Netherlands vs Finland Prediction for 13 October 2025 - Football

🔊 Will the Dutch maintain their sole lead at the top of the group? To do so, they need to defeat Finland on October 12 at the Johan Cruyff Arena in Amsterdam. The Oranje are in excellent form, and bookmakers are confident in their success. However, the Finns are also serious contenders for a trip to North America next summer, currently sitting in third place, so they are looking to challenge the favorites. Let's consider the visitors' chances for a positive outcome.

Head-to-Head

📊 Prior to the current qualifying cycle, these teams hadn't faced each other for a long time. However, in their June encounter, the Dutch confidently defeated the Finns with a 2-0 scoreline, netting twice by the 23rd minute.

Netherlands Team Overview

The "Oranje" are living up to their status as group favorites, although they haven't navigated the current stage of qualification without a slip-up. After securing confident victories over Finland (2-0) and Malta (8-0), they stumbled in a home match against Poland (1-1). In that game, Ronald Koeman's side outperformed their opponents in all key metrics except goals, conceding ten minutes before the end of regular time.

At the start of the October training camp, the Netherlands once again showed no mercy to Malta, hammering four unanswered goals past them. Cody Gakpo played a direct role in three of those goals. The Liverpool forward converted two penalties and provided an assist to Tijjani Reijnders. Memphis Depay, the national team's all-time top scorer, also found the back of the net despite a hiccup with his passport that almost kept him from joining the squad.

Finland Team Overview

Jakob Friis took charge of the Finland national team in January this year, and under the Dane, their results have been fairly average—three wins, three losses, and a draw. Essentially, there was only one standout performance—a home victory against Poland (2-1), whereas even on the road against the modest Malta (1-0), despite the win, the "Owls" faced significant challenges.

Even at the start of this camp, they narrowly defeated Lithuania at home, securing a comeback victory with a 2-1 scoreline. A special mention goes to Hannover forward Benjamin Källman, who scored in his third consecutive official match for the national team. It was his goal that sparked the comeback.

Latest news

Netherlands

🎙 Cody Gakpo, who netted two penalty goals, becoming the first player to do so for the Netherlands since 1978, shared his thoughts on the victory over Malta: "In the end, we won—that's what matters most. The pitch wasn't perfect, but we managed to create some good chances at times. However, there were moments that could be improved. We need to replicate this on Sunday."

❌ The Dutch squad faces one personnel setback—Frenkie de Jong is sidelined with an injury. Additionally, Matthijs de Ligt, whom we're used to seeing in the lineup, wasn't called up for the team.

Finland

🎙 "The first half was weak from our side; we were too passive. The second half was good; we played much better. Two different halves in this match," said Finland's goalkeeper Viljami Sinisalo after the game against Lithuania.

❌ Glen Kamara and Lukas Hradecky were not called up to the national team due to injuries, but Finland's setbacks don't end there. Adam Marhiev, who scored the winning goal against Lithuania, will return to Nuremberg to recover from an injury, and Robert Ivanov will miss out due to a suspension from accumulated yellow cards.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Slavko Vinčić, one of Europe's most respected referees. The Slovenian has taken charge of seven matches this season, averaging 3.9 yellow cards per game. Notable exceptions include a Slovenian league game between Domžale and Koper, which saw nine cautions, and an international clash between Israel and Italy, where Vinčić didn't issue a single booking.

We anticipate that the upcoming match won't see a flurry of yellow cards. Both teams are relatively disciplined, averaging just 1.3 bookings per game over their last ten official matches. Therefore, our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards. This bet came through in their previous head-to-head encounter.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

The Dutch rarely waste time finding the back of the net, having scored before halftime in 11 of their last 12 World Cup qualifiers. Their last outing against Finland featured an early goal, and with the fervent support at Johan Cruyff Arena, the upcoming match is unlikely to be any different. Following this logic, we recommend betting on Netherlands to score in the first half.

🚩 Corner Prediction

The Finns don't generate many corners, averaging just 3.4 per game over their last ten matches. They only managed one corner in their home game against the Dutch, so what can we expect in Amsterdam? It's essentially a rhetorical question. Under 2.5 corners for Finland appears to be the optimal betting choice.

The Dutch stumbled in September, failing to put away the Poles, which cost them valuable points. We believe they will learn from their mistakes and won't let it happen again. The Finns are significantly lower in class, making it hard to envision how they could succeed in Amsterdam without a stroke of incredible luck. While fortune might favor the "Eagles," escaping a heavy defeat at home against the "Oranje" seemed like a miracle, and replicating that feat away will be exceedingly difficult. We anticipate a convincing home victory with a scoreline of 5-0 and are backing the Netherlands' individual total to exceed 2.5 goals.