Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction for 20 October 2025 - Football

📢 What kind of showdown can we expect between Atalanta and Lazio in the 7th round of the Italian championship? At the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, two clubs still searching for their form after a disappointing start to the season will clash. Atalanta, under Ivan Juric, have shown inconsistent performances and often drop points in matches they should be winning. Meanwhile, Lazio, dealing with a transfer ban, are facing a squad shortage and are not delivering top-quality football. Both teams are in desperate need of a victory to regain confidence and avoid falling too far behind the league leaders.

Head-to-Head

📊 The head-to-head history between Atalanta and Lazio spans 39 matches, with the Romans holding a slight edge: 17 victories compared to 14 for the Bergamo side, along with 8 draws. Last season, their encounters were tightly contested and low-scoring — in Rome, the teams settled for a 1-1 draw, while in the return fixture in Bergamo, Lazio claimed a narrow 1-0 victory.

Atalanta Team Overview

🔵 Atalanta's performance under Ivan Juric raises quite a few questions. The team shows inconsistency, alternating between solid stretches and lackluster ones, leading to mixed results. Throughout the season's opening phase, the Bergamo side has managed just three victories, and those were against less formidable opponents. Although Atalanta are unbeaten in their last four matches, the quality of play during this run has been inconsistent. Even in their Champions League victory over Club Brugge (2-1), they had to come from behind, and their overall structure was far from perfect. Nevertheless, they hold sixth place in the standings with 10 points, remaining in the European competition spots.

⚫ In the previous Serie A round, Atalanta hosted Como and were considered favorites but failed to live up to that status. An early goal in the 6th minute gave them confidence, but 13 minutes later, Como equalized, and the momentum shifted back and forth between the teams. The match ended in a 1-1 draw—a fair result for an evenly matched contest where Atalanta occasionally struggled to control the game.

Lazio Rome Team Overview

🔵 The impact of the transfer ban and lack of reinforcements is becoming increasingly evident for Lazio. The team is navigating a challenging period and has yet to find consistency in both their play and results. After six matches, the "Eagles" are positioned 13th with just 7 points, a situation that is far from satisfactory for both the management and the fans. Maurizio Sarri's squad has lost its systematic approach and confidence, often losing focus and appearing fatigued by the middle of the second half.

⚪ In the last round, Lazio hosted Torino, who are also undergoing a transitional phase under Marco Baroni. It seemed like a prime opportunity to claim three points, but things turned out differently: the "Eagles" looked sluggish, were outperformed by their opponents in nearly all key statistical areas, and were closer to a defeat than a victory. It was only in the 90+13th minute that they managed to salvage a draw with a converted penalty.

Latest news

Atalanta

📣 Atalanta's head coach Ivan Juric, following a 1-1 draw with Como, highlighted that his team had full control of the match and came close to securing a victory: "Kudos to the guys – we played an excellent match, and Como suffered like never before. We just lacked the final touch to win." The coach emphasized the positive progress in their play when transitioning from defense: "We've improved in our attacking build-up and ball movement – it's another step forward." Speaking about future prospects, Juric noted that the team is heading in the right direction: "We're a bit short on points, but the foundation is there – we're starting to add the details."

🚫 Atalanta are facing some squad issues. Mitchell Bakker and Sead Kolasinac have both suffered serious cruciate ligament injuries, with the Dutchman expected to return only by March 2026 and the Bosnian closer to mid-December. Additionally, Raoul Bellanova's participation is in doubt as he is recovering from a muscle injury.

Lazio Rome

📣 Lazio head coach Maurizio Sarri, following the thrilling 3-3 draw with Torino, highlighted his team's character: "We could have won, and then we almost lost at the end... The main thing is that the team showed character." Explaining the reasons for their inconsistency, Sarri pointed to personnel issues: "Everyone strengthened over the summer, but we didn't. Plus, we have eight or nine players injured. Patience is needed—not just from me." He specifically praised the substitutes, especially Toma Basic: "Credit to Basic: he hadn't played for a year and a half and has now put in two good performances in a row."

🚫 Lazio's injury list is extensive. Midfielders Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Nicolo Rovella, and defender Luca Pellegrini are recovering from thigh and knee injuries, with all three expected to return by late October. Mattia Zaccagni will be sidelined a while longer due to a muscle injury, with his recovery projected for early November. Samuel Gigot and Valentin Castellanos remain doubtful as they also deal with muscle issues.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Despite a rocky start, Atalanta and Lazio rank among the most prolific teams in the league: the Bergamo side has already netted 11 goals, while the Romans have scored 10. After six rounds, only Inter (17) and the league leaders (12) have found the back of the net more often. Atalanta's matches are traditionally entertaining affairs—they have both scored and conceded in eight of their last nine Serie A outings, highlighting their attacking philosophy and poor defensive play. Therefore, our bet is both teams to score (yes).

🚩 Corner Prediction

Atalanta's aggressive attacking style is reflected in their corner statistics. The team consistently applies pressure in the opponent's half and ranks among the Serie A leaders in this category, averaging 5.5 corners per game. In home matches against Lazio, they frequently approach the corner flag: the Bergamaschi have delivered at least five corners in nine of their last ten head-to-head meetings. Thus, we are betting on Atalanta over 4.5 corners.