Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Prediction for 13 September 2025 - Football

🔈 What tactical adjustments might Sergio Francisco make in the upcoming clash against the Galacticos? This weekend, Real Sociedad face a crucial challenge as they host Real Madrid in San Sebastian. Unlike the Royals, Xabi Alonso's squad are in excellent form and rightfully sit at the top of the league standings. The main intrigue remains whether Los Blancos can secure their fourth consecutive victory at the Reale Arena. Let's take note of the bookmakers' odds for the match: a home win is at 5.2, while an away victory stands at 1.6.

Head-to-Head

📊 In their last 10 head-to-head encounters, the "royals" have managed just one victory—in the 2022/23 La Liga campaign (2-0). Last season, the "Galacticos" defeated Real Sociedad twice in the league, both times with a 2-0 scoreline. Let's note the average scoring for each side over the same period: the "white-blues" average 0.8, while the "whites" average 1.8. 

Real Sociedad Team Overview

⚪ Under the guidance of their new head coach, the "Royals" have yet to find success this season, with two draws and one loss. Currently, Real Sociedad sit 16th in the league standings, a position that is far from satisfactory for both the coaching staff and the club's supporters. One of the key advantages for the San Sebastián club is their home ground advantage—playing at the "Reale Arena" poses significant challenges for visiting teams, who often struggle to secure a favorable outcome.

🔵 The defeat to Real Oviedo (0-1) in the last round was a real blow for the "Royals." Despite numerous attempts by Sergio Francisco's squad to breach the "Carbayones" defense and an xG of 1.07, they failed to score against the newcomers to Spain's top flight. The current head coach favors a conservative style of play, with his preferred 4-4-2 formation helping to compensate for the lack of a skilled defensive midfielder and to prevent defensive lapses.

Real Madrid Team Overview

⚪ The "Los Blancos" made some savvy moves during the transfer window, equipping their new head coach with the necessary players. The start of the new season for Xabi Alonso's squad has showcased the club's high ambitions and their drive to reclaim the championship title at the Santiago Bernabéu. In the first three rounds of La Liga, they overcame Osasuna (1-0), Real Oviedo (3-0), and Mallorca (2-1). Now, the "Galacticos" sit atop the league table, leading Athletic on goal difference.

📌 In the last round, "Los Blancos" played a contentious home match against Mallorca (2-1). Their quick transitions from defense to attack and highly effective positional play, which defined Real's game in the first half, faded in the second half. Had it not been for bad luck and the difference in class, the "Islanders" might have secured some points in the Spanish capital. With Xabi Alonso's arrival at Real Madrid, a high defensive line has been employed—making newcomers Dean Huijsen, Álvaro Carreras, and Trent Alexander-Arnold pivotal in the new-look Real.

Latest news

Real Sociedad

🏷 Real Sociedad's lackluster start to the season prompted the management to make bold moves in the transfer market. It wasn't until September 1st that they finalized deals for Carlos Soler (from PSG for €6 million) and Yangel Herrera (from Girona for €11 million). Both players are expected to address the pressing midfield issues facing the "Royal" side. The acquisition of the Venezuelan midfielder, in particular, stands out as he established himself as a top-tier player at Girona.

📌 Among the key departures in the closing days of the transfer window were Urko Gonzalez (to Espanyol for €5 million), Hamari Traore (to Paris for €4.5 million), Sheraldo Becker (to Osasuna as a free agent), and Javi Lopez (to Real Oviedo on loan).

❌ The San Sebastian club's injury list is clear, allowing Sergio Francisco to rely on his strongest lineup for the upcoming clash against Real Madrid.

Real Madrid

🎤 After a hard-fought victory over Mallorca (2-1) in the last round, Xabi Alonso shared his thoughts on the match: “We’re very pleased with the win. We responded well after conceding a goal. From that moment until halftime, we played to our strengths and used our energy effectively. I was impressed by our determination to equalize and take the lead. Our team spirit turned the game around, and we worked tirelessly to secure the victory. Nine points from nine possible – I’m very satisfied with that. This is the first stage of the season, almost like the final phase of preseason. We’re happy with how we’ve handled it. Now we need to recharge.”

📰 The past few weeks have been significant for Kylian Mbappe. First, the French forward has had an extremely productive start to the season with Real Madrid, scoring 3 goals in the first 3 matches of La Liga. This performance earned the 26-year-old the award for Real Madrid’s Player of the Month for August. Additionally, during the international break, Mbappe moved a step closer to becoming France’s all-time leading scorer. He currently has 51 goals for Les Bleus, tying Thierry Henry and just six goals shy of Olivier Giroud’s record.

❌ Among Real Madrid’s injured players are Jude Bellingham (shoulder injury), Eduardo Camavinga (ankle injury), Endrick (hamstring injury), and Ferland Mendy (hamstring injury).

🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

Both teams have shown remarkable discipline in the new La Liga season, collecting a minimal number of cautions: Real Sociedad averages 1.7, while Real Madrid averages 1.3. Notably, in their last 10 matches, neither team has seen more than 4 yellow cards. Considering these statistical trends, we suggest the following bet – total yellow cards under 4.5.

⚽ Goals Prediction

Head-to-head encounters between these teams traditionally feature a high goal tally, averaging around 3.5 per game. Let's highlight Real Madrid's impressive scoring form at the start of the new campaign, netting 2 goals per match. Moreover, in 5 of their last 6 encounters, Los Blancos have witnessed at least 3 goals. Our editorial choice – total over 2.5 goals.

🚩 Corners Prediction

The emphasis on wing play and quick attack development leads to a high number of corners in matches between Los Merengues and Los Blancos, averaging 11.4 per game. Additionally, at least 11 corners have been recorded in their last 5 meetings. Currently, the Galacticos have become even more proactive and are keen to exploit the width of the field. Our pick – total corners over 9.5.

At this point in the season, Real Sociedad are one of the most inconsistent teams in the league. The "Royal" side not only struggle with developing and executing their own attacks but also falter in positional defense, which could spell trouble against the "Galacticos." Moreover, the San Sebastián outfit has historically been a favorable opponent for the "Whites," as reflected in their head-to-head statistics. Our prediction for the final score is 3-1, with the key pick being a victory for Real Madrid.