Osasuna vs Getafe Prediction for 4 October 2025 - Football

🔈 Can the Reds extend their unbeaten run at El Sadar? The opening match of La Liga's 8th round features a showdown between Osasuna and Getafe in Pamplona. Both clubs have struggled in recent rounds, but this upcoming head-to-head clash offers a prime opportunity for each side to strengthen their league standing. The home advantage and head-to-head statistics play a significant role in the pre-match odds, with bookmakers giving the hosts a twofold edge.

Head-to-Head

📊 Trips to "El Sadar" always pose a tough challenge for Getafe players. In 11 out of their last 13 head-to-head encounters in Pamplona, the "Reds" have avoided defeat. Let's also note the average scoring rate for each side during these matchups at "El Sadar": Osasuna – 1.23, Getafe – 0.92. We'll soon find out if the "City" can improve their record against the "Reds."

Osasuna Team Overview

🔴 Under the guidance of Alessio Lisci, the "Reds" are gradually finding their optimal form. However, the team from Pamplona has been successful primarily in their home fixtures. Osasuna remain unbeaten at El Sadar this season, with 2 wins and 1 draw. Their current 13th position in the league indicates a need for more consistency. It's hard to overlook their strikingly low scoring rate of 0.71 goals per game, ranking 18th in the league. On the flip side, the team under the Italian manager shows clear defensive improvement, conceding around 1 goal per match, placing them 4th in the league.

📌 Away games have been particularly challenging for Osasuna. In their last outing, they failed to secure a positive result at Estadio de la Cartuja against Real Betis (0-2). Nevertheless, it's fair to say that Alessio Lisci's tactical plan almost paid off—the players maintained compactness, leaving no open spaces behind. Moreover, Osasuna consistently tried to hold the offside line, often perplexing the Betis forwards. The tactical approach based on a 3-5-2 formation certainly has the potential to be effective throughout the season.

Getafe Team Overview

🔵 Jose Bordalas' side made a strong start to the new season, but they've hit a snag in recent rounds. The "City" team has gone three consecutive matches without a win. Despite this, they maintain a position in the top half of the standings. Their rather mediocre scoring rate (1.14 goals per game) and less than convincing defensive play (conceding 1.29 goals per match) have prevented them from climbing higher in the table. It's also worth noting that Getafe suffered heavy defeats in their last two away games against Valencia (0-3) and Barcelona (0-3).

📌 Last weekend, the "Dark Blues" hosted La Liga newcomers Levante (1-1) at their stadium. Despite having the positional advantage, Bordalas' squad couldn't create enough scoring opportunities to secure a win. In fact, the "Frogs" outperformed the "City" team in expected goals (xG), with 1.24 compared to 0.56. This season, Getafe have adopted a slightly different approach—the 5-3-2 formation has become the foundation for the head coach's strategy. Although the team occasionally shifts to a familiar 4-4-2 setup, their defensive phases have undergone significant changes.

Latest news

Osasuna

🎤 Following their 2-0 defeat to Betis in the last round, Alessio Lisci addressed the media at a press conference, sharing his thoughts on the match: “It was incredibly tough for us today against such a solid team, and it's clear that something needs to change since we haven't collected any points on the road this season. However, there is a reason for this. Firstly, our away schedule has been extremely challenging; our first three away games were not bad at all, and we didn't deserve to lose any of them. This was a poor match, and many things were certainly overlooked by me. I don't want to go into details because it might seem like we're making excuses, and I hate making excuses. Moving forward, we must not repeat the same mistakes.”

❌ Aimar Oroz remains sidelined for the club from Pamplona, having sustained an unfortunate injury back in mid-September.

Getafe

🎤 Getafe's visionary leader, José Bordalás, was left unsatisfied with the outcome of their recent clash against Levante (1-1): "This match once again showed that there are no easy points in La Liga. Every team will fight tooth and nail to add to their tally. Sometimes, the level of play isn't the main factor—it's the commitment and readiness to maintain high intensity that truly matter. It's unfortunate that in the second half, when we had territorial advantage and were in full control, we couldn't secure a comeback victory. We need to keep working and prepare for a tough away trip to Pamplona."

❌ In Getafe's injury list, only Juanmi is sidelined with a knee injury. Meanwhile, Adrián Liso will be unavailable as he has been called up to Spain's youth national team.

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

Clashes involving Getafe are always intense and filled with fouls. In head-to-head meetings between Osasuna and Getafe, there are about 6.1 yellow cards per game. This season, the "Reds" average 2 cautions per match, while the "City" side sees around 2.3. Considering all these factors, our suggested bet is over 4 total yellow cards.

⚽ Goal Prediction

It's important to note that both clubs this season focus on securing their defenses. The stats on goals conceded back this up. In 7 out of Osasuna's last 8 matches, there were no more than 2 goals scored. The average goal tally in their head-to-head encounters is just 1.9 goals per game. The most sensible bet for this match is under 2 total goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

In Osasuna's last 8 matches, there have been no more than 10 corner kicks. A similar trend is seen in 5 of Getafe's last 6 games. Let's consider the average number of corners each team earns this season: the "Reds" with 2.3 and the "City" side with 3.7. These stats hardly suggest a high number of corners. Our editorial choice is under 9.5 total corners.

Osasuna have been particularly impressive at their home ground this season. Alessio Lisci and his coaching staff are working to mold the "Reds" into a defensively solid unit. Getafe, on the other hand, are struggling to create and convert chances, especially after Adrián Liso was called up to the national youth team. Our editorial team suggests focusing on the head-to-head statistics and predicts a final score of 1-0. The key bet is Osasuna to win with a handicap (0).