Alaves vs Valencia Prediction for 21 October 2025 - Football

🔈 Can Carlos Corberán navigate Valencia out of their challenging predicament? The highlight of La Liga's Matchday 9 is the showdown between the "Glorious" and the "Bats" at Mendizorrotza. The visitors arrive with just one win in their last five matches, while Alavés secured a crucial victory in their previous outing. The home advantage and Valencia's shaky form lead bookmakers to slightly favor Eduardo Coudet's side.

Head-to-Head

📊 Alaves have gone unbeaten against Valencia in their last five head-to-head clashes, securing 4 wins and a draw. The last time the "Oranges" triumphed at Mendizorrotza was back in 2017, when goals from Simone Zaza and Rodrigo secured a 2-1 victory for the club from the namesake city. Last season, the teams played to a draw at Mestalla (2-2), while Alaves claimed a narrow 1-0 win in Vitoria-Gasteiz. On average, Alaves score 1.17 goals, while Valencia net 1.74 in these encounters.

Deportivo Alaves Team Overview

⚪ This season, the "Glorious" have been living up to their reputation as a solid mid-table side capable of unsettling any La Liga opponent. After eight rounds, Eduardo Coudet's squad have picked up 11 points, sitting 10th in the standings. Notably, the team from Vitoria-Gasteiz have been particularly effective at home, suffering just one defeat in four matches. A key aspect of Alaves' game is their strong defensive line, conceding only one goal per game on average. However, their attacking output has been less impressive, averaging around 1.13 goals per match.

🔵 In the last La Liga round, the "bean destroyers" hosted Elche (3-1) at their home ground. Eduardo Coudet's men handed the "green-striped" their first defeat of the season. The statistics further underscore Alaves' dominance: 25 shots to 6 and an xG of 2.42 to 0.39. Alaves frequently deploy a 4-4-2 formation this campaign, with the Argentine manager showcasing his tactical flexibility through the versatile roles of his players.

Valencia Team Overview

🟠 The "Bats" are experiencing a challenging phase this season, having gone winless in three consecutive matches. Currently, the club from the eponymous city sits 16th in the league standings, overshadowing Carlos Corberán's previous achievements. The future prospects for the Spanish manager now seem uncertain. It's also worth noting that the "Oranges" have not secured a single victory in away fixtures this season, managing just one point from four games. Valencia have conceded more goals on the road than any other team in the league, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

📌 In the last round of La Liga, the "Bats" traveled to Montilivi to face local side Girona (1-2). Despite Girona's apparent struggles, the "Oranges" failed to gain the upper hand and secure a favorable result. It's important to note that Valencia often find themselves unlucky in matches; with an xPTS of 11.71, they have only accumulated 8 points. The team's primary tactical setup is a 4-4-2 formation, which can shift to a 5-3-2 when a more compact defensive line is required.

Latest news

Deportivo Alaves

📰 The upcoming clash with Valencia will be a landmark occasion for Antonio Blanco. The 25-year-old is on the verge of making his 100th appearance in an Alaves shirt. Since joining in 2023, the midfielder has established himself as a key player for the "Glorious" thanks to his physical prowess, tactical awareness, and consistency. At 25, Blanco reaches this symbolic milestone, reflecting his evolution and commitment to the Alaves project, where he plays a leading role. The Vitorian club plans to pay him a small tribute ahead of the match against Valencia to celebrate his milestone as an Albiazul.

❌ Mariano Diaz's participation in the upcoming match remains uncertain as the Dominican midfielder has sustained a minor injury. Facundo Garces will also be unavailable, serving a suspension.

Valencia

🎤 Ahead of La Liga's Matchday 9, Carlos Corberan spoke to the media: "The team is young but ready to compete. The outcomes of games depend on two interconnected factors: strong performance and solid competition. The more and better you compete, the closer you are to achieving good results. It's time to step up, compete, and do everything possible to bounce back from our last two unsatisfactory results. Stability is the goal, a challenge we want to tackle. The players are focused on results. They are determined to achieve them. We need to create good moments as quickly as possible and strive to do so consistently. A team is competitive when it can find those moments and stay true to itself."

❌ In Valencia's injury list, Mouctar Diakhaby is sidelined with a hamstring injury, and Largie Ramazani is dealing with a muscle injury. Filip Ugrinic's participation is also in doubt due to a muscle issue.

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

It's worth noting that matches involving Valencia this season have seen a substantial number of bookings, averaging around 5.1 per game. This is largely due to the physical style of play from "Los Che." In head-to-head encounters, the average number of yellow cards shown is 5 per match. Furthermore, in each of Alaves' last 7 games, there have been at least 5 rough fouls leading to sanctions. Our pick is over 4.5 total yellow cards.

⚽ Goal Prediction

Neither club boasts impressive scoring stats this season: Alaves average 1.1 goals per game, while Valencia sit at 1.3. In 5 of the last 7 matches for "El Glorioso," no more than 2 goals have been scored. A similar trend is evident in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings between these teams. Considering all this, we'll go with under 2.5 total goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Both Alaves (6.5) and Valencia (5.5) have high average corner counts this season. Both clubs frequently utilize the width of the pitch, contributing to their attacking play. Moreover, Valencia's defense is not without flaws, allowing opponents to exploit open spaces. Our editorial choice is over 9.5 total corners.

A crucial factor to consider when making a key bet is Valencia's away performance—they haven't won in their last four matches on the road. Furthermore, several sources suggest that Carlos Corberán is gradually losing the locker room and is unable to swiftly rectify the situation. Lastly, head-to-head statistics strongly favor the "Bean Destroyers"—they haven't lost to Valencia at home since 2017. We predict a final score of 1-0, with the key bet being Alavés to win with a handicap (0).