Newcastle vs Fulham Prediction for 25 October 2025 - Football

🔊 Newcastle take on Fulham in a clash between Premier League table neighbors. For the Cottagers, sitting in 15th place is somewhat expected, but for the Magpies, landing in 14th seems a far cry from their Champions League ambitions. Eddie Howe's side has faced a tough schedule, with the level of competition in both tournaments leaving little room for squad rotation. Unlike Chelsea, the Magpies don't boast a deep roster. To be fair, Fulham are also approaching this match not in peak physical condition, with injuries taking a toll on the London club. Which team's issues will prove less significant ahead of Saturday's showdown at St. James' Park? We'll delve into this and other intriguing aspects of the match in our prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 Since 2020, the teams have clashed eight times. In the first four encounters, Newcastle consistently celebrated victories. However, recently Fulham have been more successful in claiming points from the Magpies. For instance, last season they secured two wins, which were their only triumphs over this period. The overall head-to-head record stands at 6-2 in favor of Newcastle, with a goal difference of 18-5.

Newcastle United Team Overview

The Magpies have finally put an end to a troubling trend this season. They struggled to win back-to-back matches in any of the competitions they participate in. The Champions League proved to be the turning point. In Matchdays 2 and 3, they defeated Union Saint-Gilloise (4-0) and Benfica (3-0). Newcastle left no room for doubt, dominating both opponents with a combined xG of 4.31 against 1.04. In terms of statistics, Brighton was also outperformed in the 8th round of the Premier League (0.7 xG to 1.92 xG). However, the Seagulls were far more clinical in their finishing, winning 2-1.

Newcastle have several standout performers across different competitions. In the Premier League, it's undoubtedly Nick Woltemade with four goals in five matches. In the Champions League, Anthony Gordon has been exceptional, scoring five goals and providing one assist over three matches. Recently, the Magpies have found a true wildcard in Harvey Barnes. The 21-year-old forward has started only three matches this season but is clearly pushing for a regular spot, contributing four goal involvements (3 goals and 1 assist) in his last six substitute appearances. Remarkably, Harvey has achieved this in just 94 minutes on the pitch.

Fulham Team Overview

Fulham's recent Premier League fixtures have been anything but kind. They've faced a solid Brentford, an in-form Aston Villa, and Arsenal, as well as Bournemouth from the top four. They managed to secure points only against Brentford with a 3-1 victory. The other matches were lost convincingly, with a total score of 2-7. As a result, the Cottagers have slipped from the top eight to 15th place. However, even in those defeats, Marco Silva's side performed above statistical expectations. For instance, against Villa and Bournemouth, they scored two goals from a combined 1.75 xG.

Fulham's scoring record has been lackluster. Over eight Premier League rounds, the Cottagers average just one goal per match. Notably, no player has scored more than once, leading to a goalless outing in the derby against Arsenal. Yet, there was another standout in that game – Bernd Leno. The scoreline could have been much worse if not for the heroics of their main goalkeeper. He made four crucial saves, preventing 1.42 expected goals from shots on target.

Latest news

Newcastle United

🎙 Newcastle's head coach shared his thoughts on the team's victory over Benfica in the Champions League. "Harvey Barnes stepped onto the pitch today and played very well, as did Jacob Ramsey. This showcases the strength and depth of our squad. The lads continuously push each other forward. It was a tough match: Benfica have immense European experience and a manager who has achieved everything. The pressure on us was significant, especially after the defeat to Brighton on Saturday," Eddie Howe stated.

❌ Newcastle's injury list still includes Yoane Wissa and Tino Livramento, both sidelined with knee injuries. According to Eddie Howe, Lewis Hall, who suffered a hamstring injury, is expected to return by the end of the month. This season, he has made only three appearances, with just one start. So securing a spot in the starting lineup will be challenging even after his return.

Fulham

🎙 Last week, Marco Silva met with Fulham owner Shahid Khan, who made it clear that the club is keen to extend his contract, which is set to expire next summer. Khan stated that Silva is part of the team's long-term plans, and the management hopes to fend off interest in his services by offering a new deal. "I really like him, not just as a person but also as a football manager and head coach. I'm confident he is part of our long-term plans," said Shahid.

❌ Fulham's roster has taken a hit post-international break with Sasa Lukic (groin injury) and Samuel Chukwueze (calf injury) sidelined. Earlier, Rodrigo Muniz was also ruled out due to a muscle injury. The team's situation worsened as two players couldn't finish the match against Arsenal: Tom Cairney (back issues) and Joachim Andersen (hamstring injury).

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Tony Harrington. Over his last 20 Premier League matches, he averages 4.2 yellow cards per game. Matches involving both teams rarely see a high number of bookings. In their last five games, Newcastle have the edge with an average of 3 yellow cards compared to Fulham's 2.6. However, it's important to note that the Magpies are competing in two tournaments, and the intensity in the Champions League is at least on par with the Premier League. Therefore, it's unlikely that the number of fouls will significantly increase in their head-to-head clash. Our prediction: total yellow cards under 4.5.

⚽️ Goals Prediction

Recent matches for both teams haven't been particularly high-scoring. Over the last five games, the total goals are nearly equal: 2.4 for Newcastle versus 2.3 for Fulham. Interestingly, both teams' scoring rates almost double in the second half of matches. A similar pattern emerges in their head-to-head encounters, where Newcastle have scored after the break in 9 out of the last 10 occasions. It seems reasonable to predict that more goals will be scored in the second half than in the first.

🚩 Corners Prediction

With key midfield players out, Fulham's time on the ball is likely to decrease. The Cottagers might not be pushed back entirely, but Newcastle's strong flanks don't necessarily need that to create chances both from open play and set pieces. The Magpies lead the Premier League in corners earned per game with an average of 7.75. At St James' Park, their corner total has not dropped below five for eight consecutive matches across all competitions. Based on this, we predict Newcastle's total corners will exceed 5.5.

We've noted that Fulham are struggling with their scoring efficiency, averaging just one goal per match over eight Premier League rounds. Interestingly, Newcastle have been even less prolific, netting only seven times in the same span of games. However, let's set aside these arguments and look at the Magpies' performance in the Champions League, where they have impressively scored seven goals in just two matches. Notably, Eddie Howe's side have maintained an average xG of at least 1.92 over their last five games, suggesting a Premier League breakthrough is imminent. All signs point towards this, especially considering Fulham's defensive and midfield injuries. We anticipate a confident 2-0 victory for Newcastle.