PSV vs Napoli Prediction for 22 October 2025 - Football

📢 What can we expect from the clash between PSV and Napoli in the third round of the Champions League? At the Philips Stadium in Eindhoven, two teams in different emotional states will face off. PSV are delivering impressive performances in their domestic league but have yet to make their mark on the European stage, having secured just one point from two matches. Meanwhile, Napoli unexpectedly stumbled against Torino over the weekend (0-1) and are eager to redeem themselves in front of their fans. All signs point to a tense encounter where both sides will be playing for victory and won't forgive any mistakes.

Head-to-Head

📊 The head-to-head history between PSV and Napoli dates back to the 2012 season when they clashed in the Europa League group stage. Since then, the teams have not faced each other, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming match. Over a decade later, the clubs will once again be on opposite sides of the pitch, but with entirely different lineups and under new circumstances.

PSV Team Overview

🔴 PSV have kicked off the season with a strong performance. In the Dutch Eredivisie, they maintain a solid position among the leading pack, currently sitting in 2nd place with 22 points after nine matches. Only Feyenoord are ahead, having amassed 25 out of a possible 27 points. Last weekend, the "red and whites" hosted the Dutch Cup holders, Go Ahead Eagles. Despite being clear favorites, PSV faced a tough challenge: they conceded in the 35th minute and had to play catch-up for most of the match. However, relentless pressure paid off as goals in the 78th and 84th minutes secured a comeback victory (2-1) for Peter Bosz's side, showcasing their resilience and excellent physical condition.

⚪ In contrast, their Champions League campaign has been more challenging. After two rounds, PSV have only managed to secure 1 point, placing them at 27th in the overall standings. Their initial opponents were not of top-tier caliber: Union Saint-Gilloise (1-3 at home), from the Belgian league, and the inconsistent Bayer Leverkusen (1-1 away). With tougher opponents ahead, every match becomes crucial if PSV aim to compete for a spot in the knockout stages.

Napoli Team Overview

🔵 Napoli have also kicked off the season with confidence, currently sitting among the leaders in Serie A with 15 points from seven matches. However, they approach their clash with PSV not in the best spirits. Last weekend, they suffered a surprising defeat to an inconsistent Torino (0-1) — a team with the worst defense in the league, having conceded 13 goals. Napoli dominated the game (22 shots, 2.09 xG) but failed to find a way past Franco Israel, delivering one of their most inefficient performances in terms of finishing.

⚪ The Champions League campaign has predictably been challenging. After two matches, the Neapolitans have secured 3 out of a possible 6 points: they clinched a home victory against Sporting (2-1), but predictably fell to Manchester City away (0-2), showing little threat in attack against one of the tournament favorites (just one shot in 90 minutes). Overall, nothing critical has occurred for Napoli — they remain among the main contenders for a top-24 finish, and their chances of advancing to the playoffs appear more than realistic, barring any extraordinary events.

Latest news

PSV

📣 PSV head coach Peter Bosz, following their 2-1 victory over Go Ahead Eagles, explained that conceding a goal significantly altered his game plan: "At 2-0, I was already considering resting players ahead of the match against Napoli, but after it became 2-1, I had to abandon the idea of rotation." The coach particularly praised Guus Til, who emerged as the match's standout performer: "Guus Til was outstanding – not just with his two goals, but also with his pressing and constant deep runs."

🚫 PSV are facing some minor squad issues. Kilian Sildillia and Alassane Pléa remain doubtful as they continue recovering from hip and knee problems, respectively. Ruben van Bommel is also nursing a knee injury and is expected to return by early November.

Napoli

📣 Napoli head coach Antonio Conte, following the 1-0 defeat to Torino, admitted that the team complicated the match for themselves: "We moved the ball well enough, but got too caught up in trying to 'play beautifully'—and ended up gifting them a goal... In the second half, we had more energy, but it wasn't enough. Congratulations to Torino, but we created this defeat ourselves." The coach also reminded that the team is in a rebuilding phase: "We have nine newcomers, matches every three days. Before we see real progress, we need work and patience."

🚫 Napoli are facing more squad issues than PSV. Goalkeeper Nikita Contini is recovering from a wrist fracture and is expected to be ready by late October, as is defender Amir Rrahmani, who suffered a hamstring injury. Midfielder Stanislav Lobotka is nursing a thigh injury and is tentatively set to return in early November. Forward Romelu Lukaku is also sidelined with a thigh injury and is anticipated to be back by mid-November.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

⚽️ Goal Prediction

PSV adopt an aggressive attacking style, consistently applying pressure on their opponents' goal. In the Dutch league, the team has already netted 27 goals—more than anyone else at this stage. Napoli, given their status and the quality of their players, will likely aim to control the game and take the initiative. Against this backdrop, a bet on both teams to score (yes) seems logical, a scenario that has occurred in 6 of PSV's last 7 matches.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Napoli rank among the top teams in Serie A for corners won. In Italy's top flight, they hold second place in this category, averaging 7.1 corners per match, trailing only Inter (8.1). Considering Napoli's playing style and their tendency to take the initiative, a bet on Napoli over 4.5 corners appears well-founded.