TIPS - Luxembourg VS Slovakia

[(Luxembourg) Strength]:
1. Luxembourg lost 3-1 to Northern Ireland at home in the first group game of the World Cup qualification (UEFA), ranking at the bottom of the table. Facing strong Slovakia, they are still motivated to take points at home.

[(Luxembourg) Weakness]:
1. Luxembourg center-back Seid Korac received a red card in the last round and will be sidelined in this qualifier, which is a big blow to the team's defensive line.
2. Luxembourg recorded only 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the previous 6 games and won only one of the last 10 international matches, showing a decline in recent form.
3. Luxembourg have a poor home record of only 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in the last 10 games, with a win rate of only 30%.
4. Luxembourg have scored only 3 goals in 5 international matches since 2025, with an average of less than 1 goal per game, revealing poor attack.
5. In the last round, Luxembourg suffered a 3-1 home loss to Northern Ireland, who have no strong attack, indicating unstable defense at home.
6. Luxembourg have failed to beat Slovakia in international matches since 2004. In the last 4 encounters, they were winless with only 1 draw and 3 losses.
7. Luxembourg won only 4 of the last 10 games and lost 2 of the previous 3 home ones in AH.

[(Slovakia) Strength]:
1. Slovakia surprisingly beat Germany 2-0 in the first group game at home, ranking in the top half of the group with 3 points. Facing the weakest team in the group, Luxembourg, they have to go all out for a win to maintain their momentum.
2. The backline is anchored by Milan Skriniar of Inter Milan and David Hancko of Feyenoord, with the experienced goalkeeper Martin Dubravka. The squad has sufficient depth.
3. Slovakia won 2-0 over strong Germany at home in the first qualifier, ending their declining performances in recent international matches and boosting their confidence.
4. Slovakia won four, drew three, and lost three in the previous 10 away games, with a high unbeaten rate, demonstrating stable performances on the road.
5. Slovakia kept clean sheets in all the last 4 competitive games, including the first qualifier against Germany, which showed their solid defense.
6. Slovakia were unbeaten in the last 4 competitive games against Luxembourg, securing 3 victories. Besides, they kept clean sheets in the last 2 encounters.
7. Slovakia were unbeaten in the last 4 competitive games on the road in AH, indicating stable performances.

[(Slovakia) Weakness]:
1. Slovakia scored only 4 goals in the last 5 competitive games, averaging less than 1 goal per game, boasting unstable attack.

[Tips]:
Luxembourg have far inferior overall strength to Slovakia, boasting flawed offense and defense.

Besides, center-back Seid Korac's red card suspension in this match will affect the team's defensive stability.

Despite their tenacity at home, conceding 3 goals in the first game against Northern Ireland exposed their flawed defense.

Slovakia, on the other hand, are in red-hot form.

Their upset victory over Germany in the first match showcased their powerful offensive and defensive capabilities.

On offense, players like David Strelec have been highly efficient, and their confidence is soaring after keeping a clean sheet against Germany on defense.

In terms of H2H records, Slovakia completely dominated their opponents.

Considering the teams' recent form, strength, and determination, it is recommended to back Slovakia to win away from home in this match.

[Recommended]:
Slovakia (-0.5/1)