Sporting vs Marseille Prediction for 23 October 2025 - Football

🔊 Can Marseille pull off an away win against Sporting? On Wednesday, these teams clash in the third round of the Champions League. The Portuguese side will have home advantage, which is why bookmakers have them as favorites in this matchup. However, the French team is currently in excellent form and ready to challenge their opponents. Read our material for a prediction on the outcome of this encounter.

Head-to-Head

📊 In official matches, Sporting and Marseille have faced each other only twice, with the French side winning both encounters: 4-1 at home and 2-0 away.

Sporting Lisbon Team Overview

🟢 Sporting kicked off their Champions League campaign with a commanding home victory over Kairat (4-1). The hosts dominated that match, but the disparity in quality was evident, as Kairat are unlikely to pose a threat even to mid-tier teams in the tournament. In their second group stage outing, Sporting traveled to face Napoli, where Rui Borges' men fell short (1-2). Despite the loss, they outperformed Napoli in several statistical areas, including expected goals (xG) at 1.33 to 0.82 and shots on target, registering a 4-3 advantage.

⚪ In the Portuguese league, the Lisbon club currently sit second, trailing the leaders by just three points. Their latest domestic fixture saw them draw with Braga (1-1). Recently, Sporting also engaged in a cup tie in the 1/32 finals against Paços Ferreira, securing a hard-fought victory in extra time (3-2).

Olympique Marseille Team Overview

🔵 Marseille are currently in exceptional form, boasting five consecutive victories across all competitions. Their opponents haven't always been pushovers either. In the Champions League, Roberto De Zerbi's side lost their first match to Real Madrid (1-2), conceding twice from penalties, but then thrashed Ajax 4-0, delivering a spectacle for their fans.

⚪ In Ligue 1, Marseille are also in command, leading the standings after eight rounds, holding a one-point advantage over their nearest rival. In their latest outing, Marseille convincingly defeated Le Havre 6-2 at home, showcasing incredible cohesion in attack.

Latest news

Sporting Lisbon

❌ In the upcoming match against Marseille, Sporting will be without midfielder Daniel Bragança and forward Nuno Santos, both sidelined with knee injuries. The coaching staff likely didn't count on these players, as they've been in recovery for quite some time and haven't featured on the pitch this season.

Olympique Marseille

❌ Hamed Traore's participation in the upcoming match is uncertain, as he has been sidelined for over a month with a thigh injury. According to local media, the midfielder is ready to play if the situation demands it. It's worth noting that Traore last played a full match during the opening round of Ligue 1 against Lyon.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The upcoming match will be officiated by Rade Obrenovic from Slovenia. Over the course of 46 matches he has refereed, he averages 4.24 yellow cards per game, with 22 fouls. In their last two Champions League games, Sporting have averaged 4 yellow cards per match, while Marseille have averaged 2. Both teams tend to receive a fair share of cautions, and Rade Obrenovic is not shy about issuing them. Therefore, we suggest betting on over 4.5 total yellow cards.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Both teams have an identical average of 2.5 goals per match in this season's Champions League. They also perform well offensively in their domestic leagues, so we anticipate goals from both Sporting and Marseille in the upcoming clash – we recommend betting on both teams to score.

🚩 Corner Prediction

The corner statistics favor the hosts. In the last two Champions League matches, the Lisbon club has taken 10 corners compared to Marseille's 5. Considering Sporting will be playing at home and are likely to spend a significant amount of time attacking, we suggest betting on the home team to win the corner count.

Sporting and Marseille have collected the same number of points in the Champions League, but it's important to consider the caliber of their previous opponents. Marseille's current winning streak is impressive, so we anticipate an away victory with a scoreline of 3-1 in the upcoming match. Both teams excel in attacking play, as reflected in their average individual total of 2.5 goals per game, so we suggest betting on over 2.5 goals for this encounter.