Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction for today 14 September 2025 - Football

🔊 Will Liverpool maintain their flawless Premier League record? Since their Community Shield defeat, Arne Slot's men have been on a championship pace in the league. It's no surprise—since the 2011/12 season, only Manchester City have managed to win the regular league title after triumphing in the Community Shield. So far, everything is going according to plan for the Merseyside club—100 percent record and an undisputed top spot. On Sunday, they face another champion, albeit of a lower tier—Burnley, who earned promotion after a triumphant Championship campaign. Can the Clarets give Liverpool a tough time like they did against Manchester United? In our prediction, we assess whether the hosts have a chance to take points off the Reds.

Head-to-Head

📊 These teams have a storied history of clashes in the English top flight, despite Burnley's one-year stint in the Championship during the 2024/25 season. Since 2020, they have faced off 7 times. Liverpool hold the expected advantage with 5 consecutive victories. However, at the turn of the decade, Burnley managed to take points off the Merseysiders twice.

Burnley Team Overview

This season, the Clarets have only managed victories against their former Championship neighbors: a 2-0 win over Sunderland in the Premier League and a 2-1 triumph against Derby County in the English League Cup. The win against the Black Cats remains their sole points haul in the Premier League. In a match against Manchester United, Scott Parker's team was just minutes away from a draw, only for Bruno Fernandes to convert a penalty deep into stoppage time to seal a 2-2 result. This wasn't the only stroke of misfortune for Burnley, as their first conceded goal came off a series of deflections, ultimately ending up in their own net.

The team's top performer in the league is Jaidon Anthony. The forward earned a permanent move from Bournemouth this summer after contributing 16 goal involvements in the Championship (8 goals and 8 assists). So far, he has fully justified the trust placed in him, netting twice and providing an assist in three Premier League matches. In the game against Sunderland, the Englishman formed an effective partnership with Josh Cullen, as they scored off each other's assists. Veteran players have seen significant minutes on the pitch, with 36-year-old goalkeeper Martin Dubravka and 35-year-old defender Kyle Walker leading the charge.

Liverpool Team Overview

The "Scousers" conceded four goals in their first two Premier League matches, yet managed to win both games against Bournemouth and Newcastle. However, in a potential title clash with Arsenal, Arne Slot's side proved they can be solid defensively. Liverpool might have struggled in the first half, failing to register a single shot on target, but they dominated possession in the second half (57%) and increased their attempts on goal. One of these resulted in a stunning free-kick goal by Dominik Szoboszlai, which stood as the only goal of the match, securing three points for the Merseysiders.

Dominik Szoboszlai excelled in an unfamiliar right-back position against Arsenal. Not only did he score the winning goal, but he was also named man of the match. The Hungarian was a threat in attack, completing 11 of 15 passes in the final third (the best on the pitch), and was solid defensively with a 100% success rate in tackles and aerial duels. Florian Wirtz is gradually finding his feet in the Premier League as well, leading the team with three successful dribbles out of three against the Gunners.

Latest news

Burnley

🎙 Burnley's head coach, ahead of their clash with Liverpool, discussed what his team needs to "survive" in the Premier League. "Over the summer, we obviously put in a lot of work to become the team we need to be. One of our goals, at least from my perspective, was to be flexible enough to play with both a back five and a back four. I think we've managed to achieve that during preseason," said Scott Parker.

❌ Burnley face defensive issues: during the international break, Albin Ekdal picked up an injury and left the Sweden squad early. However, the injury is not serious, and he is expected to be available for selection on Sunday. The same goes for Connor Roberts—reports suggest that the right-back, who has been unavailable since preseason, should return after the international fixtures. Forward Zeki Amdouni remains sidelined with a cruciate ligament tear.

Liverpool

🎙 The transfer saga involving Alexander Isak's move to Liverpool has finally concluded. Arne Slot shared his thoughts on the successful deal and the player's future: “What pleases me most is that we were able to finalize the deal for Isak. All parties involved put in a lot of effort to make this transfer happen. He missed out on a full pre-season, so we need to gradually get him back to full fitness. This won't happen in the coming weeks. It will be challenging, but we have signed him not for the next two weeks, but for six years, and fans should keep that in mind.”

❌ Liverpool's injury list grows as Curtis Jones joins Jeremy Frimpong, who was injured in the Premier League's opening round. The timeline for Jones's recovery will be known only at the beginning of next week.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The main referee for the game is Michael Oliver. In three Premier League matches this season, he has shown only two yellow cards. The Englishman has already crossed paths with Burnley in the first round, where the match against Tottenham ended without any cautions. Over his last 20 matches, the referee has averaged 2.6 yellow cards per game—1.6 to the visitors and 1 to the hosts. Given the superior class of the upcoming visitors, we see a bet on total yellow cards under 3.5 as reasonable.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Liverpool have faced some defensive issues at the start of the season, conceding four goals against Bournemouth and Newcastle. However, their defensive line showed high organization against Arsenal. It's worth considering Arne Slot's squad rotation ahead of the Champions League, so Burnley's attacking chances shouldn't be dismissed. Yet, in the last 7 out of 8 head-to-head matches between these teams, the total hasn't exceeded 3.5 goals. We don't anticipate a goal fest this time either. Our prediction: total goals under 3.5.

🚩 Corner Prediction

The "Scousers" have dominated possession against lower-ranked opponents in this Premier League season, holding the ball for at least 60% of the time. Similar stats were seen in the Super Cup match against Crystal Palace—56%. Interestingly, Liverpool haven't outperformed their opponents in corner counts in any of these games. Burnley, on the other hand, have only fallen short in this aspect against Manchester United, emerging victorious in all other matches. We believe that at Turf Moor, the hosts won't lag significantly in winning corners. The odds for Burnley to win on corners with a +3.5 handicap look quite appealing.

Liverpool have faced quite a challenging lineup at the start of the Premier League season: a title contender, a Champions League participant, and a solid mid-table team with European ambitions. After their Premier League triumph, Arne Slot has been given the green light to revamp the squad, seemingly to build on their successes not just in the regular season. Undoubtedly, it takes some time to gel the squad together, but as we can see, the depth of this roster allows them to deliver results even when the new leaders aren't in peak form.

In their last six head-to-head encounters against Liverpool, Burnley have managed to find the net just once. Meanwhile, the Reds have scored fewer than two goals only against Arsenal since the season began. We believe that Arne Slot's squad rotation ahead of the Champions League might affect their scoring efficiency, but they should have more than enough to secure a comfortable 2-0 victory. The most likely outcome, in our view, is Liverpool winning with a -1.5 handicap.