Brighton vs Tottenham Prediction for 20 September 2025 - Football

🔊 Can Brighton take down another top team at the Amex? In their last home match, the Seagulls left Manchester City with nothing. This time, Tottenham—currently in the Premier League's top three—are visiting. Besides their high standing, Spurs boast one of the best defenses in England, sharing the lead in this category with Arsenal and Crystal Palace. Who will emerge victorious in the head-to-head clash on September 20? In the text below, we answer this and other questions about the key events surrounding the match.

Head-to-Head

📊 In the last ten Premier League matches, the teams have been playing solely for victory. During this period, there hasn't been a single draw. Wins are evenly split (5:5). More often than not, the teams secure their triumphs in a rather pragmatic fashion: three times with a 1-0 scoreline and another three times with a 2-1 result.

Brighton & Hove Albion Team Overview

This past August, Fabian Hurzeler's team didn't shine as brightly as they did in the 2024/25 season. Back then, after three rounds, Brighton were sitting in third place, and the coach was named Manager of the Month. Currently, the Seagulls have only four points, all earned at home: a draw with Fulham (1-1) and a victory over Manchester City (2-1). However, their away form has been lacking, with defeats to Everton (0-2) and Bournemouth (1-2).

Brighton don't have standout playmakers in their ranks. Their goals are evenly distributed among players, not just from the forward line. For instance, the penalty against Manchester City was converted by 39-year-old defender James Milner. In the same match, the attacking duo of Mitoma and Gruda clicked, with the German youth international scoring the winning goal from the Japanese player's assist. Gruda is also the team's top scorer, with one goal each in the Premier League and the English League Cup.

Tottenham Hotspur Team Overview

"Spurs," under the guidance of Thomas Frank, have kicked off the season nearly flawlessly: they sit third in the Premier League with just one loss and a single goal conceded, which came in their defeat to Bournemouth. The drama following the Super Cup loss to PSG has settled, and Tottenham have started their new European campaign with a victory over Villarreal (1-0). Notably, the London side have kept clean sheets in 4 out of 6 matches across all competitions.

Young Spurs talent Lucas Bergvall has been in excellent form recently. In the last Premier League match against West Ham, the 19-year-old midfielder recorded a goal and an assist, earning the Man of the Match accolade. In the subsequent Champions League fixture against Villarreal, it was his powerful cross that deflected off a Villarreal player into the net. Thomas Frank clearly trusts his young players: Mathys Tel, Lucas Bergvall, Xavi Simons, Pape Sarr, and Brennan Johnson have all logged over 100 minutes across competitions, with the oldest being just 24 years old.

Latest news

Brighton & Hove Albion

🎙 Brighton forward Kaoru Mitoma, who scored his first goal of the season against Brighton, shared what his team lacked in the match. “As always, the ball delivered by Yasin Ayari was fantastic. Without his delivery, that goal wouldn't have been possible, so I can only thank him. But since we lost, I can't be satisfied with this game. As a team, we lacked cohesion and proper energy distribution in attack, and we lost possession too often. Overall, we didn't play well enough,” the Japanese player reflected after the match.

❌ The clash with Bournemouth was marred not only by defeat for the Seagulls but also by injuries to two players: Maxim De Kuyper and Jack Hinshelwood. While the Belgian defender is likely to escape with just bruises after colliding with an advertising board, the Englishman's injury appears much more serious. The results of his ankle scan are still pending, but there are fears that his absence could be prolonged.

Tottenham Hotspur

📝 Following the transfer window, rumors have emerged about Harry Kane's potential return to the Premier League. This speculation comes as Bayern Munich attempted to sign a new striker this summer, ultimately bringing in Nicolas Jackson on loan. The Bavarians are reportedly considering an early sale of the veteran Englishman before his contract expires in 2027. Naturally, experts and insiders are buzzing about a possible move back to his roots at Tottenham. They believe Kane himself is open to such a deal, fueled by his ambition to break Alan Shearer's Premier League goal record of 260. Kane currently trails by 47 goals.

❌ Tottenham's injury list remains unchanged: James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, and Radu Dragusin are all recovering from ACL injuries. Yves Bissouma and Dominic Solanke missed the match against Villarreal. On Saturday, Thomas Frank is particularly hopeful for the Englishman's inclusion in the squad, as he could partner with Richarlison or serve as a valuable substitute option.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Chris Kavanagh. He has a fairly moderate record for issuing cautions in the Premier League, averaging 3.7 yellow cards across 20 matches. This season, his average has slightly decreased to 3.25 over four games. However, in 7 out of the last 8 head-to-head meetings between these teams, there was only one instance with fewer than 3.5 yellow cards. We anticipate that Chris Kavanagh's average will slightly rise on Saturday, with the total yellow cards exceeding 3.5.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

The most common outcomes in recent head-to-head encounters between these teams have vanished, with an average of 4.5 goals scored over four matches in the last two seasons. However, it's worth noting that Tottenham have undergone significant changes with the arrival of Thomas Frank and are now capable of solid defensive performances. Brighton are formidable at home and can even challenge Manchester City here. Nonetheless, we don't expect this game to be a high-scoring affair. Our prediction: total goals under 3.5.

🚩 Corner Prediction

In none of Brighton's four Premier League matches this season have there been more than 8.5 corners, except for their English League Cup clash against Oxford United from the Championship. A similar pattern is observed with Tottenham, apart from their games against a struggling West Ham and newly-promoted Burnley. A comfortable bet here would be on total corners under 10.5.

Bookmakers, somewhat unexpectedly for our editorial team, have Brighton as the favorite for this match. These odds are understandable, considering the Seagulls' home victory over Manchester City. However, we are puzzled by the significant difference in odds between the opponents. Yes, Hürzeler's side were twice stronger than Spurs last season, but comparing those Londoners to the current squad is fundamentally flawed. We tend to lean towards the history of head-to-head encounters, where there's absolute parity between them. Both teams are quite adept at creating chances and could well play out a high-scoring draw of 1-1. Nonetheless, we give a slight edge to Thomas Frank's project. Our bet: Tottenham will not lose.