Wolves vs Burnley Prediction for 26 October 2025 - Football

🔊 A true battle for survival is set to unfold between Wolverhampton and Burnley in the 9th round of the Premier League. Both teams find themselves languishing at the lower end of the table. The Clarets have managed to climb out of the relegation zone thanks to their second home victory in the league, yet they remain winless on the road. On Sunday, Scott Parker's squad will visit Molineux. The hosts, too, are still searching for their first home win. Which team's losing streak is more likely to end? Let's evaluate the odds in our editorial's prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 Burnley have surprisingly performed well against Wolverhampton in the Premier League. Since the 2018/19 season, the teams have clashed 10 times. The Clarets hold the edge in victories with four wins compared to Wolves' two. Four matches ended in draws. Notably, there was only one high-scoring game during this stretch—a 4-0 triumph for Burnley at Molineux in 2021. In 8 out of the 10 encounters, the total goals scored did not exceed 2.5.

Wolverhampton Wanderers Team Overview

Wolverhampton's hopes of emerging from their slump were dashed in the 8th round of the Premier League against Sunderland. Their trip to the Stadium of Light ended in a dismal 2-0 defeat. Without delving too deeply into the statistics, where the Wolves outperformed their opponents, it was the first half that proved decisive. The hosts started much more energetically and managed to get on the scoreboard. Despite the visitors' pressure throughout the remainder of the match, it yielded no success, and a late own goal sealed their fate. As a result, Vítor Pereira's side failed to start accumulating points consistently. This comes after drawing with not-so-weak opponents Tottenham (1-1) and Brighton (1-1) in their previous two matches.

Aside from their defensive stalwarts, it's hard to single out anyone in Wolverhampton's lineup. For instance, Sam Johnstone unexpectedly took on the role of first-choice goalkeeper. The Englishman played only 10 matches last season. However, due to José Sá's injury, the former West Bromwich keeper has already appeared in six matches across all competitions this season. Notably, this game time has benefited him, as his save percentage has increased from 59.5% last Premier League season to 68.8%.

Burnley Team Overview

Scott Parker's team finally snapped their six-match winless streak. During this period, Burnley crashed out of the English League Cup, losing at home to Cardiff (1-2), and slipped to 18th in the Premier League standings. However, a victory over Leeds (2-0) helped the Clarets climb out of the relegation zone, albeit just two points clear. Interestingly, history has come full circle. Burnley's first win in this Premier League campaign was also against a former Championship side, Sunderland (2-0), also at Turf Moor.

Kyle Walker marked his debut contribution for the club by providing an assist for the first goal against Leeds. His performance, which included four interceptions, earned him the Man of the Match award. The pass was finished by Lesley Ugochukwu, who has been finding the net frequently lately, scoring two goals in his last two Premier League outings.

Latest news

Wolverhampton Wanderers

❓ The future of Wolverhampton's head coach Vitor Pereira is under threat, despite his recent contract extension. Some experts note that the Wolves' management have started to question the coach's abilities in light of the performances by Crystal Palace and Bournemouth. The clubs faced similar challenges with outgoing transfers during the summer window. However, only Wolverhampton find themselves languishing at the bottom of the league table.

❌ The recent defeat to Sunderland can be attributed to the absence of two key figures: head coach Vitor Pereira and main striker Hwang Hee-chan. The coach was serving a suspension due to a red card, while the winger returned injured from international duty after the break.

Burnley

🎙 Burnley's standout star, Kyle Walker, shared his thoughts on his initial months with the club. "It's a bit of a trek to get there every morning, it's quite a distance! But I wake up each day eager to arrive, see the lads, lend a hand, and share my experience. Working with the manager is enjoyable. Of course, I had the pleasure of working with him as a player, and he hasn't changed; he's a true professional, so I have a lot of respect for him," the defender explained.

❌ No changes in Burnley's injury list. Zeki Amdouni and Connor Roberts were sidelined during preseason training. Jordan Beyer has been unavailable since last season. Additionally, Lyle Foster returned with an injury after the international break. He left the South African squad early and missed the match against Leeds.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The main referee for the match is Peter Bankes. Over his last 20 Premier League matches, he has averaged four yellow cards per game. Matches involving Wolverhampton tend to be more aggressive, with their last six games averaging 3.7 cautions, compared to Burnley's 3.1. However, we anticipate a more intense clash at Molineux, as survival is at stake. In this context, a total of more than 3.5 yellow cards seems reasonable.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Wolverhampton are the least effective team in the league when it comes to scoring. They've netted only five goals in eight matches (an average of 0.6). This season, the Wolves have scored more than once in just one game, while the Clarets have done so twice. Head-to-head encounters between these teams rarely deliver fireworks for fans; in 8 out of their last 10 Premier League meetings, there were no more than two goals scored. We find it hard to envision a goal fest at Molineux, so we're opting for a total of fewer than 2.5 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Burnley struggle to maintain possession even against former or current Championship sides. The Clarets managed to dominate possession for 55% of the time only against Derby County. Their average possession against Leeds, Cardiff, and Sunderland was just 40%. Earning corners in such scenarios is incredibly challenging. Moreover, in the Premier League, Scott Parker's team is the worst in this category (2.75). In 10 head-to-head encounters with Wolverhampton, the situation isn't much better—averaging 3.8 corners. Our prediction: Burnley will have fewer than 4.5 corners.

Bookmakers confidently label Burnley as the underdogs in this clash, a trend that's been consistent in all Premier League rounds except the first one. But let's take a look at the Clarets' schedule: apart from Nottingham and Leeds, they've faced teams from the top half of the table throughout. Only against Tottenham and Liverpool did Scott Parker's side fail to find the net. Burnley boasts a standout striker in Jaidon Anthony, and they've scored in eight of their last nine matches. There's no reason why the Clarets can't trouble Wolverhampton at Molineux. Our main bet is on Burnley to score. Given their successful head-to-head history against the Wolves, we believe the visitors can reasonably aim for a draw (1-1).