in the opening minutes. The important thing was to gradually improve our play as the match progressed, which we managed to do.”

❌ In Osasuna's injury list are Iker Benito (knee injury) and Valentin Rosier (hamstring injury). The participation of Sheraldo Becker (ankle injury) and Aimar Oroz (leg injury) is also in doubt for the upcoming match.

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

Both clubs are known for their combative nature. In head-to-head encounters between the "Carbayones" and the "Reds," there are approximately 5.3 bookings per game. This season, Real Oviedo average 2.5 yellow cards, while Osasuna tally 2.1. Our pick is over 3.5 total yellow cards.

⚽ Goal Prediction

This season, both Real Oviedo and Osasuna face a similar issue—low scoring rates. The "Reds" average around 0.9 goals per game, while the "Carbayones" manage just 0.7. Over their last six head-to-head matches, the games have been low-scoring, averaging about 2.2 goals per match. Therefore, a total under 2.5 goals bet seems reasonable.

🚩 Corner Prediction

The low average number of corners is another defining statistic for both teams this season: Real Oviedo with 3.5 and Osasuna with 2.4. Notably, in each of the last nine matches involving the "Reds," there have been no more than 10 corner kicks. We don't anticipate overly intense play with high wing activity. Our choice is under 9.5 total corners.

The "Carbayones" feature the least effective attacking line in the league. With Luis Carrión's arrival, the situation at the club not only failed to improve but in many ways worsened. Meanwhile, it's worth noting that Osasuna are among the top defensive teams in La Liga. We believe it's unrealistic to expect dominant and high-scoring football from the hosts. A final score of 0-1 seems reasonable. The key bet is Real Oviedo's individual total under 1 goal.