Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction for 26 October 2025 - Football

🔈 How will one of the most intriguing and anticipated fixtures in world football conclude? In the landmark 10th round of La Liga, football enthusiasts are eagerly awaiting "El Clásico" — the showdown between Real Madrid and Barcelona. Both clubs are strong contenders for the national championship, and the outcome of this upcoming clash could potentially shift the current La Liga leader. The Santiago Bernabéu is bound to be buzzing — this match holds significant weight in the title race context. Bookmakers are factoring in the home advantage and the number of injured players from both sides, thus favoring Los Blancos.

Head-to-Head

📊 "El Clásico" is one of the most unpredictable matchups not just in Spanish football but on the global stage. Regardless of their current form, when these teams clash, they deliver top-tier football and show immense motivation. Interestingly, last season saw the two sides face off four times across all competitions, with the "Blaugrana" triumphing on each occasion. Let's also consider the average scoring rate over their last 10 games: Real Madrid at 2.1 and Barcelona at 2.5.

Real Madrid Team Overview

⚪ After their defeat to Atletico Madrid (2-5), Xabi Alonso's squad has bounced back, currently riding a four-game winning streak. With 9 matches played, Los Blancos have accumulated 24 points and continue to lead the league standings. Let's take a closer look at the Galacticos' scoring stats: averaging 2.22 goals per match while conceding roughly 1 goal per game. On home turf, Real Madrid boast a perfect record, securing 12 points from 4 games, the best in the league.

📌 Midweek, Los Blancos played another match in the Champions League. This time, their opponent was Juventus (1-0). Xabi Alonso's men aimed to pin their opponents in their own half from the outset, and largely succeeded. The xG comparison tells the story: 2.7 to 0.59 in favor of Real Madrid. Interestingly, in defensive phases, the Galacticos adopted a 4-4-2 formation, leaving Bellingham and Mbappe in advanced positions.

Barcelona Team Overview

🔵 The "Blaugrana" are arguably the most intense team in La Liga. Under Hansi Flick, they boast the most effective attacking line in the current stretch of the season, averaging 2.67 goals per match. A 1-4 defeat against Sevilla earlier this month prevented the Catalan club from securing their spot at the top of the table, handing the lead to Real Madrid. Interestingly, all of Barcelona's dropped points have come in away games, which is concerning for their fans. While at home, Barça concede just 0.5 goals per game; on the road, that figure jumps to 1.6 per match.

🔴 Midweek, the "Blaugrana" hosted Greek side Olympiacos at Montjuïc in the third round of the Champions League. Hansi Flick's squad dominated their opponents for the full 90 minutes, resulting in a commanding 6-1 victory. A glance at the expected goals (xG) ratio tells the story: 2.57 to 1 in favor of Barcelona. It's important to note that the Greeks were awarded a penalty, which significantly boosts their xG. Flick's tactical model is characterized by intense positional play and a relentless effort to pin opponents in their own half.

Latest news

Real Madrid

🎤 Following the victory over Juventus (1-0), Xabi Alonso reflected on the match: “After recovering from injury, Bellingham needed a strong performance. Even without considering the goal, he played well, operating effectively between the lines. In the second half, we managed to find him with our passes. I'm really happy for him. We improved as the match went on. Our attacking wasn't at its best initially, but we adapted. We maintained more possession and increased the tempo, which allowed us to create chances. I told the players this was a match where we had to work hard, seek out the goal, and maintain our balance. And that's exactly what happened. Vinicius did brilliantly in the goal-scoring moment. We couldn't settle everything early, but we're leaving with three points. Courtois was also excellent. Let's keep this momentum going.”

❌ In the treatment room for Los Blancos are David Alaba (leg injury) and Antonio Rüdiger (hip injury).

Barcelona

📰 A significant challenge for Barcelona will be the absence of Hansi Flick on the sidelines in their upcoming match. In last week's clash against Girona (2-1), the German coach was sent off by the match referee, and Barcelona's appeal against this decision was rejected. The head coach of the Blaugrana reflected on their recent European victory, where he was able to lead the team: "We faced some issues, but we deserved the win. Every goal and every victory matters. Fermin had an incredible game: he scored, he ran, he played very well in all aspects. He netted three goals, with the first being crucial. I have absolute confidence in him; he has everything. We also need his pace. First and foremost, we won today, and that is the most important thing. This should give us confidence heading into the upcoming match. It will be a fantastic game, but we don't have much time to recover and prepare for it."

❌ Among Barcelona's injured players are Joan Garcia (knee injury), Gavi (knee injury), Robert Lewandowski (thigh injury), Dani Olmo (muscle injury), Raphinha (thigh injury), Marc-André ter Stegen (back injury), and Jules Koundé (bruise).

🟨 Prediction for Yellow Cards

🟨 Prediction for Yellow Cards

It's no surprise that in head-to-head clashes, tempers flare and a high number of fouls are recorded, averaging around 6.2 per game. In 5 of the last 6 encounters, there have been at least 5 bookings. This trend is also evident in 4 of Barcelona's last 5 matches this season. We recommend the following bet – total yellow cards over 5.5.

⚽ Prediction for Goals

In each of Barcelona's last 9 matches, there have been at least 3 goals scored. This pattern is also seen in the last 10 head-to-head meetings. Let's consider the average goals scored by the teams this season: Real Madrid – 2.2, Barcelona – 2.7. The average goal tally in the last 10 encounters between "Los Blancos" and "Blaugrana" is 4.6 goals per game. It seems reasonable to choose the following outcome – total goals over 3.5.

🚩 Prediction for Corners

We propose forming a well-founded bet based on current statistical trends. In 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings, there have been at least 11 corner kicks. This trend is also evident in 5 of the last 6 matches involving "Blaugrana." Let's note the average corners won by each side this season: Real Madrid – 5.1, Barcelona – 7.4. Our pick – total corners over 10.5.