Lazio vs Torino Prediction for 4 October 2025 - Football

📢 Can Lazio build on last week's success in their home game against Torino in the sixth round of the Italian Championship at the Stadio Olimpico? Both teams have had a shaky start and are yet to meet the expectations of their fans: the Romans fluctuate between impressive victories and lackluster defeats, while the "Bulls" are hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone. Every point is crucial right now, making this clash in Rome a potentially tense affair.

Head-to-Head

📊 The recent head-to-head history between Lazio and Torino highlights the Roman side's advantage: out of 38 matches, they have secured 17 victories, while the Turin team has managed only 6, with 15 games ending in a draw. Last season, their rivalry was nearly balanced: in the first round, Lazio clinched a hard-fought 3-2 win away, and in the second, the teams settled for a 1-1 draw.

Lazio Rome Team Overview

🔵 Lazio this season are playing a game of "guess what we'll do next" — the Roman club might just be the most unpredictable team not only in Serie A but across the top five European leagues. The Eagles sit in 12th place on the table with just 6 points, and their performances swing dramatically: they either secure emphatic victories or suffer clear defeats without displaying high-level football.

⚪ Their last match against Genoa exemplified the former scenario. On September 29, Lazio traveled to Genoa and unexpectedly thrashed their opponents 3-0. However, the match statistics don't reflect total dominance from the visitors — the Eagles took half as many shots (7 compared to 19), held possession for only 35% of the time, and were behind in xG (1.05-1.72).

📌 It's crucial to consider that Maurizio Sarri's side is in a tough spot due to a transfer ban and a significant number of injured players, which greatly limits squad options. Therefore, for the Romans, every point and even less dazzling victories are of particular value right now.

Torino Team Overview

🔴 Torino, much like Lazio, are grappling with a lack of consistency: the team alternates between impressive performances and disappointing ones, without showcasing a cohesive style of play. The "Bulls" can convincingly defeat a stronger opponent one week, only to deliver a completely opposite performance and suffer a defeat the next. Currently, Torino sit at just 4 points and find themselves in an unusually low 15th place in the table. Adding to the bleak picture is their league-worst goal difference of 2:10.

⚪ In the last round, Torino failed to overcome a far from formidable opponent – Parma (1-2). Throughout the match, the "Bulls" appeared more dominant: they controlled possession more and took more shots on goal, but once again, their creativity in attack and quality of finishing let them down – with only 15 attempts and a total xG of 0.69. This issue with finishing remains a critical problem for Torino and could play a decisive role in their upcoming match.

Latest news

Lazio Rome

📣 After Lazio's 3-0 victory over Genoa, head coach Maurizio Sarri emphasized that the team's success hinges more on the players' mentality than the tactical setup: "If we play with the same determination, we can adapt to any tactical scheme—it's not the decisive factor. The win was deserved, although perhaps the final scoreline was a bit flattering... We lost the derby under controversial circumstances, and it was crucial to immediately improve our standing in the table."

🚫 Lazio's injury list is a sight for sore eyes, as the team faces significant personnel challenges. Adam Marušić, Manuel Lazzari, and Fisayo Dele-Bashiru are sidelined with muscle injuries and are expected to return only by mid-October. Luca Pellegrini, Nicolò Rovella, Samuel Gigot, and Matías Vecino remain doubtful, all dealing with muscle issues, with their availability to be determined at the last minute. Adding to this list is Matteo Guendouzi, who will miss the match due to a suspension following a red card against Roma.

Torino

📣 Following their 2-1 defeat to Parma, Torino head coach Marco Baroni expressed disappointment with the result but praised his team's performance: "The game was more than convincing, as Parma had just two shots on target. It's frustrating to leave with this result after such a match. However, this is the right path, and today the team showed their potential."

🚫 Torino are also dealing with a few injury concerns. Tino Anjorin is sidelined until mid-October due to a foot injury. Perr Schuurs and Zanos Savva have suffered severe cruciate ligament injuries and will be out for an extended period.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Head-to-head clashes between Lazio and Torino have historically been low-scoring affairs. In 8 of their last 9 encounters, the under 2.5 goals bet has come through. The identity of the head coach or the playing philosophy of each team doesn't seem to matter much—these matches remain cautious regardless of the circumstances. Even considering the inconsistency of both sides, it's hard to imagine the upcoming match will be a goal-fest.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Torino tend to play defensively against Lazio, especially in away games, often ceding the initiative to their opponents. This cautious approach directly impacts their set-piece statistics: in 7 of their last 8 meetings in Rome, Torino have taken no more than four corners. In this scenario, a bet on Torino under 4.5 corners seems reasonable.

Torino, meanwhile, remain the league's worst defensive side with ten goals conceded, yet the "Bulls" managed to snatch points from Roma (1-0) with a solid defensive display. Given that both teams desperately need points, they are likely to focus on cautious play and tight defense. Under these conditions, betting on under 2.5 goals seems sensible—a wager that has paid off in eight of the last nine Serie A head-to-heads between these teams. We expect to see a scoreline of 1-0 on the board.