TIPS - Peru VS Paraguay

[(Peru) Strength]:
1. Peru have been eliminated from contention for the 2026 World Cup finals and playoffs one round ahead of schedule, making this match more about playing for pride. As their final home game, the team aim to reward their fans with a victory, demonstrating strong motivation.
2. In terms of home performance, Peru have shown notable resilience, remaining undefeated in their last six home matches, indicating some competitiveness at home.
3. Peru's defense has been relatively stable recently, especially at home. They have kept three clean sheets in their last four home games and conceded only seven goals in their last ten home games.
4. Peru have not lost to Paraguay for many years. In the last 12 encounters across all competitions, Peru have achieved 8 wins and 4 draws. In the last 10 home games, they have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1. The last time Peru lost to Paraguay was in a friendly match 16 years ago.
5. Peru won 6 of their last 10 games in AH, and won 4 of their last 5 home games in AH.

[(Peru) Weakness]:
1. Peru's key defensive midfielder Noriega and forward Quevedo were injured in the last match against Uruguay and their availability for this game is uncertain.
2. Peru have been performing poorly in recent matches. After losing 0-3 away to Uruguay in the last round, they have not won in the last four consecutive rounds. The team's overall form has been fluctuating.
3. Peru's offensive performance was extremely poor. They have scored the fewest goals in this edition of the qualifiers, even three fewer than bottom-placed Chile.

[(Paraguay) Strength]:
1. Paraguay secured their place at the 2026 World Cup after a home draw against Ecuador in the previous round, marking their return to the World Cup stage after 16 years. The entire squad is currently immersed in celebrations of this achievement, and the country's president even declared a national holiday. As a result, their motivation for the upcoming match may be in question.
2. Paraguay have shown remarkable resilience in recent matches. After drawing 0-0 at home with Ecuador in the last round, they have secured World Cup qualification, losing only 1 of their last 10 qualifying matches.
3. Paraguay's offensive performance in this qualifiers was not outstanding. They scored only 13 goals in 17 qualifiers, averaging less than one goal per game.
4. Paraguay's defensive performance was impressive. In this qualifiers, they conceded only 10 goals in 17 matches and ranked third among the six teams that advanced.
5. Paraguay won 9 of their last 10 games in AH, and won all of their last 6 away games in AH.

[(Paraguay) Weakness]:
1. Paraguay's away record is not ideal. In the last 10 away games, they have only won one, indicating a very poor ability to play away from home.
2. In their years of encounters, Paraguay have consistently failed to defeat Peru, holding an absolute disadvantage in their head-to-head record. Visiting Peru, Paraguay lack both confidence and motivation.

[Tips]:
Judging from the current situation of both sides and historical data, Peru hold certain advantages in multiple aspects for this match.

Although Peru have already been eliminated from the World Cup, as the final home game, the team's fighting spirit might be even stronger than that of Paraguay, who have already qualified and are currently immersed in celebrations.

Peru have remained unbeaten in the past 12 encounters and have an overwhelming advantage at home against Paraguay.

Peru have performed steadily at home, remaining unbeaten in their last six home games.

Although their win rate is not high, their defense is relatively solid.

As for Paraguay, their overall strength and market value are higher than Peru's, but the team have already advanced in advance, and their fighting spirit is questionable.

Although Peru's offensive efficiency is not high, they still have a chance to score against Paraguay who may make the squad rotation.

Considering all factors, Peru are expected to secure all 3 points in this match with home field advantage and psychological edge from historical encounters.

[Recommended]:
Peru (-0/0.5)