Stuttgart vs St Pauli Prediction for 20 September 2025 - Football

🔊 Can the visitors extend their unbeaten streak? Stuttgart host St. Pauli at the "MHP Arena" to kick off the fourth round of the Bundesliga on Friday evening. The hosts suffered their second defeat in the last round, while the Hamburg side has collected 7 out of a possible 9 points. In our prediction, we analyze the teams' performances over the first three weeks and what to expect from the upcoming clash.

Head-to-Head

📊 In head-to-head encounters, Stuttgart hold the advantage with 5 wins compared to just one for St. Pauli. One match ended in a draw. Last season, the clubs traded away victories: in the first round, St. Pauli triumphed in Stuttgart (1-0), while in the second round, the Swabians got their revenge over the Brown-and-Whites with an identical scoreline (1-0).

Stuttgart Team Overview

🔴 Last weekend, Stuttgart faced Freiburg away (1-3). The visitors led for much of the game, but conceded three times late on and ended up with nothing. The "Swabians" opened the scoring thanks to Ermedin Demirović's skill: after a cross from Jamie Leweling, the Bosnian controlled the ball in the box and flicked it into the corner of the net with his heel. After taking the lead, Stuttgart retreated and ceded control. There were few chances before halftime, but Freiburg stepped up in the second half. Ten minutes from time, the hosts equalized, quickly went ahead, and then converted a penalty in injury time. This marks Stuttgart's second away loss of the season. Currently, the team sits in 12th place. However, at home, the "Swabians" have had positive results, including a victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach (1-0).

St. Pauli Team Overview

🟤 In the third round, St. Pauli defeated Augsburg at home (2-1). Fabian Rieder put the visitors ahead in the 16th minute, but Andrea Untondji, after missing a penalty, managed to score on the rebound to level the game before halftime. Late in the match, Danel Sinani converted a free-kick, securing the hosts' best-ever start in Bundesliga history: three matches without a defeat. Currently, the "Brown-and-Whites" sit fourth and could break into the top three with a win in Stuttgart. In the opening matches of the season, Untondji has been a standout in attack, emerging as one of the team's key players—scoring in every Bundesliga game.

Latest news

Stuttgart

🎙 Sebastian Hoeneß after the defeat in Freiburg: "We are extremely disappointed—not just with the result, but also with how the match unfolded. We defended well for the first 70 minutes, but then it became increasingly difficult to deal with dangerous balls. Our attacks didn't offer any respite, and we weren't creating enough chances. Often, our offensive plays didn't progress beyond the initial stages."

❌ Due to injuries, backup goalkeeper Fabian Bredlow, defenders Ameen Al-Dakhil and Luca Jacques, along with attacking players Jostin Diel, Silas, and Deniz Undav will miss the match.

St. Pauli

🎙 Alexander Blessin after the victory over Augsburg: "We're delighted to have secured all three points. It was tough at the start, especially during the first 15 minutes. We didn't control the game and made it easier for the opponent. After conceding a goal, the team settled into the match better, pressed in the second half, and found space. A 2-1 win is a good psychological boost. It was a pleasure to watch the guys play."

❌ Injured attacking players Abdoulaye Sissay and Ricky-Jade Jones, as well as defender David Nemeth, are all still recovering and will not travel for the away game.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

In the first three rounds, Stuttgart have received 7 yellow cards (averaging 2.3 per match), while St. Pauli have picked up 6 (averaging 2 per game). Every match involving the visitors has seen over 3.5 yellow cards. Our choice is over 3.5 yellow cards.

⚽ Goal Prediction

Don't expect a "goal fest" from this encounter. St. Pauli don't appear to be outright underdogs. Comparing the opening rounds, Stuttgart have lost their attacking leader Nick Woltemade, while St. Pauli have strengthened with Untondji. Our prediction is the visitors will score.

🚩 Corner Prediction

In the first three rounds, Stuttgart have won 18 corners (averaging 6 per game, with no fewer than 5 in each match). St. Pauli have earned 13 corners (averaging 4.3, with at least 3 per game). In last year's head-to-head in Stuttgart, the hosts took 9 corners compared to the visitors' 1. Therefore, our prediction is Stuttgart to win on corners.

Bundesliga fans are in for an intriguing clash with no clear favorite: St. Pauli have started strong and could take points on the road. Stuttgart are struggling for goals, managing just one per match so far. The average total in their head-to-heads is two goals per game. Last season, St. Pauli scored only 28 goals, the league's lowest, but boasted one of the best defenses after Bayern, conceding just 41 goals. Our prediction: total under 3 goals, with a draw, such as a 1-1 scoreline, being a realistic outcome.