Parma vs Lecce Prediction for 4 October 2025 - Football

📢 Can Parma secure a home victory in their sixth round Serie A clash against Lecce at the Ennio Tardini? Both teams have had a sluggish start to the season and currently linger in the lower half of the table, desperately needing points. The "Crusaders" aim to build on their crucial win over Torino (2-1), while the "Salentini", still winless and boasting the league's worst defense, will look to break their prolonged losing streak. This upcoming encounter could significantly impact the futures of both head coaches.

Head-to-Head

📊 The recent head-to-head history between Parma and Lecce reveals a relatively even contest, with a slight edge to the "Crusaders": out of 9 matches, Parma have won 4, Lecce have claimed victory in 3, and 2 ended in draws. Last season's clashes were thrilling and dramatic: the first encounter ended in a 2-2 draw, with the "Crusaders" scoring both their goals in stoppage time (90+3 and 90+5), while in the second round, the "Salentians" managed to exact revenge with a 3-1 away win.

Parma Team Overview

🟡 Parma didn't have the best start to the season, but their latest match helped them slightly improve their standing. Last weekend, the "Crusaders" secured a victory on home turf against a challenging opponent, Torino (2-1), which lifted them out of the relegation zone and into 14th place in the league table.

🔵 However, Carlos Cuesta's side didn't necessarily outplay their opponents. Despite being the hosts, Parma opted to concede possession to the Turin team, focusing on quick counterattacks. A pivotal moment came with a penalty midway through the first half; converting the spot-kick allowed the "Crusaders" to take the lead and relieve some psychological pressure, enabling them to see out the win.

📌 Special mention goes to forward Mateo Pellegrino, who scored twice in this encounter. Including his performances in the Coppa Italia, he has already netted five goals this season. The Argentine has become a key figure in Parma's attack, largely responsible for keeping the team afloat.

Lecce Team Overview

🔴 Lecce are facing considerably tougher times compared to Parma. The team has yet to secure a victory in the Italian league: after five rounds, the Salentini have managed to collect just 2 points, leaving them at the bottom of the standings. Their struggles are compounded by having the weakest defense in the league, conceding 10 goals (the same as Torino), clearly highlighting their defensive woes.

🟡 Last weekend, Lecce managed to snatch a draw at home against a solid Bologna side (2-2). However, Eusebio Di Francesco's squad had to push themselves to the limit for this result: despite leading in xG (1.74 to 1.44), the game was largely controlled by the Rossoblù. The hosts salvaged a point in the dying moments — a precise strike from 17-year-old Francesco Camarda in the 90+4th minute secured this crucial draw for the team.

Latest news

Parma

📣 After the match against Torino (2-1), Parma head coach Carlos Cuesta highlighted the team's character and praised the players for their perseverance during a challenging period: "It's certainly a great joy, especially for the guys. In recent weeks, they haven't reaped the rewards of their efforts, but they kept working hard and striving to improve every day. Today, the team showed character, and it was evident even in the tough moments of the match."

🚫 Parma continue to struggle with personnel issues. Lautaro Valenti remains doubtful with a muscle injury, and Hernani is recovering from a thigh problem. More significant losses include Jakub Ondrejka, sidelined until mid-December, and Matija Frigan, who will be unable to assist the team until early March 2026 due to a cruciate ligament injury. 

Lecce

📣 After the 2-2 draw with Bologna, Lecce's head coach Eusebio Di Francesco expressed hope that this match could be a turning point for his team: "I hope this becomes a pivotal game. The team fully deserved this result; a loss would have been completely unjust. We need to grow as quickly as possible, and this match should be the starting point."

🚫 Lecce are also dealing with a challenging injury situation. Balthazar Pierret is sidelined due to a gastrointestinal issue, while the participation of Medon Berisha and Tete Morente remains uncertain as both continue to recover from ankle and leg injuries respectively. Gabi Jean and Filip Marchwinski, who suffered cruciate ligament injuries, are expected to return to the field only in the second half of October.

⚽️ Goal Predictions

⚽️ Goal Predictions

Head-to-head clashes between Parma and Lecce have traditionally thrilled fans with a flurry of goals — in 6 of their last 7 encounters, the total has exceeded 2.5 goals. Just look back at last season: the teams played out a dramatic 2-2 draw with Parma scoring twice in stoppage time, and in the second leg, Lecce secured a 3-1 victory. Currently, both sides are not shining defensively and frequently make errors at the back, so there are solid grounds to expect another high-scoring affair in their upcoming match.

🚩 Corner Predictions

Lecce have not been a favorite for those betting on a high number of corners — in 8 of their last 9 matches, they have delivered no more than four corners. This trend has continued in the current Serie A season, with an average of just 4.0 corners per game, which is quite low for the league. In the upcoming match, the visitors are likely to have less possession, further increasing the likelihood that they will fall short of this mark again. Our pick is Lecce under 4.5 corners.