Wales vs Belgium Prediction for 14 October 2025 - Football

🔊 What are the odds of Belgium slipping up for a second consecutive time? The "Red Devils," who were tipped as favorites in their World Cup qualifying group, are currently sitting in second place. However, they have a game in hand, with an upcoming fixture against Wales. This clash is set for October 13 at Cardiff City Stadium. Bookmakers aren't backing the Welsh side, even though in their last head-to-head with Belgium, they came very close to securing a positive result. We'll delve deeper into the history of this rivalry and other key aspects in our prediction.

Head-to-Head

📊 The national teams frequently face each other, so we won't delve too deeply into their historical encounters. Let's start from Euro 2016, where Wales made a sensational run to the semi-finals, defeating Belgium in the quarter-finals (3-1). However, since then, the Dragons haven't managed a victory over the Red Devils: Belgium have triumphed three times, and the other two meetings ended in 1-1 draws.

The June encounter in the current qualification campaign also came close to a draw. Wales staged an incredible comeback from 0-3 down but ultimately couldn't hold on to the desired result, conceding to Kevin De Bruyne in the 88th minute.

Wales Team Overview

The Welsh team delivered an impressive performance in the Nations League, finishing at the top of their group without a single loss and earning promotion to the elite division. However, their World Cup qualifying campaign has been fraught with challenges. So far, they've only managed to defeat the underdogs – Liechtenstein (3-0) and Kazakhstan (3-1; 1-0). Even then, their performance against Kazakhstan was far from convincing, especially given the disparity in quality.

It's worth noting that their last two matches were friendlies and ended disastrously for Craig Bellamy's side, with goalless defeats to Canada (0-1) and England (0-3). Across these two games, the Dragons accumulated just 1.38 expected goals, highlighting issues in their attacking play.

Belgium Team Overview

Rudi Garcia took charge of the Belgian national team at the start of this year and nearly faced a setback, almost being relegated from the elite division of the Nations League after a two-legged playoff against Ukraine (1-3; 3-0). However, the Belgians have since found their stride, going unbeaten in their last six matches.

Yet, the "Red Devils" have found their kryptonite in group leaders North Macedonia, failing to secure a win in both encounters (1-1; 0-0). The recent draw in Ghent is particularly striking. De Bruyne and his teammates dominated the match from start to finish, overwhelming their opponents in shots (25-3) and expected goals (3.15-0.1), but failed to find the back of Stole Dimitrievski's net.

Latest news

Wales

🎙 Wales' coach Craig Bellamy sought to find a silver lining in their heavy defeat at Wembley. "I want our pride to be challenged—that's why I chose this match. You learn the most when you take a beating. And today, we took one," the coach stated.

✅ The Welsh side are heading into the upcoming match with a full-strength squad.

Belgium

🎙 "We did everything to win – we completely controlled the game. We pressed well, quickly regained possession, and once again kept a clean sheet. We needed to score – that's what was missing. The result doesn't reflect the flow of the game," Rudi Garcia rightly noted after the match against North Macedonia.

❌ The Belgians boast a strong attacking line-up on paper, but they face a significant issue – without the injured Romelu Lukaku, they're lacking a focal point up front. This was evident in their game against the Macedonians. They will also be without an important figure in midfield – Youri Tielemans.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

Keeping order on the pitch will be Daniel Siebert. The German referee has officiated nine matches this season, showing inconsistency in issuing yellow cards: sometimes just one, other times as many as eight, like in the September clash between Denmark and Scotland. His average stands at 4.6 per game.

Head-to-head encounters between Wales and Belgium often see a flurry of yellow cards, with the bet on over 3.5 yellow cards hitting in 4 out of their last 6 meetings. Considering the referee's stats and the significance of the upcoming match, there's no reason why this trend shouldn't continue.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Both teams have strong trends for scoring in the first half. It's no surprise that their last encounter saw four goals before halftime. While such a goal fest is unlikely, our editorial team still believes that the bet on 1st half to be more productive than the 2nd will come through again.

🚩 Corner Prediction

We don't quite understand why bookmakers are so skeptical about the hosts' corner count. The Welsh have recorded at least four corners in each of their last six World Cup qualifying matches. Furthermore, they've surpassed this mark in their last three games against Belgium, two of which were away fixtures. With home support driving the Dragons forward, it's logical to back Wales to have over 3.5 corners.

The Belgian national team is no longer the powerhouse it once was—the golden generation has faded without claiming any major titles, and whether the younger players can reach those heights remains uncertain. The Belgians are still formidable, especially when playing at home, but their away form has been shaky, with just one win in their last six matches on the road—against Liechtenstein. This trend extends to their encounters with Wales as well—no victories in their last four away games against the Welsh side. For this reason, we disagree with the bookmakers and believe the hosts will avoid defeat. A high-scoring draw, possibly a 2-2 finish, seems the most likely outcome according to the Scores24 editorial team.

The six head-to-head matchups we've highlighted share a common feature—each has seen both teams find the net. Thus, a bet on both teams to score (yes) appears optimal to us. Belgium are due for some luck after their recent misfortune against North Macedonia, and it's time for Wales to reignite their attack following two goalless friendlies. After all, the "Dragons" have scored in each of their last 11 consecutive World Cup qualifying matches.