Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction for 22 October 2025 - Football

🔈 Will the Gunners' winning streak in the current Champions League campaign continue? Perhaps the most intriguing fixture on Tuesday's schedule in Europe's premier club competition is the clash between London’s Arsenal and Madrid’s Atletico at the Emirates. Both clubs are in fine form, boasting impressive unbeaten runs. Despite Diego Simeone's extensive experience in these types of matches, bookmakers are giving Arsenal 4-to-1 odds as favorites. Can Mikel Arteta's side live up to their favorite status?

Head-to-Head

📊 These teams have clashed officially just once, during the 2017/18 campaign. Back then, the Gunners and Los Colchoneros were pitted against each other in the Europa League semi-finals. In London, the match ended in a hard-fought 1-1 draw. However, in the Spanish capital, Simeone's men showcased their knack for delivering results in crucial games, clinching a 1-0 victory. 

Arsenal Team Overview

🔴 This season is pivotal for Mikel Arteta and his Arsenal squad. During the transfer window, the Gunners addressed problematic areas, making a key acquisition in midfield and finally securing a formidable central striker. So far, the London club has suffered only one defeat across all competitions — a 0-1 loss to Liverpool in the third round of the Premier League. Their current unbeaten streak has reached eight matches. In this season's Champions League campaign, Arsenal have been flawless, securing confident victories over Athletic (2-0) and Olympiacos (2-0). Alongside Inter Milan, the Gunners remain the only team yet to concede a goal in this European season.

⚪ As a warm-up for an intriguing European clash, Arsenal faced Fulham (1-0) in the eighth round of the national championship at Craven Cottage. Despite their clear positional dominance, the match was decided by a single strike from Leandro Trossard. The club's remarkably solid defensive performance cannot be overlooked — they concede just 0.38 goals per match in the Premier League, the best record in the league. However, a somewhat disappointing factor is Viktor Gyökeres' performance; the Swedish forward has not scored in nine games across all competitions and has only netted three goals in 11 appearances for Arsenal (two from open play). This level of productivity is likely not what Gunners fans expected from their most anticipated signing of the offseason.

Atletico Madrid Team Overview

⚪ Atlético's unbeaten streak in official matches has now reached six consecutive games. Diego Simeone's squad is gradually finding their rhythm after a lackluster start to the season and are actively competing for success across all competitions. In this season's Champions League campaign, the "Colchoneros" gave Liverpool a scare at Anfield (2-3) and dismantled Eintracht Frankfurt (5-1) at the Wanda Metropolitano. Despite currently sitting 10th in the main European tournament standings, the Spanish side boasts the second-highest scoring rate, averaging 3.5 goals per game.

🔴 Last weekend presented a tough challenge for the capital club with a clash against the resilient Osasuna (1-0). Although Alessio Lisci's team aimed to reduce the match's intensity, Atlético managed to convert their advantage into a victory thanks to Thiago Almada's debut goal. This triumph propelled Diego Simeone's team into the top four of the league, narrowing the gap to the league leader to eight points. The most prolific player and key attacking force for Atlético this season is Argentine forward Julián Álvarez, who has contributed 10 goal involvements across all competitions with a tally of 7 goals and 3 assists.

Latest news

Arsenal

📰 It's no secret that one of Arsenal's main weapons is their prowess in set pieces. Over recent seasons, the Gunners have shown top efficiency in the Premier League when it comes to free kicks and corners. Leandro Trossard's goal in the last league match marked the club's 50th goal from corners since the 2022/23 season. Their closest rivals in this period are Tottenham with 34 and Liverpool with 32. Including free kicks, Arsenal have scored an impressive 62 times. For comparison, Liverpool have managed just 46, while Brentford and Newcastle both have 44.

🎤 After the 1-0 victory over Fulham, Mikel Arteta spoke to the media: "It was a very good match. Playing at this stadium is tough, and we've felt that in recent years. We expended a lot of energy. We gave away a few chances to the opponent in the first half, but we increasingly dominated as the match went on. The season is just starting, and it's great to see Trossard scoring goals. And it's satisfying to see another clean sheet. So I'm happy. If reviewing the penalty incident [after Bukayo Saka's fall] takes so long, can you really call it a clear and obvious error? I've just been told there was no penalty, so the decision was correct. But I was surprised by how long the review took."

❌ Among Arsenal's injured players are Gabriel Jesus (knee injury), Kai Havertz (knee injury), Chukwunonso Madueke (knee injury), and Martin Ødegaard (knee injury).

Atletico Madrid

📰 The recent match against Osasuna (1-0) marked a historic moment for Diego Simeone and Atlético as a whole. The Argentine manager led his 750th game at the helm of the Madrid club, boasting a 59% win rate over this period. Noteworthy is the impressive progress of his son, Giuliano Simeone, who has delivered the most assists (12) since the start of the 2024/25 season. Additionally, we highlight the club's newcomer, Thiago Almada, who finally netted his debut goal in an Atlético jersey. The Argentine expressed his excitement: “I am eager to show the club why they signed me. Scoring in this shirt was a dream come true.”

📌 Marcos Llorente was named the best player in the recent national championship match. The Spaniard excelled defensively, making eight ball recoveries and achieving a 100% success rate in duels. The 30-year-old caught the media's attention post-match: “What's the secret to my good form? I'm happy. My life off the pitch is organized and full of love. I have more experience now, and I've developed habits I didn't have before.” Diego Simeone, however, disagreed with the referees regarding Alejandro Baena's disallowed goal early in the first half: “The goal was wrongly disallowed, but since we don't control the game... There are things that remain unclear.”

❌ Atlético's injury list is currently empty, much to the delight of the coaching staff and fans. The only doubt for the upcoming match is Nico Gonzalez, who was substituted last weekend due to a minor ailment.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The upcoming European clash will be officiated by a team of referees led by Italian Davide Massa. On average, this referee issues 4.53 yellow cards per match while recording 24 fouls. It's worth noting that both clubs have shown disciplined play this season, avoiding frequent rough fouls: Arsenal with 1.6 and Atletico with 2.5 fouls per game. We suggest considering the following bet – total yellow cards under 3.5.

⚽ Goal Prediction

This season highlights the clubs' ambitions for high-scoring football. Let's take a look at the average number of goals scored by each side across all competitions: Arsenal averages 2, while Atletico averages 1.9. Furthermore, in 7 of Atletico's last 8 matches, both teams have found the net. Our editorial team expects high intensity and heated action in front of both goals in the upcoming encounter. Our pick – both teams to score (yes).

🚩 Corner Prediction

Let's highlight the average number of corners earned by each team this season: the Gunners average 6.7, while the Colchoneros average 5.6. In head-to-head meetings, there have been an average of 10.5 corner kicks per game. Arsenal's dynamic flanks and Atletico's sharp transitional play are likely to contribute to a significant number of corners. We recommend the following bet – total corners over 8.5.

The clash between Arsenal and Atletico is incredibly intriguing and largely unpredictable. With that in mind, our editorial team believes it's best not to focus on the outcome, but rather on the potential goal-scoring nature of the match. Both clubs boast strong attacking lines and aim to play proactively in the opponent's half. Moreover, the "Colchoneros" are well aware that they cannot afford to lose on Tuesday, as it would complicate their path to the playoffs. We anticipate an exciting game with goals from both sides, and a possible final score of 2-2 seems likely. The key pick is both teams to score (yes).