Fenerbahce vs Nice Prediction for 3 October 2025 - Football

🔊 Can Fenerbahce secure a home victory against Nice? These clubs are set to clash in the second round of the UEFA Europa League group stage, with the match taking place in Turkey. Both teams stumbled out of the gate, suffering defeats in their opening matches, and are now eager to collect points and climb the standings. Our analysis and prediction for the outcome of this encounter can be found in our article.

Head-to-Head

📊 These rivals haven't faced each other in the last 30 years.

Fenerbahce Istanbul Team Overview

🟡 In the opening round of the Europa League, Fenerbahce traveled to face Dinamo Zagreb and fell 1-3. Early on, it seemed the Turkish side were head and shoulders above their opponents and poised for an easy victory, but ultimately, they succumbed to defeat. Domenico Tedesco's squad enjoyed more possession (58%), yet their expected goals (xG) figure was a modest 0.19.

🔴 In the Turkish Super Lig, Fenerbahce sit in second place, trailing Galatasaray by six points. Tedesco's team remain unbeaten but have dropped significant points due to three draws. In their latest match, the "Yellow Canaries" convincingly defeated Antalyaspor at home (2-0), showcasing dominance across all statistical metrics.

Nice Team Overview

⚫ Nice faced off against Italian side Roma in their opening Europa League fixture. Despite the home advantage, they couldn't secure any points, falling 1-2. The only goal for the "Eaglets" came from a penalty by Nigerian striker Terem Moffi. The match statistics favored Roma: possession was 43% to 57%, shots on target were 2 to 4, and corners were 3 to 6. However, Nice had a higher expected goals figure at 0.99 compared to Roma's 0.81.

🔴 Following that defeat, Franck Haise's squad played against Paris FC in the sixth round of the French league. The match ended in a 1-1 draw, although the "Eaglets" led until conceding a penalty in the 88th minute. In Ligue 1, Nice currently sit in 12th place.

Latest news

Fenerbahce Istanbul

❌ Colombian forward John Duran will miss the upcoming match due to an injury sustained during the Champions League qualifier against Benfica. Initial reports suggest his recovery could take around another month. Mexican midfielder Edson Alvarez's participation is in doubt; although he is physically ready to play, the coaching staff believes he has yet to reach peak form.

Nice

🎙 Nice head coach Franck Haise discussed the condition of Hicham Boudaoui and Sofiane Diop following their injuries in the sixth round of Ligue 1: “Hicham took a hard knock to his hip, which is quite painful. I don't think it's serious. Since we're playing again soon, I can't predict how he'll fare in the European Champions Cup match. As for Sofiane, it initially seemed like a bruise. However, I haven't consulted with the doctor yet.”

❌ Midfielder Tanguy Ndombele will miss the match against Fenerbahce due to a groin injury that has sidelined him for a significant number of weeks. His recovery is progressing slowly, and he's not expected to return to the field until the end of October.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The upcoming match will be officiated by Srdjan Jovanovic from Serbia. On average, over a span of 100 matches, he issues 4.28 yellow cards per game, with 27 fouls. In their last 5 matches, Fenerbahçe have averaged 2.8 yellow cards per game, while Nice have averaged 2. Both teams tend to receive a fair number of warnings, and Srdjan Jovanovic is known for frequently showing yellow cards, making a bet on over 4 total yellow cards a promising option.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

The teams' individual goal totals over their last five matches are on the lower side: Fenerbahçe have scored 1.4 goals per game, while Nice have managed just 1. The previous round demonstrated that neither team is currently ready for a goal-scoring spectacle in the Europa League, so we suggest considering a bet on under 3 total goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

When it comes to corners, the statistics favor the Turkish club—they deliver significantly more set pieces from the corner. Over their last five games, Fenerbahçe have averaged 7.2 corners per match compared to Nice's 5.4. Considering they are playing at home, we recommend betting on Fenerbahçe to win the corner count.

The current situation for Fenerbahçe and Nice dictates that they must secure points in the upcoming match if they want to stay in contention for a playoff spot. On home turf this season, the Turkish club remains unbeaten with four wins and two draws, so we're predicting a Fenerbahçe victory with a scoreline of 2-0.

The visitors' attacking line has been toothless: Nice have not scored more than one goal in any game this season and often leave the pitch without finding the net at all. With this in mind, we suggest betting on Nice's individual total to be under 1.