Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction for 30 October 2025 - Football

🔊 Will Arsenal extend their winning streak to eight matches? Bookmakers seem to think so, as the Gunners face Brighton in the League Cup Round of 16. Brighton are a solid opponent, but the match will take place at the Emirates, significantly boosting the London giants' chances of success. However, cup ties often deliver surprises, so we'll be cautious with our betting choice.

Head-to-Head

The last official encounter between the teams took place on 05 January 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team – Brighton & Hove Albion):

• ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
• corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
• fouls: 17 vs 13;
• yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
• shots on target: 3 vs 3.

📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion:

• played 19 matches;
• number of wins for the home team – 8, for the away team – 6, draws – 5;
• number of goals – 29 against 24;
• average total in the 1st half – 1.05, in the 2nd half – 1.74;
• average total goals in the match – 2.79.

Arsenal Team Overview

The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Premier League tournament (home team – Arsenal, away team – Crystal Palace). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.

Here's the game statistics (Arsenal vs Crystal Palace):

• ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
• corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
• fouls: 6 vs 11;
• yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
• shots on target: 3 vs 1.

Five consecutive victories already sound impressive. However, for Arsenal, it's even more significant—Mikel Arteta's side have secured five clean-sheet wins in a row. Their defense is solid, David Raya is reliable between the posts, and the attack consistently capitalizes on at least one of the chances they create. In a recent Premier League clash against Crystal Palace (1-0), Eberechi Eze found the net in a twist of fate. The Englishman scored his first Premier League goal for the Gunners against his former team.

Interestingly, it was Eze who scored the decisive goal in the previous round of the English League Cup. The Londoners effortlessly dispatched Port Vale (2-0) from League One. Despite Arteta's rotation, the opponents managed only 0.07 expected goals, allowing Kepa Arrizabalaga to maintain a comfortable clean sheet.

Brighton & Hove Albion Team Overview

The away team played their last official match on as part of the Premier League tournament (home team – Manchester United, away – Brighton & Hove Albion). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:2.

Here are the match stats (Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United):

• ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
• corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
• fouls: 13 vs 4;
• yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
• shots on target: 5 vs 9.

Until last weekend, Brighton were on a solid run with a five-match unbeaten streak. However, that came to an end at Old Trafford. A resurgent Manchester United, usually a favorable matchup for the Seagulls, proved too strong this time around, defeating them 4-2.

Fabian Hurzeler's side find themselves in the lower half of the Premier League standings, but they're making waves in the League Cup. To be fair, Brighton haven't faced any formidable opponents in the previous rounds, easily dispatching Oxford United and Barnsley with identical 6-0 victories.

Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

• number of encounters – 19;
• home team wins – 8, away team wins – 6, draws – 5.

• Arsenal have won in 8 of last 9 home games.
• Arsenal have won in last 7 games.

Prediction on the over/under

H2H

• today's home team scores on average - 1.53, the guests - 1.26;
• average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.79;
• both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 5.

Statistics: Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion

• average total in the tournament: 2 vs 6;
• average total goals scored: 2 vs 6;
• average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 2.5;
• average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 3.5;
• Arsenal: average total at home in the tournament -  0;
• Brighton & Hove Albion: average total away in the tournament - 6;
• last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.17) vs 2.5 (away - 2.71).

• Arsenal have scored under 2.5 goals in 15 of last 17 games against Brighton & Hove Albion.
• Arsenal have scored under 2.5 goals in last 9 home games against Brighton & Hove Albion.
• Arsenal have scored under 2.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games.

Prediction on corners

Arsenal: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6; at home field - 0;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.7; at home field - 6.17.

Brighton & Hove Albion: Statistics

• season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5, away - 5.5;
• last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; away - 5.43.

• Over 9.5 corners in 8 of last 9 Arsenal home games against Brighton & Hove Albion.

Prediction on cards

H2H

• average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.68 (1.84 - for home team and 1.84 - for away team);
• average Over/Under yellow cards at home team's field - 4.11 (2.11 - for home team and 2 - for away team).

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

• number of encounters – 19;
• both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
• on the home team’s field - 5 times.

Arsenal aren't known for scoring heavily, often focusing on a solid defensive performance instead. Given their current list of injuries and Arteta's squad rotation, expecting a goal fest from the Gunners in this cup tie seems unlikely. Therefore, we predict an individual total for the hosts under 2.5 goals. Nonetheless, we believe they'll achieve their goal with another clean sheet victory. The predicted scoreline is 1-0.