Sevilla vs Barcelona Prediction for 5 October 2025 - Football

🔈 Can the "Nervionenses" finally break their 10-year winless streak against "Barca" in La Liga? The 8th round of La Liga brings a fascinating clash as Sevilla take on Barcelona at the "Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan". Currently, Hansi Flick's squad are looking impressive both in their style of play and interim results. Meanwhile, Sevilla are searching for balance in their game and are showing gradual improvement. Despite the home advantage, bookmakers clearly see Sevilla as the underdogs, giving the "Blaugrana" a fourfold edge.

Head-to-Head

📊 Sevilla's last victory over Barcelona in La Liga dates back to the 2015/16 season (2-1). For 10 consecutive head-to-head encounters across all competitions, the "Nervionenses" have been unable to defeat the "Blaugrana". Last season, the Catalan side secured two emphatic wins against Sevilla: 5-1 at Montjuïc and 4-1 at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Let's note the average scoring for each side throughout their head-to-head history: Sevilla – 1.22, Barcelona – 2.1.

Sevilla Team Overview

🔴 The "Nervionenses" have shown significant progress this season. The arrival of Matías Almeyda has been a key factor in boosting the players' confidence. It's worth noting that even when Sevilla have faced defeats this season, they have never lost by more than a single goal. Currently, the club from the namesake city has accumulated 10 points, placing them 9th in the standings. Surprisingly, Sevilla's home performance raises concerns, with no wins, two losses, and one draw this season. In fact, throughout this calendar year, Sevilla have only won once at the "Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan" — a victory against Las Palmas (1-0) in May.

⚪ In their last La Liga match, Sevilla visited "Campo de Vallecas" to face Rayo Vallecano (1-0). To be honest, the "Nervionenses" struggled to find their rhythm in this encounter, but excellent finishing and solid goalkeeping allowed them to secure a narrow victory. Notably, under Matías Almeyda's leadership, Sevilla employ a 3-4-3 tactical formation, well-suited to the demands of Spanish football. However, it's important to mention their creative struggles — they have only created seven scoring chances this season, which is the worst record in the league alongside Real Oviedo.

Barcelona Team Overview

🔵 The Blaugrana currently lead the national championship, holding a one-point advantage over Real Madrid. Hansi Flick's squad has yet to taste defeat in this season's La Liga, securing victories in four consecutive matches. Barcelona's high-intensity style of play is paying off, with the team averaging nearly three goals per match—the best in the league. Moreover, they've tightened up defensively, conceding approximately 0.71 goals per game, also the league's top mark.

🔴 Midweek, Barcelona faced a crucial European fixture against PSG (1-2). Flick's side excelled in the first half, often outplaying their opponents. However, in the second half, Barça fell apart—evidenced by just 36% possession and only one shot on target. Ultimately, a last-minute strike by Gonçalo Ramos secured victory for the French side. Under Flick's leadership, the Catalans employ a physically demanding style of play, characterized by constant movement and maintaining high intensity in the opponent's half. To manage this, the German tactician frequently rotates his squad.

Latest news

Sevilla

📰 Alexis Sanchez's physical condition is nothing short of remarkable. The 36-year-old joined the "Nervionenses" this past summer and has already made a significant impact, contributing 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 partial appearances. The Chilean continues to demonstrate his ability to maintain high intensity in pressing, thus aiding the team in the hard graft. Recently, Sanchez expressed his intention to keep himself in peak physical shape with the dream of playing in the 2030 World Cup. After the clash with Rayo Vallecano (1-0), Matias Almeyda commented on Alexis: "Alexis is football, he is happiness. He doesn't spend all day on his phone. He talks to you about football, events, players. I am very grateful he joined us. He's one of the shortest players on the team, yet he wins aerial duels. He's not the fastest, but he outpaces opponents. He knows he'll be surrounded, and he doesn't falter. That's why I say: thank you for this experience."

❌ In the club's infirmary are Alfonso Gonzalez (ankle injury) and Nianzou Kouassi (muscle injury). Adnan Januzaj (ankle injury) and Joan Jordan (back injury) remain doubtful for the upcoming match.

Barcelona

🎤 Following their 2-1 defeat to PSG last Wednesday, Hansi Flick didn't make excuses and acknowledged the Parisians' superiority: "We played much better in the first half than in the second. We allowed too many chances because we were tired. The truth is, PSG are an excellent team with very young and fast players. The Parisians put on a great performance. We didn't play our best, and against such an opponent, that's necessary. PSG deserved their win. As of today, we can't say we're on the same level as PSG. But I believe in my team. We didn't show our best in this match. We lost, but we want to get back to our level, so we need to train and improve. We'll review what went wrong."

❌ Bad news for Barcelona is the injury to Lamine Yamal. The Catalan side will be without the forward for the next 2-3 weeks due to a hip issue. Also sidelined for the Blaugrana are Joan Garcia (knee injury), Gavi (knee injury), Fermin Lopez (groin injury), Raphinha (thigh injury), and Marc-André ter Stegen (back injury).

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

Sevilla have started the new season as one of the most aggressive teams in La Liga, averaging around 3 bookings per match. In comparison, Barcelona's figure stands at just 0.9. In head-to-head encounters, the "Nervionenses" also tend to commit more fouls: 3.1 compared to 2.11. Considering these statistics and Sevilla's tendency to foul frequently against top teams, we suggest the following bet – Sevilla to win the yellow card battle with a -1 handicap.

⚽ Goal Prediction

The average goal tally in matches between Sevilla and Barcelona is 3.3 per game. It's worth noting the current season's average goals scored by each team: Sevilla at 1.6 and Barcelona at 3. Furthermore, at least 3 goals have been scored in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head clashes. Our editorial team believes the most reasonable bet is over 3 goals total.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Let's examine the corner stats for each team this season. Sevilla typically fall short in this department, with 3.1 corners won versus 6.4 conceded. Barcelona, on the other hand, excel on the flanks with 7.1 corners won against 3.6 conceded. We anticipate that the visitors will dominate possession, translating into a significant number of corners. Our pick is Barcelona to win the corner count with a -1.5 handicap.

The "Nervionenses" are showing remarkable improvement compared to last season, with Matias Almeyda seemingly getting the most out of his players, while the club's veterans are enjoying a resurgence in form. It's important to note that Sevilla have only suffered one heavy defeat against their opponent this calendar year. Our editorial team believes that the high number of injuries and fatigue from European competition will impact the outcome of the upcoming clash. A final score of 2-2 seems quite plausible. The key bet is Sevilla's victory with a (+1.5) handicap.