Chelsea vs Sunderland Prediction for 25 October 2025 - Football

🔊 Will Chelsea's winning streak continue against Sunderland? The Blues have been victorious in their last four matches, seemingly leaving their recent slump behind. However, the visitors to Stamford Bridge won't be an easy challenge. Sunderland have suffered just one defeat in their last six games. This head-to-head clash in London is a battle for a spot in European competitions. Can the Black Cats break into the top five, or will Chelsea edge closer to the leaders? Let's evaluate the chances of both teams in our editorial's prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 Sunderland have navigated the full spectrum of English football. From 2021 to 2025, the team climbed from the third division to the top flight. During their most recent stint in the Premier League, the Black Cats faced Chelsea six times but struggled to find success. The London club celebrated victory on four occasions, while Sunderland managed just one win. The teams shared the spoils in one match. Notably, both sides found the net in four of these six encounters.

Chelsea Team Overview

Chelsea head into the 9th round of the Premier League in high spirits. They delivered a resounding 5-1 victory over Ajax at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday. There's no need to travel, as Sunderland will visit London themselves. The physical toll in the Champions League was minimal. Enzo Maresca fielded 10 new players in the starting lineup compared to the match against Nottingham Forest. Moreover, the Blues managed to avoid any red cards for the first time in four games. Everything seems to be in their favor to extend their winning streak to five matches.

Recently, the Londoners have been exceptional in finishing. Scoring 11 goals in their last four matches with an xG of 7.61 speaks volumes. The standout performers during this stretch have been Moises Caicedo and Estevao, each netting twice. Enzo Fernandez and Pedro Neto have also put on impressive performances, scoring against Ajax and Nottingham Forest respectively, and earning Man of the Match honors in those games.

Sunderland Team Overview

Sunderland are the home team and currently rank second in the Premier League based on points earned at the Stadium of Light. Following their 2-0 victory over Wolverhampton, they have now accumulated 10 points at home. However, their away form is far from impressive, with just four points and an 11th place standing. Regis Le Bris's side managed an away win against a struggling Nottingham Forest (1-0) and drew with Crystal Palace (0-0). The goal against Forest remains their only away goal, and their chance creation has been lacking, with a total of 2.96 xG over four matches.

As mentioned earlier, Sunderland struggle to create chances on the road, but they also face challenges at home. For instance, in the match against Wolverhampton, the hosts faltered significantly in the second half, managing just one shot. The second goal against the Wolves was an own goal. Overall, the Black Cats registered only 0.68 xG for the game. When the attack isn't clicking, their defense steps up. Nordi Mukiele scored his debut goal for the club and dominated aerial duels, winning 91% of them. This performance earned him the Man of the Match award.

Latest news

Chelsea

🎙 Chelsea's head coach shared his thoughts following the thrashing of Ajax. "I'm very pleased with the performance. We started fairly well, and the sending off changed the game. Playing with ten men is tough. We know that all too well. We put in a strong performance. It's great to see our young players impressing. It's crucial they seize their opportunities. We scored five goals and could have netted even more. We enjoy taking it game by game. In 48 hours, we have another very important match," said Enzo Maresca.

❌ Injuries continue to plague Chelsea. The London club have become accustomed to playing without Levi Colwill (knee injury), Liam Delap (hamstring injury), Dário Essugo (thigh injury), and even Cole Palmer (groin injury). But recently, Benoît Badiashile has also been sidelined with a muscle injury. This isn't the first setback for the defender this season; he's played just 147 minutes in the Premier League. Malo Gusto will also miss the match due to a suspension following a red card.

Sunderland

🎙 Former Sunderland player Marco Gabbiadini showered the team with praise after their victory over Wolverhampton. "We all love Ballard; he's the type of player every fan wants to see on the pitch. Alderete and Ballard just stepped up and did what was necessary. Wolverhampton had a lot of possession and passes. What did they achieve with that style of play? Not much," said the Italian ex-forward.

❌ Sunderland aren't far behind Chelsea when it comes to injured players. The team's injury list includes Habib Diarra (groin injury), Alese Ajiobola (shoulder injury), Romain Mundle (hamstring injury), Leo Hjelde (Achilles injury), and Dennis Cirkin (wrist injury). Three of them are defenders. Just a match ago, the list was even longer, but Reinildo Mandava has served his suspension for a red card.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by the main referee Andy Madley. Over his last 20 Premier League matches, he has averaged 3.4 yellow cards per game. Chelsea have recently been making headlines with their aggressive play. In 5 out of their last 7 matches, the Blues have seen red cards. The team also averages 2.8 yellow cards per game over this stretch. It's not just against top-tier opponents; they even picked up four yellows against the modest Lincoln City in the English League Cup. Our prediction: Chelsea to receive over 1.5 yellow cards.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Enzo Maresca seems to have steadied the ship defensively after a brief slump. In their last four matches, the Blues have conceded only two goals, one of which was a penalty from Ajax. Backup goalkeeper Filip Jørgensen nearly saved that shot. Sunderland have struggled not only to score away (one goal in four games) but also to create chances in general, averaging just 0.74 xG. Given these circumstances, an insightful prediction is both teams to score (no).

🚩 Corner Prediction

Sunderland boast a strong midfield led by the experienced Granit Xhaka. The team rarely falters in possession, maintaining an average of 47% on the road. However, their set-piece opportunities are alarmingly low. The Black Cats rank fourth from the bottom in the Premier League for corners earned (3.62). Chelsea, on the other hand, are in the top four with 5.88 corners per game. They particularly excel at creating chances from the flanks at Stamford Bridge, where this number rises to 7.25. With these factors in mind, we suggest backing Chelsea to win the corner count with a -2 handicap.

Chelsea have been on a scoring spree lately, netting 11 goals in their last four matches while tightening up defensively, conceding only against Liverpool from open play recently. Sunderland, on the other hand, struggle to create away from the Stadium of Light, averaging just 0.25 goals per match. Historically, encounters between these two have been high-scoring, though they happened a while ago, with at least four goals in four of the last five meetings. Despite a nine-year hiatus, we hope this clash retains its entertainment value, though it seems only the Blues are poised to deliver the spectacle this time around. We predict a Chelsea win with a -1 handicap, expecting the hosts to secure a 3-0 victory.