Brighton vs Leeds Prediction for 1 November 2025 - Football

🔊 What will be the outcome of the Premier League clash between table neighbors Brighton and Leeds? Just one point separates the teams, but they head into this head-to-head with contrasting moods. Brighton are coming off two consecutive defeats in the league and cup, while Leeds secured a victory in their last Premier League outing. However, the "Peacocks" now face a trip to the Amex Stadium, where the "Seagulls" remain unbeaten this season. Which team's motivation will prevail? Let's delve into our insightful prediction.

Head-to-Head

🔊 Leeds have yet to boast a victory over Brighton in the top division. Since 2021, the teams have faced off six times. Albion have secured victory in three of those encounters, while the sides have shared the spoils in the other three. Only one of these matches saw the total goals exceed 2.5.

Brighton & Hove Albion Team Overview

Brighton, alongside Brentford, are the most prolific teams in the bottom half of the Premier League table, each netting 14 goals. Such stats could have placed Fabian Hurzeler's side in the top ten if not for their defense. So far, the Seagulls have conceded in every Premier League round. Even Bart Verbruggen's goal was breached by Manchester United (2-4). Incidentally, the Red Devils became only the second team from the current top six to defeat Albion this season, not counting their exit from the EFL Cup at the hands of Arsenal (0-2) earlier this week.

Danny Welbeck has hit something close to prime form. Last season was his most productive in five years at Brighton, scoring 10 goals in the Premier League. This season, the Englishman has already reached half of that tally. Initially not a guaranteed starter, Welbeck has now featured in the starting lineup for three consecutive matches, scoring all five of his goals in the last four rounds.

Leeds United Team Overview

The "Peacocks" are still far from consistently picking up points, but they are gradually distancing themselves from the relegation zone. They currently have a solid six-point cushion. This was made possible by their victory in the 9th round against West Ham (2-1). Despite the narrow scoreline, Daniel Farke's side settled the outcome within the first 15 minutes, conceding the only goal right at the end of the match. It was fortunate that the game took place at Elland Road, as Leeds have only managed to beat a struggling Wolverhampton (3-1) on the road this season. Even their trip to Sheffield Wednesday in the EFL Cup at the end of August ended unsuccessfully (1-1 in regular time and 0-3 on penalties).

Lately, Leeds' main threat has come from players deeper on the pitch. For instance, Joe Rodon has scored two goals in four rounds. The central defender has been making an impact not only for his club but also for his national team, having scored against Belgium for Wales during the last international break. Sean Longstaff also deserves mention. The summer signing quickly became a key player for the team. Only five "Peacocks" players have more minutes on the pitch than him. Over the past four matches, the midfielder has also contributed three points (1 goal, 2 assists).

Latest news

Brighton & Hove Albion

🎙 Brighton's head coach commented on his team's exit from the English League Cup at the hands of Arsenal. "Had we converted all our chances, we'd be in the next round. It's about scoring goals and defending against conceded ones. We didn't score ourselves and failed to defend in crucial moments. You can't win if you don't score and keep a clean sheet. Every goal boosts confidence, but I don't think that's why we lost. We had good opportunities in the second half," said Fabian Hurzeler.

❌ Brighton have a significant injury list. Solly March and Adam Webster have been out since the start of the season. During the campaign, Jack Hinshelwood, Brian Gruda, Kaoru Mitoma, and Joel Veltman have also been sidelined. James Milner missed the last match due to a muscle injury.

Leeds United

🎙 Leeds United's head coach will join the ranks of five Premier League managers set to receive an award from the Football Writers' Association. Daniel Farke has earned recognition following the 2024/25 Championship season, during which the Whites amassed 100 points. The coach has been invited to the awards ceremony in Manchester next month, which the English Football Association has dubbed the "Coaches' Hall of Fame." The association confirmed that Farke will be included in this category for the first time, alongside four of his Premier League counterparts.

❌ Unlike Brighton, Leeds have not been heavily impacted by injuries. Currently, Gabriel Gudmundsson, who was substituted in the last Premier League round, and Wilfried Gnonto, who underwent hernia surgery, are sidelined. However, both players are expected to recover soon.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Michael Oliver. His average for yellow cards in the last 20 Premier League matches stands at 3.3. However, head-to-head clashes between these teams are known for their intensity. The previous four encounters averaged four cautions per game. In 3 out of 5 games involving each team, there were at least four yellow cards issued. With both sides vying for a top-ten spot, we expect no let-up in intensity from either team. Our prediction: total yellow cards over 3.5.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

The upcoming opponents are not known for their defensive stability. They are separated by just one place in the Premier League standings and have conceded the same number of goals. Brighton have conceded more despite having more points (15 compared to 14). Meanwhile, Leeds have gone six consecutive matches without a clean sheet, compared to five for the Seagulls. Why all this context? Because we anticipate an entertaining match where both teams will score at least one goal each.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Brighton boast a strong midfield led by Carlos Baleba, who is coveted by many top clubs. The defensive midfielder orchestrates the team’s play from deep and can launch attacks through quick flanks. Fabian Hürzeler has several tactical options at his disposal, often resulting in territorial dominance over opponents, as seen against Manchester United away. This allows the Seagulls to maintain a mid-table position in the Premier League for corners earned per match (averaging 4.89). In 5 of their last 6 games, Albion have earned at least six corners. We expect that on this occasion at the Amex, Brighton's total corners will exceed 4.5.

Brighton are known for giving opportunities to teams below their level. With all due respect to Leeds, let's not forget that Daniel Farke's side is in their first season after promotion, which explains the more than double difference in odds. But let's return to the beginning of the paragraph and not rush to conclusions.

Both teams display solid attacking play. Brighton have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven matches. Leeds have been more modest in this regard, but the "Peacocks" are gaining confidence with every game in their build-up play. Their expected goals average has been higher than their opponents for four consecutive matches, including games against top-three Premier League sides like Tottenham and Bournemouth. All signs point to an open, high-scoring game. We support this expectation with a bet on over 2.5 total goals. We give Brighton the edge for a better conversion rate (2-1).