Swansea vs Man City Prediction for 30 October 2025 - Football

🔊 The only matchup of the day featuring teams from different strength divisions. Swansea are struggling in the middle of the Championship table, while Manchester City are vying for the Premier League title. Thus, their away status doesn't intimidate the "Citizens" in this League Cup Round of 16 clash, set to take place on October 29 at the "Swansea.com" Stadium. Let's delve into the details of this upcoming encounter.

Head-to-Head

📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Swansea City and Manchester City:

• played 17 matches;
• number of wins for the home team – 1, for the away team – 14, draws – 2;
• number of goals – 14 against 42;
• average total in the 1st half – 1.24, in the 2nd half – 2.06;
• average total goals in the match – 3.29.

Swansea City Team Overview

The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team – Swansea City, away team – Norwich City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

Here's the game statistics (Swansea City vs Norwich City):

• ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
• corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
• fouls: 13 vs 12;
• yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
• shots on target: 3 vs 3.

In the Championship, Swansea have been underwhelming. A victory, like their recent 2-1 win against Norwich, is a rare occurrence. They are truly a team of balance, with 12 matches yielding four wins, four draws, and four losses, alongside a goal difference of zero.

However, the "Swans" made some noise in the League Cup. They advanced past two lower-division opponents before raising the bar significantly with a 3-2 victory over Nottingham Forest. It might not have been entirely deserved, considering their xG was 0.75 compared to Forest's 2.86, but they still managed to overcome a Premier League side. Cameron Burgess played a crucial role with his brace, although the defender hasn't scored since then.

Manchester City Team Overview

The away team played their last official match on as part of the Premier League tournament (home team – Aston Villa, away – Manchester City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.

Here are the match stats (Manchester City vs Aston Villa):

• ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
• corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
• fouls: 16 vs 8;
• yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
• shots on target: 4 vs 3.

While Swansea ended their winless streak over the weekend, Manchester City suffered their first defeat in a long time. Specifically, it was their first loss since August. Their setback came in a match against Aston Villa (0-1), ending not only their unbeaten run but also Erling Haaland's 12-match scoring streak.

In the League Cup, the "Citizens" advanced past one round, barely noticing their opponent Huddersfield (2-0), even with a semi-reserve lineup. Phil Foden emerged as the standout performer in that match, contributing both a goal and an assist.

Prediction for the 1st half

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 17;
• First-half wins at home for hosts – 1; for visitors away – 3; number of draws – 6;
• Average first-half total: 1.24;
• Today's home team scores on average 0.41, while the visitors net 0.82.

First-Half Stats: Swansea City (home) vs Manchester City (away)

• matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 1;
• wins: 1 (33.33%) vs 1 (100%);
• losses: 1 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
• draws: 1 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
• Average goals scored: 1.67 vs 1;
• Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.

Last 10 Matches (Overall):

• wins: 0 vs 6;
• losses: 3 vs 1;
• draws: 7 vs 3;
• Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored – 0.4, conceded – 0.8) vs 1.2 (scored – 0.9, conceded – 0.3).

• Manchester City have won the 1st half in 9 of last 10 away games.

Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

• number of encounters – 17;
• home team wins – 1, away team wins – 14, draws – 2.

• Swansea City won with a +2.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 home games against Manchester City.
• Swansea City won with a +2.5 handicap in last 32 games.
• Swansea City won with a +2.5 handicap in last 27 home games.

Prediction on the over/under

H2H

• today's home team scores on average - 0.82, the guests - 2.47;
• average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.29;
• both teams scored: overall - 10; at the home team's field - 7.

Statistics: Swansea City vs Manchester City

• average total in the tournament: 3.67 vs 2;
• average total goals scored: 2.33 vs 2;
• average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 1;
• average total in the 2nd half: 1.67 vs 1;
• Swansea City: average total at home in the tournament -  2.33;
• Manchester City: average total away in the tournament - 2;
• last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.5) vs 2 (away - 1.33).

• Over 2.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Swansea City games against Manchester City.
• Over 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Swansea City home games against Manchester City.

Prediction on corners

Swansea City: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.67; at home field - 4.67;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.

Manchester City: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5, away - 5;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 3.33.

• Swansea City have taken over 2.5 corners in 15 of last 17 home games.

Prediction on cards

H2H

• average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 1.3 (0.65 - for home team and 0.65 - for away team);
• average Over/Under yellow cards at home team's field - 2.1 (0.6 - for home team and 1.5 - for away team).

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

• number of encounters – 17;
• both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
• on the home team’s field - 7 times.

• Swansea City have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against Manchester City.
• Swansea City have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games.

What should be considered ahead of the upcoming match? In our view, the key factor is Man City's schedule. The "Citizens" face a tough Premier League challenge against Bournemouth this weekend, followed by a Champions League clash with Borussia Dortmund. This implies only one thing—Guardiola will need to rotate his squad. Several key players won't be on the field, and the visitors are unlikely to push for a big win. A repeat of the previous round's scoreline would suit them just fine, although we do anticipate a goal from the home side. Our prediction is a 2-1 victory for the "Sky Blues". However, our main bet is Swansea to win with a +2.5 handicap.