Porto vs Red Star Prediction for 3 October 2025 - Football

🔊 Is the favorite's advantage really that significant? The bookmaker is clear-cut in their assessment of our match. Porto are set to play another game in the Europa League, facing off against Serbia's Crvena Zvezda. Both clubs showcase excellent football domestically, but European competitions are a different ballgame altogether. Our editorial team offers their prediction for this encounter. The final bet will be revealed at the end.

Head-to-Head

📊 The teams participate in European competitions every season, yet they have not crossed paths until now.

Porto Team Overview

🔵 The team has kicked off the season brilliantly, reaffirming their title ambitions. Porto have won every match so far, and they've done so convincingly. Noteworthy is their away victory against Sporting (2-1), as well as their triumph in the opening Europa League match against RB Salzburg (1-0). Interestingly, Sporting are the only side to have breached the Dragons' defense. The team boasts seven clean sheets out of a possible eight. It's a testament to the fantastic work of Diogo Costa and his teammates.

⚪️ The current Porto side relies on balanced football and displays great discipline. Their primary strategy is defensive solidity, with quick wingers playing a crucial role, giving the club a significant edge in ball recovery and rapid transitions. Importantly, Porto possess the quality to secure results even with just a single goal. A case in point is their league match against Nacional, where things weren't entirely smooth, yet they managed to score the winning goal.

Red Star Team Overview

🔴 The Serbs have been performing well this season, though they have suffered some defeats. It's worth noting that the team attempted to qualify for the Champions League but fell short against Pafos. This encounter has been the lowest quality performance for Red Star Belgrade so far. Otherwise, their football has been impressive. Currently, the club boasts an unbeaten streak of six matches.

⚪️ Red Star Belgrade play with aggression, reflected in their high goal tally, but there's a caveat—they have conceded in nine consecutive matches. While they can overpower weaker opponents with their skill, they face challenges when up against stronger competition. A case in point is their Europa League opener against Celtic (1-1), where they had to come from behind and the Scots created numerous dangerous chances. The upcoming trip to Portugal is approached with optimism, especially after defeating Radnicki 1923 (2-1) on September 28.

Latest news

Porto

❌ Gradually, the injured players of the Portuguese side are making their way back onto the field. Currently, only defender Nehuén Pérez remains sidelined. The participation of the club's main goal scorer, Samu, is also in doubt for the upcoming match, which could be a more significant setback. However, their squad rotation still allows them to aim for success.

Red Star

❌ Among the absentees is Rade Krunić, who has been sidelined for quite some time. The team misses the midfielder, and the return leg against Pafos was his last match before the injury.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The main referee for the match is Harm Osmers from Germany. He has officiated three matches in the German championship this season, issuing nine yellow cards, which is a reasonable statistic. Porto are adept at defensive play, averaging 3.25 yellow cards per match this season. It's important to note that Crvena will have to adapt to the home team's style, making fouls inevitable. A good bet would be on over 4.5 total yellow cards.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

The teams have contrasting styles. Porto play a balanced game, while Crvena will try to press high, leaving open spaces. For the Portuguese side, this is an opportunity they can capitalize on, showcasing a strong conversion rate. We believe Porto will be productive in front of their fans. Consider betting on the home team to score over 2 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Again, Porto feature fast wingers who need to be contained. The team has taken 26 corners in their last three matches. Meanwhile, Crvena Zvezda have taken 20 corners over the same period. A wise choice would be to bet on over 9.5 total corners.

Porto appear to be far more intriguing than their opponent, with a higher potential as well. The Dragons can adapt to any opponent and play accordingly. Crvena Zvezda, on the other hand, not only face an away game but also lack defensive stability at home. Their tendency to concede in every match could prove detrimental. They need to be vigilant, but that's been missing. The Serbs struggled in their previous Europa League clash with Celtic, and more challenges are anticipated this time around. Our bet is on Porto to win with a -1.5 handicap. A possible scoreline is 3-1.