Sunderland vs Everton Prediction for 4 November 2025 - Football

🔊 The final match of the 10th round of the Premier League will take place at the Stadium of Light in Sunderland. The home team, a surprise package at the start of the season, will host Everton, who also aimed for that title but have since slid down the table. Can the Toffees return to picking up points, or will the Black Cats continue to astonish by holding onto their top-four spot? Bookmakers are leaning heavily towards the latter scenario. To find out what our editorial team believes, read this prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 Everton have triumphed over Sunderland in 4 of their last 5 head-to-head encounters, but this is more of a reference point. The last clash between these teams was way back in September 2017, so these results hold little significance when predicting the upcoming match.

Sunderland Team Overview

Against the expectations of many, Sunderland show no signs of slowing down. Since September, the team has only once left the field without points, which happened when they rightfully lost away to Manchester United (0-2). Following that setback, the "Black Cats" not only kept their spirits high but also secured back-to-back victories.

The win over Chelsea in the last round was truly sensational. Regis Le Bris' men were unfazed by an early goal conceded at Stamford Bridge. Thanks to Wilson Isidor, they quickly equalized, and in stoppage time of the second half, Shemsdin Talbi's debut goal earned Sunderland all three points (2-1). The Championship newcomers even surpassed the club world champions in expected goals (1.56-1.18), although overall, the xPTS metric suggests they have accumulated nearly 5.35 points more than they should have.

Everton Team Overview

Everton started the season brightly, finding themselves near the top of the table. However, as the season progressed, their form has dipped. Until the last round, the Toffees could at least boast an unbeaten run at their new stadium, but that is no longer the case. A 0-3 defeat to a shaky Tottenham came as something of a shock.

David Moyes' side have now gone two rounds without scoring, although it's worth noting that this might not be entirely deserved. Considering the level of competition, their expected goals tally of 2.43 in matches against Man City and Tottenham is quite respectable. The xG metric also indicates that over the course of nine rounds, the Blues have underperformed by around 3.37 goals. This suggests that while their attack shows promise, they need to improve their finishing.

Latest news

Sunderland

🎙 Régis Le Bris was understandably pleased with the victory over Chelsea and didn't hide it during the press conference: "We established our playing identity during preseason—team unity, the ability to defend, and resilience. We lacked a bit of balance in possession, but overall, we performed well, found open spaces, and pressed high whenever possible. When it wasn't possible, we defended smartly with a low block because the opponent can punish you in midfield. We played excellently, and I'm very proud of the team and the staff. I'm proud of those who started and those who came off the bench to play crucial roles again. We've worked hard and showed great football," said Sunderland's head coach.

❌ The hosts have several absentees, but all have been known for a while. Habib Diarra, Alese Ajiibola, Romain Mundle, Leo Hjelde, and Dennis Cirkin remain sidelined. However, there are positives—Simon Adingra and Omar Alderete are set to return to the squad after recovering from injuries.

Everton

🎙 At the pre-match press conference, David Moyes was questioned about the forwards' lack of scoring. The Scottish manager responded, "Of course, we want our central strikers to score more. Regardless of what we say, we're creating plenty of chances and maintaining possession much more than before; we're more creative in our play. So we hope to create even more opportunities, and the strikers will convert them."

❌ The visitors still face the same two absences as in the previous round—defenders Nathan Patterson and Jarrad Branthwaite are unavailable due to injuries.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The responsibility of maintaining order on the pitch in the upcoming match falls to Thomas Bramall. The English referee isn't known for hoarding yellow cards, nor is he overly generous with them—his average over the last ten Premier League matches stands at 3.2 cautions per game. Considering Sunderland's players don't frequently find themselves in the referee's book (averaging 1.56 bookings per game), we suggest betting on under 3.5 yellow cards. This wager has come through in 6 of the last 7 matches officiated by Thomas Bramall.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Looking at the trends, one stands out: Sunderland have a habit of scoring after the break in home games. They've done so in five consecutive matches, and with Everton conceding in the second half in 4 of their last 5 outings, it could easily become a sixth. Based on this, we recommend the following bet: the home team to score in the 2nd half.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Today's opponents don't seem to place much importance on corners, or at least they don't earn them frequently. Sunderland average four corners per home game, while Everton manage 2.75 on the road. However, that's enough to back over 3.5 corners for Sunderland, as the team has surpassed this mark in 21 of their last 23 home matches!

Everton, having lost three out of four away matches in the current Premier League campaign, are surprisingly considered favorites in their away clash against Sunderland, who have been exceptionally strong at home, securing the majority of their points at the Stadium of Light. Only Aston Villa conceded fewer than two goals here, and that was because the Black Cats were reduced to ten men in the first half. The reasoning behind these odds is a mystery to us. Based on the above, we opt for the most straightforward bet – Sunderland will not lose. We believe the hosts will secure a 2-1 victory, but when the odds allow for a safety net, it would be foolish not to take advantage of it.