Peru vs Paraguay Prediction for 10 September 2025 - Football

🔈 What storylines does the final round of the South American qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup hold? Soon, the national teams of Peru and Paraguay will clash on the pitch at the "Nacional" stadium in Lima. Neither team has much at stake for this upcoming encounter: the "Blanquirroja" have lost all chances of qualifying for the World Cup, while the "Guaraní" have already secured their spot in the upcoming tournament. Let's take a look at the bookmakers' initial odds: a win for the hosts stands at 2.2, while a victory for the visitors is at 3.6.

Head-to-Head

📊 Over their last 10 encounters, Paraguay have failed to secure a win against Peru, recording 4 draws and 6 losses. In the current qualifying cycle, the teams already faced off on Paraguayan soil, ending in a goalless draw. Let's take a look at the average scoring in their head-to-head clashes: the Incas average 1.14 goals, while the Guaraní manage 1.32.

Peru Team Overview

⚪ The Peruvians had a disastrous qualifying campaign for the upcoming World Cup, and it's no surprise they won't be participating in the planet's premier tournament. After 17 matches, the "Incas" can only boast two victories—against Uruguay (1-0) and Bolivia (3-1). Peru also has the worst attack in the qualifiers, with just 0.35 goals per match. Whether the "white and reds" can make a final statement remains to be seen.

🔴 Just recently, the "Incas" suffered a heavy defeat to Uruguay (0-3) away from home. Peru's head coach opted for a 4-5-1 formation, aiming to maintain compactness with a low defensive block and crowd the midfield. However, a lack of understanding among the players led to even more gaps in defense and disjointed lines. Oscar Ibanez's squad looked unconvincing in all phases of play, resulting in yet another defeat in the qualifying campaign.

Paraguay Team Overview

🔴 Paraguay's national team have achieved their goal and are all but certain to be one of the participants in the upcoming World Cup. After 17 matches, the "Guaraní" have accumulated 25 points, comfortably sitting in 6th place in the standings. It's worth highlighting Paraguay's solid defensive performance, conceding just 0.59 goals per match (the third-best result in the qualifiers). However, their away form raises questions, with only 5 points from 8 games.

⚪ Paraguay's most recent match was on September 5th against Ecuador (0-0). The "Guaraní" showcased their resilience under pressure and were effective off the ball, rendering Ecuador's possession largely ineffective. According to expected goals statistics, the "red and whites" were actually closer to victory: 0.63 to 0.24. Notably, Paraguay have avoided defeat in 10 of their last 11 qualifying matches and are unlikely to want to break this streak.

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Peru

📰 The dreams of the "Inca" fans for their team to qualify for the upcoming World Cup have been shattered once again. Notably, throughout the tournament's history, the Peruvian national team has only participated in the world's premier event five times. In the 21st century, there has been just one such occasion — in 2018 in Russia. During that tournament, the "white and reds" finished third in their group, managing to secure a victory only against Australia (2-0).

📌 Currently, the Peru national team is ranked 42nd in the FIFA world rankings and has a squad valued at 27 million euros. The "Incas" are still undergoing a generational transition, which impacts the number of star players in their roster and their ultimate results in major tournaments. Peru's most valuable players include Oliver Sonne (2.7 million euros, Burnley), Marcos Lopez (2.5 million euros, Copenhagen), and Piero Quispe (2.5 million euros, Sydney).

Paraguay

📰 For the first time since 2010, Paraguay's national team will participate in the World Cup finals. At the tournament in South Africa, the "Guaraní" topped their group without suffering a single defeat and even overcame Japan in the Round of 16. However, in the quarterfinals, the "Red and Whites" were edged out by the eventual world champions, Spain (0-1). That result remains Paraguay's best performance in World Cup history.

📌 Currently, Paraguay are ranked 43rd in the world and boast a competitive squad. The "Red and Whites" roster is valued at nearly 100 million euros. The most valuable players for the "Guaraní," who are also the nation's main hopes, include Julio Enciso (22 million euros, Strasbourg), Diego Gómez (14 million euros, Brighton), and Ramón Sosa (12 million euros, Palmeiras).

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

In 5 of Paraguay's last 7 matches, there have been no more than 4 yellow cards. A similar trend is evident in 5 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters between the "Incas" and the "Guarani." It's also worth noting that South American referees rarely hand out numerous yellow cards and often allow for a more physical style of play. Our suggested bet is under 4.5 total yellow cards.

⚽ Goal Prediction

The average goal tally over the last 10 head-to-head matches is just 2.2 goals per game. In 4 of the last 5 meetings, no more than 2 goals were scored. This trend is common in most recent encounters for both teams. Given that neither team has tournament motivation, we don't anticipate a dynamic and thrilling match. We'll go with under 2 total goals.

🚩 Corner Kick Prediction

The Peruvians rarely reach the corner flag, averaging about 2.2 times per game. In comparison, the Paraguayans make corner deliveries approximately 4.3 times per match. In head-to-head matchups, the "Guarani" also have the upper hand in this statistical component, with 4.8 corners compared to 4. Based on these insights, we'll back Paraguay to win on corners.

Despite Peru's lackluster performance throughout the qualifying campaign, our editorial team believes they might want to make a strong statement in their final match. Meanwhile, Paraguay have no competitive motivation left, having already secured their spot in the World Cup. Considering the Guaraní's recent struggles against the Incas, we predict a final score of 1-0 in favor of Peru. Our key pick is a victory for Peru with a (0) handicap.