Paderborn vs Leverkusen Prediction for 30 October 2025 - Football

🔊 Paderborn are set to host Bayer Leverkusen at the "Home Deluxe Arena" in the DFB-Pokal Round of 16. The hosts come into this clash buoyed by their victory over Dynamo Dresden and an impressive display in the previous round, where they defeated Viktoria Köln 3-1. Leverkusen arrive in Paderborn as the favorites. Kasper Hjulmand’s side have been showing consistent form in the Bundesliga, securing a 2-0 win against Freiburg, and have won their last four head-to-head encounters with Paderborn. Nevertheless, Paderborn will look to capitalize on their home advantage and fan support to mount a challenge and aim for an upset.

Head-to-Head

The last official encounter between these teams took place on 07 December 2023 and ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the match statistics (with Bayer as the home side):

• possession: 65% vs 35%;
• corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
• fouls: 4 vs 11;
• yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
• shots on target: 8 vs 2.

📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Paderborn and Bayer:

• 4 matches played;
• home wins – 0, away wins – 4, draws – 0;
• goals scored – 4 for Paderborn, 11 for Bayer;
• average total in the first half – 2.5, in the second half – 1.25;
• average total goals per match – 3.75.

Paderborn 07 Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on in the 2. Bundesliga, with Dynamo Dresden hosting Paderborn. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.

Here are the game statistics (Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden):

• possession: 54% vs 46%;
• corner kicks: 4 vs 10;
• fouls: 14 vs 9;
• yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
• shots on target: 4 vs 3.

⚫ In the previous round of the DFB-Pokal, Paderborn secured an away victory against Viktoria Cologne from the Third Division with a 3-1 scoreline, netting all three goals within the first 45 minutes. Adriano Grimaldi scored a brace, while Philipp Bilbija added the third. In the 2. Bundesliga, Ralf Kettemann's side continues to impress with just one defeat in 10 matches—the fewest in the league—and they are currently on a six-game winning streak. Despite this form, the team sits in second place with 23 points, trailing Schalke by just one point.

Bayer Leverkusen Team Overview

The visitors' last official match took place on in the Bundesliga, with Bayer hosting Freiburg. The game ended with a 2-0 victory for Bayer.

Here are the match statistics (Bayer vs Freiburg):

• possession percentage: 69% vs 31%;
• corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
• fouls: 9 vs 8;
• yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
• shots on target: 4 vs 3.

🔴 Bayer, under the leadership of Erik ten Hag, thrashed Grossaspach from the Southwest Regional League 4-0 in the DFB-Pokal Round of 32, with goals from Patrik Schick, Arthur, Christian Kouffane, and Alex Grimaldo. Shortly after, ten Hag departed the club, and Danish coach Kasper Hjulmand took over. Under Hjulmand, the team has played nine matches, losing only once—to PSG (2-7) in the Champions League. In the Bundesliga, the "pharmacists" are on solid ground, sitting in fifth place and boasting a seven-match unbeaten streak. Their recent 2-0 victory against Freiburg boosted the players' confidence. Leverkusen heads to Paderborn aiming for a decisive win to extend their successful run.

Prediction for the 1st half

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 4;
• First-half wins for the home team – 0; for the away team – 1; draws – 0;
• Average first-half total: 2.5;
• Today's home team averages 0.5 goals, while the visitors score 2.

First-Half Statistics: Paderborn (home) vs Bayer (away)

• Matches played in the tournament: 0 vs 1;
• Wins: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
• Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
• Draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
• Average goals scored: 0 vs 1;
• Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.

Last 10 Matches (Overall):

• Wins: 4 vs 5;
• Losses: 2 vs 2;
• Draws: 4 vs 3;
• Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored – 0.8, conceded – 0.5) vs 1.9 (scored – 1.1, conceded – 0.8).

• Bayer have conceded in the first half in 6 of their last 7 away matches.

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Number of encounters – 4;
• Home wins – 0, Away wins – 4, Draws – 0.

• Paderborn wins with a +1.5 handicap in 29 of their last 30 matches.
• Paderborn wins with a +1.5 handicap at home in 23 of their last 24 matches.

Total Goals Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches

• Average goals by home team – 1, away team – 2.75;
• Average total goals in head-to-head matches – 3.75;
• Both teams scored: overall – 3 times; at the home team's ground – once.

• Bayer scores more than 1.5 goals away in 7 consecutive matches.

Corners Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches

• Average total corners in head-to-head matches – 10.75 (5.25 for the home team and 5.5 for the away team);
• Average total corners at the home ground – 10 (6 for the home team and 4 for the away team).

Paderborn: Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament – 0; at home – 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total – 5; at home – 7.

Bayer: Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament – 4, away – 4;
• Last 10 matches: average total – 3.9; away – 4.

• Total over 8.5 corners hit in 6 of Paderborn's last 7 home matches.
• Total over 8.5 corners hit in Bayer's last 5 consecutive matches (German Cup).

Cards Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches

• Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches – 3 (1.5 for the home team and 1.5 for the away team);
• Average total yellow cards at the home ground – 4 (3 for the home team and 1 for the away team).

Paderborn: Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament – 3; at home – 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total – 2.3; at home – 2.75.

Bayer: Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament – 2, away – 2;
• Last 10 matches: average total – 2.7; away – 3.75.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Number of encounters – 4;
• Both teams scored overall – 3 times;
• At the home team's ground – once.

• Bayer both scores and concedes away in 7 of their last 8 matches.

Paderborn enter the match in excellent form: a streak of six consecutive wins, sitting second in the 2. Bundesliga table, and a commanding victory in the previous round of the German Cup have boosted Ralf Kettemann's squad's morale. Bayer, despite being favorites and maintaining an unbeaten run, face the strain from recent Champions League fixtures and potential squad rotation. The head-to-head history also favors the visitors, but Paderborn at home are capable of putting up a fight and attempting to spring a surprise. Our prediction: total goals under 3.5 – this outcome has occurred in 7 of the hosts' last 8 matches. Leverkusen are likely to advance to the next stage, but it won't be easy – 2-1.