Lazio vs Cagliari Prediction for 4 November 2025 - Football

📢 Will Lazio close out Serie A's tenth round with a home victory against Cagliari? The match takes place at the Stadio Olimpico, and both teams come into it with equally concerning outlooks. The Eagles and the Islanders sit in the lower half of the table, clearly dissatisfied with their season start. What's at stake is the chance to slightly improve their standings and offer fans hope for a better stretch in November.

Head-to-Head

📊 The head-to-head history between Lazio and Cagliari over recent years includes 34 matches, with the Roman side's dominance being more than evident: 25 wins, just 4 draws, and only 5 losses. Last season, the "Eagles" once again showcased their high caliber, defeating their opponents twice with the same scoreline of 2-1, both in Rome and Sardinia.

Lazio Rome Team Overview

🔵 Lazio continue to be unpredictable, alternating between strong performances and disappointing results. After a crucial home victory against Juventus (1-0), the Romans failed to defeat league newcomers Pisa away (0-0), who were in the relegation zone at the time. In fact, the "Eagles" didn't outplay their opponents, so a draw seems like a fair outcome. However, it's worth noting their defensive improvement: Lazio have not conceded in three consecutive matches. Yet, during the same period, they've scored only one goal, highlighting their current struggles in attack.

⚪ After nine rounds, the Romans find themselves in the lower half of the table with 12 points—a result that falls short of fan expectations, even considering the transfer ban and injury crisis.

Cagliari Calcio Team Overview

🔴 Cagliari find themselves in an even more challenging situation than Lazio: a five-match winless streak speaks volumes. The team has been conceding more frequently and their attacking prowess has noticeably diminished, consistently struggling to create chances. As a result, they have slipped to 14th in the standings, although they still maintain a buffer from the relegation zone.

🔵 In the previous round, Cagliari failed to overcome Sassuolo at home, losing 1-2. The performance was lackluster across the board: just 8 shots in total, with only one on target. Even their possession was lower than their opponent's (46% compared to 54%), which is unacceptable for a team playing at home against a league newcomer.

Latest news

Lazio Rome

📣 After a goalless draw against Pisa (0-0), Lazio's head coach Maurizio Sarri remarked, "We did far too little in attack; it was clearly not enough... It's tough for everyone against Pisa—they've taken points from Milan and Atalanta, and now from us." Sarri also addressed the high expectations: "If anyone expects more from this team, they've picked the wrong season."

🚫 Lazio are facing significant squad issues. Nuno Tavares, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Matteo Cancellieri, and Valentin Castellanos are all sidelined with muscle injuries/thigh problems and are expected to return by mid-November. The participation of Samuel Gigot and Nicolò Rovella is also in doubt.

Cagliari Calcio

📣 Following the 2-1 defeat to Sassuolo, Cagliari's head coach Fabio Pisacane remarked, "We played well for the first 40 minutes, then we physically dipped a bit, but the team didn't give up and fought till the end... We wanted to secure a win for our fans. It didn't happen—it's very painful, but we need to work even harder... We remain positive. If we maintain today's spirit and wait for our injured players to return, I'm confident we'll reach our goal."

🚫 Cagliari are also dealing with numerous absences. Andrea Belotti is set to return only by early April following an ACL injury. Boris Radunović remains sidelined due to a calf injury. Marko Rog is expected back around mid-November as he deals with a muscle issue. Adam Obert will miss the match due to accumulated yellow cards. Nicola Pintus and Alessandro Deiola are doubtful, experiencing physical discomfort.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

⚽️ Goal Prediction

As we've noted, Lazio have significantly improved their defense: they have kept a clean sheet in three consecutive matches, including against high-caliber opponents. For instance, Atalanta (0-0) and Juventus (1-0). Cagliari, on the other hand, are in poor form; their attacking line is struggling to create dangerous chances and has almost stopped scoring, especially away from home. Therefore, our bet is Cagliari will not score.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Neither team is known for their aggressive play in the opponent's half, which is directly reflected in their corner statistics. This season, Cagliari rank among the worst in this category, averaging only 3.0 corners per match, with only Cremonese (2.8) and... Lazio (2.8), who they are set to face, performing worse. Given these modest numbers, it's unlikely we'll see many set pieces. Our bet is total under 9.5 corners.