Mali vs Madagascar Prediction for 13 October 2025 - Football

🔊 On October 12th in Bamako, Mali will host Madagascar in a World Cup qualifying match. For the hosts, the intrigue is gone: despite their victory in the last round, their chances of reaching the main tournament have vanished, as Madagascar also secured a win. In the first leg, the teams played to a goalless draw, and now Mali will aim to redeem themselves in front of their home crowd. For Madagascar, the match carries much more significance: despite being second in Group I, they have yet to secure a spot among the second-place teams that earn a ticket to North America, and they will fight for a win to strengthen their position.

Head-to-Head

📊 Officially, Mali and Madagascar have faced each other just once. The encounter took place on Madagascar's turf on 11 June 2024 and ended in a 0-0 draw.

Mali Team Overview

🟢 In the last round, Mali comfortably defeated Chad away (2-0). The team showcased a confident performance and rightfully secured three points, solidifying their position at the top of Group I. Currently, Mali are tied for third place with the Comoros Islands, both having 15 points, though Mali have a superior goal difference. Although this doesn't hold crucial significance, the hosts will strive to maintain their spot in the top three to conclude the qualifying tournament on a strong note.

Madagascar Team Overview

The visitors last played an official match on during the World Cup Qualifiers, Africa, with Comoros hosting Madagascar. The game ended with a scoreline of 1-2.

Here are the match statistics (Madagascar vs Comoros):

• possession: 43% vs 57%;
• corner kicks: 2 vs 8;
• fouls: 11 vs 10;
• yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
• shots on target: 2 vs 5.

🔴 In the previous round, Madagascar secured an away victory against the Comoros Islands (2-1). This win solidified their position in second place in Group I. Theoretically, with favorable outcomes in the upcoming matches, Madagascar could level on points with group leaders Ghana, should Ghana lose their home game against the Comoros Islands. However, even with equal points, Madagascar would not take the top spot due to Ghana's significantly better goal difference. Nevertheless, it's crucial for Madagascar to secure convincing wins and maintain clean sheets to strengthen their standing in the rankings of second-placed teams and secure a coveted spot in the World Cup in North America. Currently, Madagascar are in 4th place in this ranking.

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 1;
• Home wins – 0, Away wins – 0, Draws – 1.

Statistics: Mali vs Madagascar

• Matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
• Wins: 3 vs 5;
• Win percentage: 43% vs 71%;
• Losses: 2 vs 1;
• Draws: 2 vs 1.

Last 10 Matches:

• Wins: 6 vs 7;
• Losses: 1 vs 2;
• Draws: 3 vs 1.

• Madagascar have covered the +1.5 handicap in 11 consecutive matches.
• Madagascar have covered the +1.5 handicap in 9 of their last 10 matches (World Cup Qualifiers, Africa).

Total Goals Prediction

Statistics: Mali vs Madagascar

• Average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.29;
• Average goals scored: 1.43 vs 1.71;
• Average first-half total: 0.57 vs 0.57;
• Average second-half total: 0.86 vs 1.14;
• Mali: Average home total in the tournament - 1.67;
• Madagascar: Average away total in the tournament - 1.5;
• Last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2.5) vs 1.6 (away - 1.5).

• Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in 8 of Madagascar's last 9 matches.
• Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in Madagascar's last 5 matches (World Cup Qualifiers, Africa).

Card Prediction

Mali: Statistics

• Season: Average total in the tournament - 0.14; at home - 0;
• Last 10 matches: Average total - 0.1; at home - 0.25.

Madagascar: Statistics

• Season: Average total in the tournament - 1.29, away - 0;
• Last 10 matches: Average total - 2.5; away - 2.25.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Head-to-Head Matches:

• Total encounters – 1;
• Both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
• On the home team's field - 0 times.

Statistics: Mali vs Madagascar

• Matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
• Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 3;
• Mali BTTS at home – 3 (100%);
• Madagascar BTTS away – 0 (0%).

Last 10 Matches:

• BTTS matches: 0 vs 6;
• Mali BTTS at home – 0 (0%);
• Madagascar BTTS away – 4 (100%).

The match promises to be intense and tactically cautious. The hosts have already lost their chances of qualifying for the World Cup, so they will play more for pride and their home fans. Madagascar, on the other hand, are keen on securing a victory to strengthen their position among the second-placed teams and inch closer to that coveted spot in the North American tournament. The visitors are expected to control the game and play more aggressively. A Madagascar win with a +1.5 handicap seems like the most logical bet, having come through in 11 consecutive matches for the national team. However, we wouldn't be surprised if the visitors walk away with a 2-0 victory.