Chile vs Uruguay Prediction for 10 September 2025 - Football

🔈 What are Chile's chances of making a statement in their final qualifier match? One of the last round fixtures in the South American qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup is the clash between Chile and Uruguay. "La Roja" have had a dismal qualifying campaign, deservedly sitting in 10th place on the table. Meanwhile, "La Celeste" have been impressive throughout and currently hold the 3rd spot. The initial odds from bookmakers are as follows: a home win at 3.35, and a victory for the visitors at 2.2.

Head-to-Head

📊 Let's take a look at the statistics from the last 10 head-to-head matches: Chile have claimed 3 victories, there has been 1 draw, and Uruguay have secured 6 wins. In the first round of the current qualifying cycle, the "Sky Blues" achieved a convincing 3-1 triumph. It's also worth noting the average scoring rate for each side during this stretch: Chile average 1 goal per game, while Uruguay average 1.5 goals.

Chile Team Overview

🔴 The "Red Team" have gone five matches without a win, suffering four defeats and managing just one draw. After 17 encounters in the South American qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup, the Chileans have only added 10 points to their tally, placing them at the bottom of the table. Ricardo Gareca, who took charge in January 2024, was dismissed this July after Chile were mathematically eliminated from World Cup contention.

🔵 Ricardo Gareca is considered the worst coach in the history of the Chilean national team, with a win rate of just 17.4% in official matches. Nicolás Córdova, who leads Chile's youth team, is now serving as interim head coach of the "Red Team." In his first match at the helm, Chile suffered a heavy defeat to Brazil (0-3). Córdova's squad performed so poorly that fans couldn't bear to watch until the end. The expected goals ratio tells the story: 4.14 to 0.07 in favor of Brazil.

Uruguay Team Overview

⚪ The Uruguay national team successfully navigated the qualifying rounds for the 2026 World Cup and will participate in the upcoming tournament. After 17 matches, La Celeste have accumulated 27 points, securing the 3rd spot in the standings. However, on the road, Uruguay often encounter challenges, earning just 7 points from 8 away games. Can Marcelo Bielsa's squad extend their winning streak to three matches? We'll find out soon enough.

🔵 In their most recent outing, La Celeste secured a commanding victory over Peru with a 3-0 scoreline. Marcelo Bielsa's men adeptly broke free from situational pressing and launched rapid attacks from their own half. Furthermore, Uruguay's possession was anything but sterile—they managed to fire 24 shots at the Incas' goal, with 7 hitting the target. The team's next objective is to replicate this recent performance in an away match against the underdogs of the qualifying campaign.

Latest news

Chile

🎤 After Nicolás Córdova took on the role of interim head coach for the national team, he spoke to the media: "I embrace this challenge with great professionalism, and without a doubt, I do so with immense pride and a desire to give my all. Every coach dreams of working with their national team. In our comprehensive analysis, we see a blend of players who are experienced enough and those we believe can be part of the future. Meticulous work on building a core group and ensuring a smooth generational transition could lead to remarkable results at the upcoming Copa América in 2027."

📰 The Chilean national team is set to miss its third consecutive World Cup. Currently, "La Roja" sits at 57th in the FIFA world rankings and has a squad valued at 78 million euros. The absence of elite-level players impacts the team's competitiveness on the continent. The most valuable players are Felipe Loyola (9 million euros, Independiente), Darío Osorio (8 million euros, Midtjylland), and Ben Brereton Díaz (7.5 million euros, Derby County).

Uruguay

📰 Currently, the "Heavenly Olympians" sit in 16th place in the FIFA world rankings. The average age of the squad is 27.1 years, indicating that several key players are in their prime. The total market value of the roster stands at €434 million. The most valuable players in the Uruguayan national team are Federico Valverde (€130 million, Real Madrid), Manuel Ugarte (€45 million, Manchester United), and Darwin Núñez (€45 million, Al-Hilal).

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

The head-to-head clashes between Chile and Uruguay often witness a significant number of cautions, averaging around 4.9 per match. Looking at the average yellow cards earned over the last 10 encounters: Chile racks up 4.2, while Uruguay sees 3.8. Our editorial team anticipates a physical game. Therefore, we suggest betting on total yellow cards over 3.5.

⚽ Goal Prediction

In 4 of Chile's last 5 matches, there have been no more than 2 goals scored. A similar trend is observed in 5 of Uruguay's previous 6 fixtures. Over their last 10 games, both teams have shown remarkably low efficiency in attack: the "Sky Blues" average 0.9 goals per match, while the "Red Team" manages just 0.6. Our pick is total goals under 2.5.

🚩 Corner Prediction

In their head-to-head meetings, the "Sky Blues" hold a notable advantage in corner kicks, averaging 5.4 compared to 3.8. Over the past 10 games, Marcelo Bielsa's side continues to earn more corners, with an average of 5.1 against 4.1. Uruguay's active wings and quick transitions from defense to attack should help maintain these trends. We suggest Uruguay to win the corner count with a handicap (0).

It's challenging to forecast the outcome of this match, given that it holds no significance for either side in terms of standings. Our editorial team suggests that both teams might opt for a conservative approach, focusing primarily on defensive solidity. The trend in their head-to-head encounters leans towards low-scoring games, which supports this notion. We predict a final score of 1-1, with the key bet being under 2.5 goals.