Ecuador vs Argentina Prediction for 10 September 2025 - Football

🔈 Can Ecuador's national team pose a challenge to the qualifiers' winner? One of the final fixtures in the 2026 World Cup qualification will see Ecuador take on Argentina at the Banco Pichincha Stadium in Guayaquil. It's intriguing as this clash pits the most potent attacking team against the most resilient defensive side. Bookmakers tread carefully in picking a favorite and anticipate a balanced contest: odds for a home victory stand at 3.4, while an away win is at 2.45.

Head-to-Head

📊 Over the last 8 head-to-head encounters, Ecuador have been unable to defeat Argentina. The last triumph for "La Tri" dates back to 2015, when they managed to overcome the "Albiceleste" (2-0) during the 2018 World Cup qualifiers. In the current qualification campaign, the reigning world champions secured 3 points in Buenos Aires (1-0).

Ecuador Team Overview

🟡 Ecuador's unbeaten streak has now reached 10 matches. Interestingly, their last four qualifiers have all ended with the same scoreline – 0-0. Currently, Sebastián Beccacece's side sits 4th in the standings, boasting 26 points from 17 games. It's worth noting that Ecuador's defense is the most reliable in this qualifying stage, conceding just 0.29 goals per match.

🔵 A few days ago, "La Tricolor" faced off against the Paraguayan national team on the road and managed to secure a point with a 0-0 draw. Once again, Ecuador's defense was rock-solid, allowing the "Guaraní" little to no opportunities. Maintaining compact lines and focusing on vertical play are the key principles of Sebastián Beccacece. Throughout the current qualifying campaign, Ecuador have never conceded more than one goal in a match, further evidence of their solid and balanced defensive setup.

Argentina Team Overview

⚪ The reigning world champions have long secured their victory in the South American qualifiers. Currently, the "Albiceleste" have amassed 38 points from 17 matches. Despite Lionel Scaloni's somewhat pragmatic approach, Argentina boast the best attack in the current qualification campaign, averaging 1.82 goals per match. Their unbeaten streak has now reached seven consecutive games.

🔵 Last week, the Argentine squad claimed another victory, this time against Venezuela (3-0). The "Albiceleste" managed possession expertly on the opposition's half, capitalizing on 76% ball possession. Their dominance was further highlighted by the expected goals ratio: 1.97 to 0.32. Lionel Scaloni's side will undoubtedly aim to finish the qualifying cycle with flair and secure a win in their final match.

Latest news

Ecuador

🎤 Ahead of the final qualifying match against Argentina, Ecuador's head coach Sebastián Beccacece spoke to the media: "For the first time in history, we've gone ten matches unbeaten, and we've done it in official games. The Ecuadorian people deserve to celebrate this qualification and enjoy this achievement. From now on, we will work together to continue improving and dream of a remarkable World Cup for us. Argentina are opponents of great stature, with a clear identity and world-class players. It will be a huge challenge for us, but we have a bold, energetic, and aggressive team that wants to compete on equal terms and keep growing."

📰 The Ecuadorian national team progresses each year and now boasts a competitive squad with a significant number of high-caliber players. Just consider the total value of the "Tricolor" squad—330 million euros. Among the most valuable players are Moisés Caicedo (90 million euros, Chelsea), Willian Pacho (65 million euros, PSG), and Piero Hincapié (50 million euros, Arsenal). Their current 25th position in the world rankings is proof that Ecuador are on the right track in their development.

Argentina

🎤 After Argentina's 3-0 victory over Venezuela, Lionel Scaloni announced that Lionel Messi will not participate in the match against Ecuador. "There's not much to say about Leo's performance... He won't travel to Ecuador. Leo looked tired and should have been substituted, but he stayed on due to the emotional nature of the match and because we had already agreed he would play the full game. He was quite exhausted after the match, so he won't be going to Ecuador, and I think he deserves to spend some time with his family. We maintain a certain level, and while it's joyful, it will end at some point. I hope people continue to support us in the same way."

📰 The reigning world champions are justifiably considered the best national team in the world right now, according to FIFA rankings. The "Albiceleste" squad is valued at €783 million. The most expensive players in the national team are Alexis Mac Allister (€100 million, Liverpool), Julian Alvarez (€100 million, Atletico), and Lautaro Martinez (€95 million, Inter). Lionel Messi's valuation is only €18 million, which is quite reasonable given his age of 38.

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

In 5 out of the last 7 head-to-head encounters, there have been no more than 4 cautions issued. It's worth noting that both teams play with a fair amount of discipline: the "Blue and Whites" average 1.4 yellow cards per game, while the "Tricolor" receive just 1.2. A reasonable bet would be on total yellow cards under 4.5.

⚽ Goal Prediction

Matches involving the Ecuadorian national team can sometimes feel unbearable due to their slow pace and lack of wing attacks. The "Tricolor" have averaged just 0.9 goals over their last 10 games. Head-to-head matches between these teams aren't known for being goal-fests either, averaging 2.2 goals per game. We suggest going with total goals under 2.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Let's look at the average total corners in each team's last 10 matches: Ecuador averages 7.2, while Argentina averages 6.5. The final match of the qualifying cycle, which holds little significance for either side, is unlikely to feature dynamic football or a focus on wing play. It's likely the "Tricolor" will play defensively, while the "Blue and Whites" will avoid taking risks and maintain a slow tempo. Our pick is total corners under 8.5.

Our editorial team would not single out a clear favorite, instead opting to focus on the match's potential for goals—or lack thereof. Both teams employ tactical styles that prioritize defensive security, and with no tournament stakes at play, this strategy will likely be emphasized even more. Historically, head-to-head clashes between "the Tricolors" and "the Blue-Whites" tend to be low-scoring affairs. A final score of 0-0 seems quite plausible here. The key bet is on total goals under 2.