TIPS - Fortuna Dusseldorf VS SC Freiburg

[(Fortuna Dusseldorf) Strength]:
1. Fortuna Dusseldorf have a good record against SC Freiburg, losing only 1 of their last 5 encounters, giving them a certain psychological advantage.

[(Fortuna Dusseldorf) Weakness]:
1. Fortuna Dusseldorf are currently performing poorly in the league and are close to the relegation zone, which may make it difficult for the team to focus on the domestic cup. Facing SC Freiburg, a Bundesliga team a level above, their home motivation is questionable.
2. Fortuna Dusseldorf defenders Christopher Lenz and Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson, midfielder Sotiris Alexandropoulos, and forwards Julian Hettwer and Tim Rossmann are all unavailable for this match.
3. Fortuna Dusseldorf have won 2, drawn 0, and lost 4 in their last 6 official matches, with a win rate of 33.3%, indicating relatively poor overall form.
4. Fortuna Dusseldorf's offensive performance is average, scoring 6 goals in their last 6 matches across all competitions, averaging 1 goal per game, with poor attacking efficiency.
5. Fortuna Dusseldorf have serious defensive issues, conceding 10 goals in their last 6 matches across all competitions, averaging nearly 2 goals conceded per game, showing an imbalance between offense and defense.
6. At home, Fortuna Dusseldorf have performed extremely poorly this season, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in 5 league home games, failing to secure a victory.
7. Fortuna Dusseldorf have lost all 3 of their recent matches in AH, and lost all 5 of their recent home matches in AH, showing poor overall performance in payout.

[(SC Freiburg) Strength]:
1. SC Freiburg have won 2, drawn 3, and lost 1 in their last 6 official matches, showing relatively stable overall form.
2. SC Freiburg's offensive performance is decent, scoring 9 goals in their last 6 matches across all competitions, averaging over 1 goal per game, with stable attacking efficiency.
3. SC Freiburg's defense is solid, conceding 6 goals in their last 6 matches across all competitions, averaging 1 goal conceded per game, showing a balanced performance in both offense and defense.
4. SC Freiburg have won 2, drawn 1, and lost 1 in their last 4 away matches against Fortuna Dusseldorf. The most recent encounter was in the 2019 season, when they defeated the opponents 2-1 away, giving them a slight advantage in head-to-head records.

[(SC Freiburg) Weakness]:
1. SC Freiburg currently have a busy schedule with domestic league and Europa League matches, putting significant physical strain on the main players. This match is likely to see many rotations, and their motivation to win is average.
2. SC Freiburg midfielders Daniel-Kofi Kyereh and Patrick Osterhage, and forward Eren Dinkci are all unavailable.
3. In away matches, SC Freiburg have performed poorly this season, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses in 4 league away matches.
4. SC Freiburg's recent performance in payout is average, with only 4 wins in their last 10 matches in AH, and failing to win in their last 2 away matches in AH.

[Tips]:
First, in terms of overall team strength and league level, SC Freiburg, as a Bundesliga team, have a squad value more than three times that of Fortuna Dusseldorf, reflecting a huge gap in individual player ability and overall configuration between the two sides.

Although SC Freiburg may rotate their lineup due to a congested schedule, the strength and experience of their substitute players still far exceed Fortuna Dusseldorf's main players.

Secondly, in terms of recent form, SC Freiburg's overall performance is relatively stable, while Fortuna Dusseldorf are stuck in a three-game losing streak, especially with an extremely poor home record, having failed to win in five league home games this season, with team morale and confidence at a low point.

In both offense and defense, SC Freiburg's attacking firepower is significantly stronger than Fortuna Dusseldorf's, with a higher average number of goals scored and multiple scoring methods such as set-pieces.

Fortuna Dusseldorf not only struggle offensively, averaging less than one goal per game, but their defense is also full of holes.

In conclusion, we expect the visitors to win this match.

[Recommended]:
SC Freiburg (-0.5)