Switzerland vs Slovenia Prediction for 9 September 2025 - Football

🔊 What are the odds of Switzerland extending their winning streak this year? Before their last match, the "Nati" had only played friendlies, but the level of their opponents gradually increased, as did their results. In the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, the Swiss find themselves in a relatively straightforward group where they are the clear favorites. They cemented this status with a commanding victory over Kosovo in their opening match. However, just like in the friendlies, the schedule is set up so that the level of competition in the group will gradually increase. On July 9, a well-balanced Slovenia side will visit St. Jakob-Park in Basel. In the text below, we'll attempt to predict whether another visiting team will face a similar fate in Switzerland.

Head-to-Head

📊 Switzerland have been regulars at major tournaments, missing only one World Cup and one European Championship since 2002. Slovenia's achievements during this period are more modest, with appearances in just two World Cups and one European Championship. However, these teams have not crossed paths in the main stages of these competitions. In the last decade, they faced each other in the qualifiers for EURO 2016, where the Swiss edged out the visitors in a thrilling 3-2 encounter.

Switzerland Team Overview

Switzerland's recovery after being relegated from Division A of the Nations League at the end of last year is going well. They kicked off the international season with a draw in a friendly against Northern Ireland (1-1), and haven't faltered since. During their summer training camp, they secured victories over the USA (4-0) and Mexico (4-2). In their first World Cup 2026 qualifier, Murat Yakin's squad dismantled Kosovo (4-0), dominating every aspect of the game—from possession (62% to 38%) to goal-scoring opportunities (5 shots on target to 1, with an xG of 1.65 compared to 0.54).

Manuel Akanji's return to the lineup after missing the summer camp was triumphant, as he scored a goal. The standout player of the match was Rennes' new signing Breel Embolo, who netted twice. Special praise also goes to Nottingham Forest's newcomer Dan Ndoye—his excellent Premier League form (1 goal and 1 assist in 3 matches) carried over into the World Cup 2026 qualifiers, as he provided two assists for his teammates.

Slovenia Team Overview

Matjaž Kek's team is known for their cohesive defense, which has been a cornerstone of their success. This defensive strength helped Slovenia achieve impressive results at Euro 2024, reaching the Round of 16. Their performance in the Nations League was slightly less impressive, finishing third in their group, but they faced tough competition. However, in the relegation playoffs to stay in League B, Slovenia restored their Euro-level defensive setup and overcame Slovakia (0-0; 1-0). In their opening World Cup 2026 qualifier, the defense faltered slightly, resulting in a draw with Sweden (2-2). Despite this, the result was quite acceptable given the match dynamics—Sweden dominated possession (59% to 41%) and had better chances (1.17 xG compared to Slovenia's 0.56 xG). Scoring two goals with such expected goal stats is a commendable outcome for Slovenia.

Slovenia's star player, Benjamin Šeško, has struggled to find his form since moving to Manchester United. Against Sweden, he managed just one shot from outside the box, valued at 0.05 xG. In contrast, Swansea striker Žan Vipotnik made a significant impact, coming off the bench to secure a draw for Slovenia with a late equalizer in the 90th minute. The 23-year-old forward might earn a starting spot in the upcoming match, given his impressive scoring form in the Championship, where he's netted two goals in three matches.

Latest news

Switzerland

🎙 "When you haven't played competitive matches for a year, there's always some level of uncertainty. But the guys executed our plan brilliantly. Today we demonstrated that we can play straightforward and vertical football, not always relying solely on creativity and possession. We often created numerous chances but failed to convert them. In recent matches, we've managed to do that," shared Switzerland's head coach Murat Yakin after the game against Kosovo.

❌ Switzerland's struggles with injuries in the current qualifiers extend beyond just Ardon Jashari. During the break in the match against Kosovo, Ricardo Rodriguez was forced off. According to Murat Yakin, the defender wanted to continue playing, but they decided to rest him ahead of Monday's game. His participation against Slovenia remains uncertain, but there's hope he might at least make the squad.

Slovenia

🎙 "I believe that when one team excels in defense and the other is strong in attack, it should make for an intriguing match. I hope our players, who have built Slovenia's reputation as a formidable defensive side, can once again rise to the occasion," said Slovenia's head coach Matjaž Kek about the upcoming clash.

❌ Slovenia approach the match with a full-strength squad. The only absentee is key midfielder Jon Gorenc-Stanković from Sturm, who picked up an injury in the fourth round of the Austrian Bundesliga.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Although Slovenia are known for their defensive prowess, their match against Sweden showed that relying on it isn't always foolproof. Moreover, Matjaž Kek's squad doesn't play an entirely defensive game — in 6 of their last 7 World Cup and European Championship qualifiers, more than 2.5 goals were scored. Switzerland boast a high-quality attacking line, supported by top-tier creators in midfield. Coupled with their home strength, it's reasonable to predict that Switzerland will score more than 1.5 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Despite not having a standout target man in attack, Switzerland average a high 6.3 corners over their last 10 matches. Meanwhile, Slovenia rarely capitalize on the aerial advantage of 195cm tall Benjamin Šeško — surpassing opponents in set-pieces only once in their last 10 encounters across all competitions. The match is likely to see most of the action near the visitors' goal, making it logical to bet on a Swiss victory in corner count.

Switzerland are more than four times favored over Slovenia in the odds, and the visitors aren't the main contenders for the top spot in the group anyway. Although Murat Yakin's side faced criticism for their defensive play in the last Nations League, they showed against Kosovo that they can be quite organized when needed. The form of Slovenia's star forward, Benjamin Šeško, raises significant questions, while their defense, as seen in the match against Kosovo, isn't always reliable either. It feels like another rout could be on the cards in Basel, with a scoreline of 3-0 for the hosts looking likely. Switzerland's victory in the upcoming game seems almost certain.