Chad vs Mali Prediction for 9 October 2025 - Football

🔊 On October 6, Chad will host Mali in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. The hosts sit at the bottom of Group I, having failed to secure a single victory in eight rounds, while Mali, with 12 points, are in fourth place and still hold slim hopes for the second spot. In the upcoming clash, the visitors are seen as the favorites: experienced and consistent, whereas Chad continue to face significant struggles both in attack and defense.

Head-to-Head

The last official encounter between these teams took place on 18 November 2023 and ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (Mali were the home side):

• possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
• corner kicks: 9 vs 2;
• fouls: 12 vs 16;
• yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
• shots on target: 6 vs 2.

📊 Chad and Mali have faced off in three official matches. The stats are as follows:

• Goals: 1 for the hosts and 8 for the visitors;
• Average total goals per match – 3.

Chad Team Overview

The team's last official match took place on as part of the World Cup Qualifiers, Africa (hosts – Madagascar, visitors – Chad). The match concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.

Here are the match stats (Chad vs Madagascar):

• possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
• corner kicks: 1 vs 9;
• fouls: 19 vs 16;
• yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
• shots on target: 1 vs 3.

🔵 September was a month of contrasts for the Chad national team. On home soil, they secured their first point in the group by unexpectedly drawing with Ghana (1-1). However, on the road, Chad couldn't put up a fight against Madagascar (1-3). After eight rounds, Chad sit at the bottom of Group I with one draw and seven losses, and a goal difference of 3:19. Despite their poor results, the team aims to finish the qualifiers on a positive note in the remaining matches.

Mali Team Overview

The visitors last played an official match on , competing in the World Cup Qualifiers, Africa (hosts – Ghana, visitors – Mali). The game concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.

Here are the match statistics (Mali vs Ghana):

• possession: 17% vs 83%;
• corners: 2 vs 5;
• fouls: 12 vs 10;
• yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
• shots on target: 0 vs 1.

🟢 Mali's last two matches have yielded mixed results. At home, they convincingly defeated Comoros 3-0, but then suffered a 0-1 defeat away to Ghana. After eight rounds, Mali sit fourth in Group I with 12 points. They trail second-place Madagascar by 4 points, while Comoros are in third with 15 points. Theoretically, Mali still have a shot at reaching the World Cup finals, but they need to win both of their remaining matches and rely on their rivals dropping points.

Outcome Prediction

Outcome Prediction

Head-to-Head:

• Total encounters – 3;
• Home wins – 0, Away wins – 3, Draws – 0.

Statistics: Chad vs Mali

• Matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
• Wins: 0 vs 2;
• Win percentage: 0% vs 33%;
• Losses: 5 vs 2;
• Draws: 1 vs 2.

Last 10 Matches:

• Wins: 0 vs 6;
• Losses: 7 vs 1;
• Draws: 3 vs 3.

• Chad covers the +2.5 handicap in 13 of their last 15 matches.
• Chad covers the +2.5 handicap at home in six consecutive matches.

Total Goals Prediction

Head-to-Head:

• Today's home team scores an average of 0.33 goals, while the away team averages 2.67;
• The average total goals in head-to-head matches is 3;
• Both teams scored: overall - once; at the home team's ground - never.

Statistics: Chad vs Mali

• Average total in the tournament: 2.67 vs 2.17;
• Average goals scored: 0.5 vs 1.33;
• Average total in the first half: 0.17 vs 0.5;
• Average total in the second half: 0.33 vs 0.83;
• Chad: average home total in the tournament - 0.33;
• Mali: average away total in the tournament - 0;
• Last 10 matches (average total): 0.4 (home - 0.5) vs 1.5 (away - 0.83).

• Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in Chad's last ten home matches.
• Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 18 of Mali's last 19 matches.
• Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 16 of Mali's last 17 away matches.
• Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in Mali's last 12 World Cup qualification matches (Africa).
• Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in Mali's last seven away World Cup qualification matches (Africa).

Cards Prediction

Chad: Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 0.67; at home - 0.33;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 0.7; at home - 0.25.

Mali: Statistics

• Season: average total in the tournament - 0.17, away - 0;
• Last 10 matches: average total - 0.1; away - 0.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

Head-to-Head:

• Total encounters – 3;
• Both teams scored overall - once;
• At the home team's ground - never.

Statistics: Chad vs Mali

• Total matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
• Matches with both teams scoring this season (BTTS): 3 vs 3;
• Chad's BTTS at home – once (33%);
• Mali's BTTS away – none (0%).

Last 10 matches:

• Matches with BTTS: 4 vs 0;
• Chad's BTTS at home – twice (50%);
• Mali's BTTS away – none (0%).

Mali enter their upcoming away match against Chad as clear favorites. In the first round, back at the end of 2023, they secured a convincing 3-1 victory at home. Chad, despite an initial draw with Ghana, continue to struggle both offensively and defensively. Our prediction: total under 3.5 goals, a trend that has played out in Chad's last 10 home matches and in 18 of Mali's last 19 games. The visitors might clinch a 2-0 win.