Atalanta vs Como Prediction for 5 October 2025 - Football

📢 What can we expect from the clash between Atalanta and Como in the 6th round of Serie A at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo? Both teams are currently struggling to find their best form: the "Queen of the Provincials" under Ivan Juric alternates between impressive performances and lackluster displays, while the "Larians" create plenty of chances but drop points due to poor finishing. Both the hosts and visitors are in dire need of a win to solidify their positions in the upper part of the table and regain confidence. The match promises to be unpredictable, given that both sides play attacking football and rarely leave the pitch without scoring.

Head-to-Head

📊 The head-to-head history between Atalanta and Como over the past 20 years includes just two matches, both occurring last season. The teams exchanged away victories: Como pulled off a surprising 3-2 win first, while Atalanta got their revenge in the second round with a 2-1 victory.

Atalanta Team Overview

❓ The appointment of Ivan Jurić as the head coach of Atalanta initially raised eyebrows: the Croatian had unsuccessful stints at Roma and Southampton, leading many to doubt his ability to manage a club that has firmly established itself among the Serie A leaders in recent years. So far, these doubts seem justified, as the Bergamo side are experiencing noticeable instability. They thrash opponents one week only to drop points in seemingly straightforward matches the next. After five rounds, the team sits sixth with nine points, and their current performance is receiving mixed reviews.

🔵 Last weekend, Atalanta drew away against Juventus (1-1). Although Jurić's men opened the scoring and only conceded in the 78th minute, a victory would have seemed undeserved: the Bergamaschi played a restrained and uncharacteristic game, relinquishing initiative and controlling possession for just 33% of the match.

⚫ Following the tough encounter in Turin, the team managed to squeeze in a Champions League clash with Club Brugge (2-1). At their home stadium, Atalanta had to dig deep: after trailing at halftime, they only managed to turn the tide in the closing stages to snatch victory. This raises questions about their physical readiness ahead of their meeting with Como: if the "Queen of the Provincials" struggles to edge out a Belgian club at home, facing a fresh and motivated Serie A opponent certainly won't be easy.

Como 1907 Team Overview

🔵 Como surprised many with their performance last season: after returning to Serie A, they immediately secured a 10th-place finish, solidifying their spot in the top flight. This season was expected to be a step forward, and to some extent, it has been justified—after five rounds, the club sits in 8th position. However, behind these decent results lies a worrying inconsistency: too many points have been dropped in matches where the "Larians" appeared stronger than their opponents.

⚪ In the previous round, Cesc Fabregas' side shared the spoils at home with Cremonese (1-1). Despite being noticeably better in terms of play, their finishing let them down—this wasn't the first time. A similar story unfolded in their encounters with Genoa (1-1) and Bologna (0-1). Cesc Fabregas' charges seize the initiative from the first whistle, creating numerous chances in front of the opposition's goal, yet they struggle to convert their dominance into the desired result.

📌 Currently, the team's attack heavily relies on Nico Paz: the Argentine midfielder has been involved in all six of the club's goals in the league (3 goals and 3 assists). Without his leadership and attacking flair, Como's situation could be much more dire.

Latest news

Atalanta

📣 After the match against Club Brugge (2-1), Atalanta's head coach Ivan Juric acknowledged that the team didn't start off on the right foot, but managed to step up after the break: "In the first half, we played a bit sluggishly and conceded a goal that could have been avoided — we lacked aggression. After the break, we were much more assertive and practically doubled our pace: the substitutions gave us a significant boost, and the victory was well-deserved."

🚫 Atalanta are dealing with significant personnel issues affecting all areas of the squad. Marten de Roon will miss the game due to a suspension from a red card in the last round. Several players are sidelined with muscle injuries until mid-October: Odilon Kossounou, Raoul Bellanova, Giorgio Scalvini, Charles De Ketelaere, and Nicola Zalewski. Gianluca Scamacca is also recovering from a knee injury and will return by mid-October. More extended absences include Sead Kolasinac, out until mid-December with a cruciate ligament injury, and Mitchel Bakker, whose return is not expected until March 2026.

Como 1907

📣 Como's head coach, Cesc Fabregas, expressed his dissatisfaction with the refereeing in their 1-1 draw against Cremonese: "I don't want to blame anyone, but I believe the sending-off was excessive—it took away our chance to win." The Spaniard also emphasized the importance of maximum effort: "When you engage in challenges without the right intensity, you make life too easy for the opponent; if you're not giving 100 percent, you get punished."

🚫 Como are also facing a challenging personnel situation. Midfielder Jesus Rodriguez and head coach Cesc Fabregas will miss the game due to red cards. Alberto Dossena remains sidelined with an ACL injury, with his return expected in early November. There's uncertainty over the participation of Ignace Van der Brempt and Assane Diao, who are dealing with a muscle strain and a foot injury, respectively. The list is further extended by Sergi Roberto, who is out with a muscle injury until mid-October.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Atalanta continue to play with the attacking flair instilled by Gian Piero Gasperini, although they have started paying more attention to defense. This philosophy is evident in their stats—Atalanta have both scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches. Como aren't ones to sit back either, often taking the initiative even against top clubs, promising an open game. We're backing both teams to score (yes).

🚩 Corner Prediction

Como are renowned for their bold style of play; they don't retreat into a defensive shell and prefer to actively engage in the opponent's half, regardless of the opposition's stature. This approach consistently earns them corners. It's no coincidence that they've taken at least four corners in 6 of their last 7 official matches. Given the nature of the "Larians'" play, there's every reason to expect this threshold to be surpassed in the upcoming match. Our pick is Como total over 3.5 corners.