Lorient vs PSG Prediction for 30 October 2025 - Football

🔊 Can Lorient challenge the reigning French champions? On Wednesday, at the Stade du Moustoir, Lorient will host Paris Saint-Germain in the 10th round of Ligue 1. The visitors are considered overwhelming favorites by the bookmakers, and it's hard to argue with that given both teams' recent performances. In our article, you'll find a detailed analysis of the teams' form and a prediction for the outcome of this match.

Head-to-Head

📊 The teams tend to play high-scoring matches against each other. In four of their last five encounters, Lorient and PSG have seen three or more goals scored.

Lorient Team Overview

⚫ Lorient's disappointing start to the current season has left them in the "red zone," sitting at 16th place. In their last three matches, Olivier Pantaloni's squad have managed to secure just one point, which came from a home draw against Brest (3-3). Throughout the season, Lorient have been inconsistent, with their last victory dating back to the end of September.

🟠 In the ninth round, the "Black and Oranges" played away against Angers, another team struggling at the bottom of the standings, and they suffered a 2-0 defeat. Tosin Aiyegun's missed penalty in the 22nd minute was a blow to Lorient, and instead of leveling the score, they conceded another goal. Despite having an expected goals (xG) advantage over their opponents at 2.13 to 0.81, it didn't make the loss any easier for Olivier Pantaloni's side!

Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

🔵 PSG continue their dual campaign, defending their titles in both the French national championship and the Champions League. While they have a perfect record in Europe with 9 points from three matches, their Ligue 1 journey has hit some bumps with two consecutive draws in early October: a 1-1 away draw against Lille and a 3-3 home draw with Strasbourg.

🔴 PSG approached the latest round on a high note, having thrashed Bayer Leverkusen 7-3 away in the Champions League. Following such a dominant victory, slipping up against Brest would have been quite unexpected. Luis Enrique's men delivered and secured three points on the road, defeating the "Reds" 3-0. Notably, Moroccan defender Achraf Hakimi was outstanding, scoring twice in that encounter!

Latest news

Lorient

❌ Defender Panos Katseris and midfielder Bandiougou Fadiga are sidelined with injuries and are unlikely to assist their team in the upcoming match. According to local media, these players have completed all their rehabilitation processes and are awaiting the head coach's decision on their inclusion in the squad.

Paris Saint-Germain

🎙 Achraf Hakimi, after the victorious match against Brest where he netted twice, shared his thoughts: “We’re very pleased with this performance. We knew it wouldn’t be easy, but we started really well and are happy to bring three points back to Paris. I'm thrilled to have helped the team today by scoring two goals. In every match, I try to support the team in every possible way. So, I'm very satisfied with my goals today, but we need to keep working, and I still have areas to improve.”

❌ In the upcoming match against Lorient, Achraf Hakimi will not play as the coaching staff has given him time to recover after the demanding previous game. Fabian Ruiz and João Neves are doubtful due to injuries.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The upcoming match will be officiated by Willy Delajod. On average, over a span of 100 matches, he hands out 3.91 yellow cards per game, with 25 fouls. In Ligue 1, over 9 matches, the yellow card stats are as follows: Lorient average 3 per game, while PSG average just 0.9. Considering the higher number of cautions received by the hosts, we suggest betting on Lorient's yellow card handicap (-1.5).

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Lorient's individual goal average in the league is 1.3 per match, whereas PSG's stands at 2.1. The overall scoring averages for these teams are 3.7 for the hosts and 3 for the visitors. Given these stats, we recommend considering a bet on over 2.5 total match goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

In the last 9 Ligue 1 encounters, Lorient have averaged 3.4 corners per game, while PSG have averaged 6 over the same period. We expect the capital club to maintain their corner stats with a high number of set pieces from the corner flag and suggest a bet on corner handicap (-2.5) for the visitors.

The level of play between Lorient and PSG this season is worlds apart: one side is losing match after match, while the other is dominating their opponents. Based on recent performances, we anticipate Luis Enrique's squad to secure a 3-1 victory. These teams tend to play high-scoring games against each other, as evidenced by the stats: in four of their last five head-to-heads, three or more goals were scored. We suggest betting on total over 3 in the upcoming game.