Marseille vs PSG Prediction for 23 September 2025 - Football

Will Paris Saint-Germain extend their winning streak in the French Championship? The marquee matchup of Ligue 1's fifth round features Marseille taking on PSG. The French "Le Classique" is a spectacular event that captures the attention of football fans worldwide every year. Let's dive deeper into this clash: analyze the current form of both teams and make a prediction on the outcome.

Head-to-Head

In their last three encounters at the Orange Vélodrome, PSG have secured three clean-sheet victories over Marseille, with a combined score of 8-0.

Olympique Marseille Team Overview

Marseille have been picking up points only in their home games this season, as seen in the second and fourth rounds when the "Blue and Whites" defeated Paris (5-2) and Lorient (4-0). While those scorelines are impressive, it's important to consider the level of their opponents. On the road, Roberto De Zerbi's side have suffered two defeats: against Rennes (0-1) and Lyon (0-1).

⚪ The Champions League kicked off midweek, and in their opening match, Marseille faced Real Madrid away. It was a tense encounter, but ultimately the "Southerners" dropped points, losing 2-1. Notably, Marseille led in that match and played with a numerical advantage from the 72nd minute but couldn't withstand the attacking pressure of the "Royal Club," conceding late on. And PSG's attack is certainly no weaker than Real's right now!

Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

PSG are on a roll, winning match after match. Even head coach Luis Enrique's collarbone injury hasn't affected the team's performance. In Ligue 1, they've secured 12 points from four games, boasting a goal difference of 10:3 and sitting comfortably at the top of the table. In their latest outing, the Parisians shut out Lens at home with a 2-0 victory.

On Wednesday, Paris Saint-Germain kicked off their Champions League campaign. In their first group stage match in front of their home fans, Luis Enrique's squad demolished Italian side Atalanta with a commanding 4-0 win. To be frank, PSG could have scored even more, but luck wasn't always on their side, and Atalanta's goalkeeper made some crucial saves. The most important takeaway is that they secured the points with minimal effort.

Latest news

Olympique Marseille

Two days before their clash with PSG, Marseille's head coach Roberto De Zerbi reflected on the game against Real Madrid and expressed hope for future victories, including the upcoming battle with Paris Saint-Germain: "In Madrid, we weren't the same as last year against PSG. We have a strong team with talented and experienced players. The team needs to speak the same language and share the same mentality. We must improve our play and mindset. This is a journey, and I hope we can achieve it as soon as possible."

Moroccan defender Nayef Aguerd's participation in the upcoming match is in doubt due to a head injury. He last appeared on the field in the match against Lorient (Round 4), where he scored a goal, but he was not included in the squad for the game against Real Madrid.

Paris Saint-Germain

Three players are sidelined for PSG due to injuries: midfielder João Neves, along with forwards Désiré Doué and Ousmane Dembélé. All have featured this season but are currently undergoing rehabilitation and not match-ready.

Brazilian defender Lucas Beraldo is doubtful for the upcoming match due to an ankle injury. He has played in three out of four Ligue 1 games this season but missed the Champions League clash against Atalanta due to this setback.

Referee and Yellow Cards

Referee and Yellow Cards

The upcoming match will be officiated by Jérôme Brisard. Over a span of 100 games, he averages 3.57 yellow cards per match, with 23 fouls. In the last 10 matches, Marseille average 1.9 yellow cards per game, while PSG average 1. Both teams tend to avoid bookings, and Jérôme Brisard is known for not being card-happy. Thus, betting on total yellow cards under 5 seems like a reasonable prediction.

Goal Prediction

The last six encounters between these teams have all seen two or more goals, indicating high-scoring affairs. This season, Marseille average 2.25 goals per game (9 goals), while PSG average 2.5 goals (10 goals). Considering this data, we suggest betting on total goals over 2 in the upcoming match.

Corner Prediction

Both teams play an expansive attacking style and frequently earn corners. In the last 10 matches for each team, Marseille average 7.7 corners per game, while Paris Saint-Germain average 5.8. We expect this trend to continue in their head-to-head clash, making a bet on total corners over 8.5 a solid choice.

The intensity of this rivalry is off the charts, but if we set emotions aside and take a rational look at the matchup, it becomes clear that PSG have the upper hand both in terms of squad depth and team morale. Their recent clash with Real Madrid showed that Roberto De Zerbi's side struggle under the pressure of top-tier clubs, so we anticipate a victory for the capital team in "Le Classique" with a scoreline of 3-1. Considering PSG have won their last three away games against Marseille, we are backing a win for the visitors in the upcoming match.