Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction for 15 September 2025 - Football

🔈 Can the "Bees" upset Alessio Lisci's squad at El Sadar? In the fourth round of La Liga, Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano face off at the stadium in Pamplona. Both clubs are known for their distinctive playing styles and are keen to solidify their positions in the La Liga standings. Bookmakers are cautious in picking a favorite, predicting a closely contested match: a home win is at 2.45, while a victory for the visitors is at 3.05.

Head-to-Head

📊 Rayo Vallecano have not tasted victory at "El Sadar" in official matches for quite some time, with their last success dating back to the 2002/03 La Liga season (1-0). However, last season, the capital side managed to secure points in both encounters against Osasuna—winning 3-1 at "Campo de Vallecas" and drawing 1-1 at "El Sadar". Over the last 10 head-to-head clashes, the average goals per game stand at 1.5 for the "Reds" and 1 for the "Bees". 

Osasuna Team Overview

🔴 At the start of the new season, the Reds are still searching for their best form. In the first three rounds, Osasuna have managed to earn just 3 points, with a victory over Valencia (1-0). Notably, the goal scored against the Bats remains their only one in this edition of La Liga, marking the worst offensive record in the league. Currently, Alessio Lisci's squad sit 13th in the standings, a position that satisfies neither the players, the coaching staff, nor the club's fans.

📌 In their previous La Liga match, the Reds fell to Espanyol (0-1). A trip to Cornella-El Prat is never easy, but Osasuna's issues have become glaringly apparent. This is particularly true in terms of finishing chances; despite an xG of 1.37, Alessio Lisci's men failed to find the net against the Parakeets. Furthermore, the team is still struggling to effectively develop attacks using a formation with three central defenders. Clearly, the Italian coach desperately needs time, which according to several sources, management is willing to provide.

Rayo Vallecano Team Overview

⚪ Rayo Vallecano are one of the most intriguing teams in this season's La Liga. Despite not having the most expensive squad, the "Bees" are known for their cohesion in possession and high-intensity pressing. This is made possible by a roster filled with physically fit players who cover a lot of ground and excel in their off-the-ball work. It will be interesting to see how their results and style of play evolve with their participation in the upcoming European campaign.

🔴 In this La Liga season, the "Bees" have only slipped up once in their first three matches, despite facing a tough schedule. Even in their encounter against Barcelona (1-1) last weekend, Rayo Vallecano managed to add to their points tally. Hansi Flick's side simply weren't prepared for the capital club's ability to match the tempo set by the "Blaugrana" and consistently threaten Joan Garcia's goal.

Latest news

Osasuna

🎤 Following their 1-0 defeat to Espanyol in the last round, Alessio Lisci expressed his disappointment with what he deemed an unfair result: "It's clear that when you have such clear chances, you have to take them, because getting more opportunities is difficult. I think we didn't perform well at the start of both halves, but we certainly didn't fall short of our opponents in terms of football quality. In terms of chances, I'm leaving satisfied, and I believe a draw would have been the fairest result."

📰 On the final day of the transfer window, Osasuna grabbed attention by signing Sheraldo Becker as a free agent. Last season, the Surinamese forward played for Real Sociedad, where he scored twice and provided one assist in 22 La Liga appearances. For the "Reds," such an experienced player, already adapted to Spanish football, represents a significant boost.

❌ Osasuna's injury list includes Moisés Gómez, who sustained a hamstring injury in his team's last match. Additionally, Valentin Rosier's participation in the upcoming game remains doubtful.

Rayo Vallecano

📰 Perhaps the standout acquisition for Rayo Vallecano came on the final day of the transfer window. The club secured Brazilian forward Alemao from Pachuca for €4.5 million. It's worth noting that last season, the 27-year-old played for Real Oviedo in the Segunda Division, where he netted 14 goals and provided 4 assists in 44 matches. This signing seems poised not only to add depth to the "Bees'" bench but also to significantly enhance their attacking line, which has been in need of a clinical finisher.

❌ In Rayo Vallecano's injury list, only Abdul Mumin is sidelined with a knee injury. Other than that, Inigo Perez can count on his strongest lineup for the upcoming match.

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

In each of the last five head-to-head encounters, there have been at least five cautions. It's also noteworthy that at the start of this season, Rayo Vallecano are averaging three yellow cards per match. Our editorial team anticipates a fiery clash and suggests the following bet: total yellow cards over 4.

⚽ Goal Prediction

It's important to note that Osasuna have been playing very cautiously at the start of the season, with no more than one goal scored in matches involving the "Reds." In six of their last seven games, the Pamplona side have seen a maximum of two goals scored. Rayo Vallecano, despite their efforts to maintain high intensity, can't be described as an attacking team either. The most logical bet appears to be total goals under 2.5.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Let's note the ratio of corners earned and conceded by each team at the start of the new season: Osasuna – 2 for and 4.3 against, Rayo Vallecano – 6.3 for and 3 against. In head-to-head matchups, the "Bees" also hold a slight advantage: 4.9 to 4.6. This is largely because the capital club aims to regain possession quickly and regularly employs an active press on the opponent's half. Our editorial choice is Rayo Vallecano to win on corners with a handicap (+1.5).

At this stage of the season, Rayo Vallecano appear significantly more convincing than their opponents from Pamplona. It's important to remember that Osasuna are undergoing a rebuilding phase, and their new head coach, who brings a completely different philosophy, needs time to find success with the "Reds." Meanwhile, Iñigo Pérez's squad is a well-oiled machine with ambitious goals for the current season. Our prediction for the final score is a 0-1 victory for Rayo Vallecano. Key pick: Rayo Vallecano will not lose.