Mainz vs Stuttgart Prediction for 30 October 2025 - Football

🔊 On October 29, Mainz will host Stuttgart in the Round of 16 of the DFB-Pokal. The teams recently faced off in the Bundesliga, with Stuttgart playing at home. Mainz took an early lead through a goal by Nadim Amiri, but Stuttgart turned the match around with precise strikes from Chris Führich and Deniz Undav, securing a 2-1 victory. Both clubs enter this cup tie amid a hectic schedule—four matches in ten days—but coaches Bo Henriksen and Sebastian Hoeness plan to utilize their key players to advance to the next round. Stuttgart, the current Cup holders, arrive in Mainz as favorites, showcasing consistent form and confident play this season. A tense and unpredictable clash is expected, with each team fighting for victory.

Head-to-Head

The last official clash between the teams took place on 27 October 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Stuttgart were the home side):

• possession: 60% vs 40%;
• corners: 7 vs 5;
• fouls: 11 vs 12;
• yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
• shots on target: 8 vs 2.

📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Mainz and Stuttgart:

• 36 matches played;
• home victories – 11, away victories – 16, draws – 9;
• goals scored – 51 for Mainz, 62 for Stuttgart;
• average goals in the first half – 1.17, second half – 1.97;
• average total goals per match – 3.14.

Mainz Team Overview

The last official match took place on in the Bundesliga, with Stuttgart hosting Mainz. The game concluded with a 2-1 victory.

Here are the match statistics (Mainz vs Stuttgart):

• possession: 40% vs 60%;
• corner kicks: 5 vs 7;
• fouls: 12 vs 11;
• yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
• shots on target: 2 vs 8.

🔴In the previous round, Mainz claimed an away victory over Dynamo Dresden, a team that ascended from the Third League to the 2. Bundesliga this season, thanks to a first-half goal by Nadim Amiri (1-0). Following this success, the club advanced to the main stage of the Europa Conference League, defeating Rosenborg with an aggregate score of 5-3, and then went on to win their first two matches in the group stage of Europe's third-tier club competition.

⚪ However, things are much tougher for the "Nullfünfer" in the Bundesliga: after eight rounds, Mainz sit in 16th place in the standings. Bo Henriksen's side has managed just one win in eight games and has already suffered six defeats, highlighting significant issues with their performance and consistency.

Stuttgart Team Overview

The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Bundesliga, where Stuttgart hosted Mainz. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory for the home side.

Here are the match statistics (Stuttgart vs Mainz):

• possession: 60% vs 40%;
• corners: 7 vs 5;
• fouls: 11 vs 12;
• yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
• shots on target: 8 vs 2.

⚪ The reigning DFB-Pokal champions Stuttgart navigated a challenging encounter in Braunschweig. The local side, Eintracht, opened the scoring in the 8th minute, but Ermedin Demirović equalized just three minutes later. In the second half, Demirović put the visitors ahead, only for Stuttgart to concede twice between the 77th and 85th minutes, necessitating another comeback. With just a minute left in regulation, Nick Woltemade (who soon transferred to Newcastle) leveled the score, sending the game into extra time. There, the visitors took the lead again thanks to an own goal, but Eintracht equalized, pushing the match to a penalty shootout where Stuttgart narrowly triumphed 8-7.

🔴 Ahead of their clash with Mainz, Sebastian Hoeneß's side are in impressive form, having secured five consecutive league victories. This streak, including a come-from-behind win over Mainz, has propelled the Swabians to third place with 18 points—just one behind Leipzig and six adrift of Bayern Munich. However, their Europa League campaign is less promising: after a home win against Celta Vigo (2-1), Stuttgart suffered back-to-back away defeats to Basel (0-2) and Fenerbahçe (0-1). After three rounds of Europe's second-tier club competition, the team sits only in 29th place.

Prediction for the 1st half

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 36;
• First-half wins for hosts (at home) – 4; for visitors (away) – 2; draws – 12;
• Average first-half total: 1.17;
• Today's home team averages 0.56 goals, while the visitors average 0.61.

First-Half Statistics: Mainz (home) vs Stuttgart (away)

• Matches played in the tournament: 0 vs 1;
• Wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
• Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
• Draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
• Average goals scored: 0 vs 2;
• Average goals conceded: 0 vs 1.

Last 10 Matches (Overall):

• Wins: 3 vs 3;
• Losses: 5 vs 2;
• Draws: 2 vs 5;
• Average first-half total: 1.9 (scored – 0.8, conceded – 1.1) vs 0.9 (scored – 0.5, conceded – 0.4).

• Mainz have drawn the first half at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings with this team.

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 36;
• Home wins – 11, Away wins – 16, Draws – 9.

• Mainz have failed to win in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head meetings with Stuttgart.
• Stuttgart are unbeaten in their last 6 matches in the DFB-Pokal.

Total Goals Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches

• Average goals scored by the home team - 1.42, by the away team - 1.72;
• Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.14;
• Both teams have scored: overall - 25 times; at the home team's ground - 12 times.

• Under 3.5 goals has been a trend in Stuttgart's last 8 matches.

Corners Prediction

Mainz: Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 4; at home - 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 6.1; at home - 5.6.

Stuttgart: Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 7, away - 7;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 6.4; away - 6.6.

• Mainz have taken over 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head encounters with Stuttgart.
• Mainz have taken over 4.5 corners at home in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters with Stuttgart.

Cards Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches

• Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.5 (1.75 for the home team and 1.75 for the away team);
• Average total yellow cards at the home team's ground - 3.89 (1.67 for the home team and 2.22 for the away team).

Mainz: Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 2; at home - 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; at home - 2.2.

Stuttgart: Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 5, away - 5;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; away - 1.8.

• Under 5.5 yellow cards has been a trend in Stuttgart's last 5 matches in the DFB-Pokal.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 36;
• Both teams have scored overall - 25 times;
• At the home team's ground - 12 times.

• Mainz have both scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings with Stuttgart.

Mainz and Stuttgart approach this cup clash in contrasting forms. Mainz are grappling with significant challenges in the Bundesliga and are clinging to victories in the Conference League, while Stuttgart are on a high following a five-match winning streak in the Bundesliga, entering the game as the reigning Cup holders. Despite the packed schedules for both teams, the edge in stability and confidence lies with the visitors. However, our prediction is: both teams to score (yes), as we doubt Mainz will go down without a fight at the Mewa Arena. Ultimately, we lean towards a Stuttgart victory – 2-1.