Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction for 13 September 2025 - Football

🔊 Is Unai Emery's job at risk? It might be a bit premature to ask, but Aston Villa have certainly had a dismal start to the season. In contrast, Everton are looking quite impressive. It's no surprise that the bookmakers have the Toffees as slight favorites. The new stadium provides a significant boost for David Moyes' squad, and they will do everything in their power to extend their winning streak and break into the top four. Will the visitors allow that to happen?

Head-to-Head

📊 Since 2019, Everton have managed just one victory over Aston Villa in 13 encounters! And that win came in the League Cup, while the "Lions" have completely dominated in the Premier League. The stats are, to put it mildly, quite discouraging for the hosts.

Everton Team Overview

The Toffees were a major letdown in their opener, looking lackluster against newly-promoted Leeds (0-1). However, the team has since found its rhythm, now riding a three-match winning streak, including a cup fixture victory.

Jack Grealish has made an incredible impact, registering two assists each in games against Brighton (2-0) and Wolverhampton (3-2). Given the creative freedom on the pitch, the results are evident. The Manchester City loanee leads the Premier League in assists this season.

Aston Villa Team Overview

It's hard to pinpoint exactly what's going wrong with Aston Villa at the moment. The team seems unprepared for the start of the season. They've managed to pick up just one point, and even that was snatched from Newcastle by sheer luck, especially considering they played the last half-hour with ten men.

What's most intriguing is that the Villans are the only team yet to open their scoring account this season. In the last round, they were thrashed 3-0 by Crystal Palace at home. Unai Emery's side took twice as many shots (13-6), yet fell significantly behind in xG (1.21-2.6) compared to the Eagles. This defeat can certainly be deemed deserved.

Latest news

Everton

📝 TBR Football reports that Everton are interested in signing Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, whose last club was Besiktas. Currently, the midfielder is a free agent, allowing him to sign with any club at any time.

❌ The participation of three Everton players in the upcoming match is in doubt. Adam Aznou, Jarrad Branthwaite, and Nathan Patterson were injured before the international break and may not be available.

Aston Villa

🎙 Jadon Sancho, who joined Aston Villa on loan from Manchester United on the final day of the transfer window, credited Unai Emery for his decision: "First and foremost, when I spoke with the coach, he instilled belief and confidence in me. He laid out the plan for this season, and it truly inspired me. He definitely convinced me, and I'm eagerly looking forward to working under his guidance. Wherever the coach places me, I'll be happy to play. Of course, I have personal goals, but the team's success is the main priority," said the winger.

❌ Ross Barkley, Amadou Onana, Boubacar Kamara, and Andres Garcia all missed last round's match and remain doubtful for the upcoming fixture. Matty Cash picked up a fresh injury while on international duty. However, the Polish player is likely to feature against Everton.

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

The match will be officiated by Simon Hooper—one of the strictest referees from last season, averaging 4.7 yellow cards per game. This season, the Englishman remains consistent, having shown a total of 16 yellow cards in three Premier League matches.

Aston Villa, who have struggled at the start of the season, will find it tough at "Hill Dickinson," likely earning more than 1.5 yellow cards, as they have in 6 of their last 7 away Premier League games. Simon Hooper is expected to have a busy day.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Everton have been productive early in the season, but matches against Aston Villa pose a unique challenge for the Toffees. In 11 of their last 12 encounters, they've scored fewer than 1.5 goals, and in their last 4 home games, they haven't scored at all (Premier League stats). Thus, we suggest betting on under 1.5 goals from the hosts.

🚩 Corner Kicks Prediction

While Everton's goal-scoring against Villa has been disappointing, their corner kick stats are quite the opposite. The Blues have taken more than 3.5 corners in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings. At home, Grealish and company will play with inspiration and put significant pressure on the opponent's defense, making this the preferred option for placing a wager.

It's clear that the teams are currently on different levels in terms of performance and results. While we won't dispute Everton's status as favorites, we still believe the hosts are highly likely to drop points. We just don't see Aston Villa's slump continuing indefinitely. During the international break, Unai Emery should have found solutions to his team's issues.

Considering the Lions' dominance in head-to-head encounters, we predict the upcoming match will end in a 1-1 draw. The best betting option seems to be both teams to score, as Everton are strong going forward and it's about time Villa find the net again. Therefore, our main pick is both teams to score (yes).