Milan vs Lecce Prediction for 24 September 2025 - Football

Posted Tuesday, September 23, 2025 by scores24

📢 What can we expect from the clash between Milan and Lecce in the Round of 16 of the Coppa Italia? The match will take place at San Siro and promises to be a battle between teams in vastly different forms. The Rossoneri have started the season confidently, securing clean-sheet victories, and enter this cup tie as clear favorites. The Salentini, on the other hand, are far from their best form and sit at the bottom of the table after four rounds. Against this backdrop, the match in Milan is set to be a test of character for the visitors and an opportunity for the hosts to reaffirm their status as contenders ready to compete for trophies on all fronts.

Head-to-Head

The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team – Lecce):

ball possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
fouls: 10 vs 8;
yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
shots on target: 2 vs 6.

📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Milan and Lecce:

played 9 matches;
number of wins for the home team – 6, for the away team – 0, draws – 3;
number of goals – 23 against 9;
average total in the 1st half – 1.44, in the 2nd half – 2.11;
average total goals in the match – 3.56.

Milan Team Overview

The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team – Udinese Calcio, away team – Milan). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.

Here's the game statistics (Milan vs Udinese Calcio):

ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
fouls: 7 vs 9;
yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
shots on target: 6 vs 4.

🔴 AC Milan have kicked off the season with confidence, currently standing as one of the most consistent teams in Italy. The Rossoneri have secured four clean sheet victories in five official matches, showcasing solid organization both defensively and offensively. They particularly impressed in their recent outing, comfortably dispatching Udinese 3-0 on the road. This performance was notable given that the "Little Zebras" were unbeaten until then and had even managed an away victory over Inter (2-1).

🚫 The only blemish for the Rossoneri remains the first matchday of the league. On that occasion at San Siro, a surprise unfolded as Milan fell to Cremonese 1-2. Otherwise, the club could have been sitting at the top of the standings. However, their results following this defeat indicate that the team has successfully learned from their early setback.

Lecce Team Overview

The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team – Lecce, away – Cagliari Calcio). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

Here are the match stats (Lecce vs Cagliari Calcio):

ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
fouls: 10 vs 19;
yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
shots on target: 5 vs 6.

🟡 At the moment, Lecce are considered the weakest team in Serie A. After four rounds, the "Salentini" sit at the bottom of the standings with just one point. They managed to secure a draw against Genoa in the opening match (0-0), but a subsequent run of three consecutive defeats quickly sent them to the basement.

❌ Last weekend, Lecce couldn't handle Cagliari and suffered a home defeat (1-2). Once again, the match highlighted systemic issues within the team—poor finishing in attack and defensive instability. It's clear that Lecce face a challenging season ahead, with their primary goal being a fight for survival.

Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

number of encounters – 9;
home team wins – 6, away team wins – 0, draws – 3.

Lecce won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 away games.

Prediction on the over/under

H2H

today's home team scores on average - 2.56, the guests - 1;
average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.56;
both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 1.

Statistics: Milan vs Lecce

average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
average total goals scored: 2 vs 2;
average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 1;
average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1;
Milan: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
Lecce: average total away in the tournament - 0;
last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.8) vs 0.8 (away - 0.8).

Under 3.5 goals scored in last 6 Milan games.
Under 3.5 goals scored in 14 of last 15 Lecce games.
Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Lecce away games.

Prediction on corners

H2H

average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 8.45 (4.67 - for home team and 3.78 - for away team);
average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 8.25 (5.25 - for home team and 3 - for away team).

Milan: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 12; at home field - 12;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 7.

Lecce: Statistics

season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3, away - 0;
last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 4.4.

Milan have taken under 7.5 corners in last 8 games against Lecce.
Milan have taken under 7.5 corners in 19 of last 21 games.

Prediction on cards

H2H

average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.34 (1.67 - for home team and 1.67 - for away team);
average Over/Under yellow cards at home team's field - 2 (1 - for home team and 1 - for away team).

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

number of encounters – 9;
both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
on the home team’s field - 1 times.

Editor's Prediction

AC Milan enter the match as clear favorites, and it's hard to argue with that assessment. The Rossoneri are in excellent form, showing confidence in defense and particularly impressing in attack. They consistently create numerous chances and boast a high conversion rate, as evidenced by their recent Serie A results. In contrast, Lecce appear too weak an opponent, struggling to find their game. A smart bet for the upcoming match would be on Milan scoring over 1.5 goals, a scenario that has occurred in their last nine head-to-head encounters.