Brest vs PSG Prediction for 25 October 2025 - Football

🔊 Can a mid-table Ligue 1 team handle the reigning champions? PSG, having lost their top spot in the standings, travel to face an ambitious Brest side, unbeaten in their last four matches. Bookmakers are confident in an away victory, but is it really that straightforward? Let's dive into this matchup and provide a well-founded prediction on its outcome.

Head-to-Head

📊 In the last five official head-to-head encounters between PSG and Brest, the Parisian club has clearly dominated, securing victories in each match with at least a two-goal margin.

Stade Brest Team Overview

🔴 Brest had a rough start to the current season, suffering three defeats in their first four matches. However, under Eric Roy's guidance, they have gradually gained momentum and climbed to the middle of the standings. This turnaround is largely thanks to their recent unbeaten streak of four games. It's worth noting that their schedule hasn't included any top-tier teams during this period.

⚪ In their last two outings, the "Reds" settled for draws, but these results were vastly different in terms of total goals: a goalless stalemate against Nantes and a thrilling 3-3 draw with Lorient. In both matches, Brest took the initiative and had the upper hand in expected goals (xG), yet they couldn't quite seal the victory.

Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

🔵 Paris Saint-Germain are navigating a challenging schedule, facing tough opponents both in the domestic league and the Champions League. Due to this tight fixture list, Luis Enrique's squad have relinquished their lead in the standings and now trail the top spot by a single point.

🔴 In their last two league outings, the capital club drew against formidable sides: first with Lille away (1-1), and then with Strasbourg at home (3-3). Notably, in the latter match, PSG came back from a (1-3) deficit. During the midweek, they also had a Champions League clash against Bayer Leverkusen, where the Parisians emphatically defeated their hosts with a scoreline of (7-2).

Latest news

Stade Brest

🔔 Brest's squad has been bolstered by the addition of defender Soumaila Koulibaly, who joins on loan from Strasbourg. Koulibaly will don the number 44 jersey for the "Reds" until the end of the current season.

❌ The participation of three Brest players in the upcoming match is uncertain: Mama Baldé, Kenny Lala, and Luka Zogbe. All sustained injuries in previous games but are prepared to return to action if the situation demands it.

Paris Saint-Germain

🏆 PSG have made history as the first club to score 7 goals away against a German team in the Champions League. This remarkable feat occurred during the third round of the group stage against Bayer Leverkusen.

❌ Midfielders João Neves and Fabián Ruiz will be unavailable for their upcoming match against Brest due to muscle injuries sustained in previous Ligue 1 and Champions League fixtures.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The referee for the upcoming match is Jérémie Pignard. Over the last 100 matches, he averages 4.20 yellow cards per game with 22 fouls. In Ligue 1, Brest average 1.5 yellow cards per game, while PSG average 0.9. Both teams tend to receive fewer warnings, suggesting a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5 could be worthwhile.

⚽️ Goals Prediction

Brest's average individual total in the French league is 1.8 goals per game, while the capital club averages 2. The average match total for these teams is 3.5 for the hosts and 3 for the visitors. Given these stats, a bet on total over 2.5 goals seems very appealing.

🚩 Corner Prediction

In their last 8 league matches, Brest average 4.8 corners per game, whereas PSG average 5.9. The Parisian club often attacks down the flanks and takes frequent shots, leading to corner opportunities, while the "reds" are less effective in this area. Therefore, we recommend a bet on corner handicap (-1.5) for PSG.

Both teams embrace an attacking style of play, but if Brest attempts this approach against PSG, it could spell disaster for them. It's not fair to compare recent draws involving our teams, as the opponents were vastly different in quality. Following their convincing victory over Bayer, PSG are expected to solidify their position in the league with a win, and we're predicting a 3-1 scoreline in their favor. Considering PSG's dominant performances in recent head-to-head encounters, we suggest placing a bet on a handicap (-1) for the visitors.